area handbook series Russia a country study Russia country study Federal Research Division Library of Congress Edited by Glenn E. Curtis Research Completed July 1996 On the cover: "The Bronze Horseman," statue of Peter the Great in St. Petersburg, symbol of Russian autoc- racy and subject of a fantasy short story by Aleksandr Pushkin First Edition, First Printing, 1998. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Russia: a country study / Federal Research Division, Library of Congress ; edited by Glenn E. Curtis. — 1st ed. p. cm. — (Area handbook series, ISSN 1057-5294) (DA Pam; 550-115) "Research completed July 1996." Includes bibliographical references (pp. 621-665) and index. ISBN 0-8444-0866-2 (he : alk. paper) 1. Russia (Federation). I. Curtis, Glenn E. (Glenn Eldon), 1946- . II. Library of Congress. Federal Research Division. III. Series. IV. Series: DA Pam ; 550-115. DK510.23.R883 1997 97-7563 947.086-dc21 CIP Headquarters, Department of the Army DA Pam 550-115 For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office Washington, D.C 20402 Dedicated to the memory of Ray Zickel, with deep appreciation for his painstaking work on Soviet Union: A Country Study, the predecessor to the current volume. iii Foreword This volume is one in a continuing series of books prepared by the Federal Research Division of the Library of Congress under the Country Studies/Area Handbook Program spon- sored by the Department of the Army. The last two pages of this book list the other published studies. Most books in the series deal with a particular foreign coun- try, describing and analyzing its political, economic, social, and national security systems and institutions, and examining the interrelationships of those systems and the ways they are shaped by historical and cultural factors. Each study is written by a multidisciplinary team of social scientists. The authors seek to provide a basic understanding of the observed society, striving for a dynamic rather than a static portrayal. Particular attention is devoted to the people who make up the society, their origins, dominant beliefs and values, their common inter- ests and the issues on which they are divided, the nature and extent of their involvement with national institutions, and their attitudes toward each other and toward their social system and political order. The books represent the analysis of the authors and should not be construed as an expression of an official United States government position, policy, or decision. The authors have sought to adhere to accepted standards of scholarly objectivity. Corrections, additions, and suggestions for changes from read- ers will be welcomed for use in future editions. Robert L. Worden Acting Chief Federal Research Division Library of Congress Washington, DC 20540-4840 E-mail frds@loc.gov v Acknowledgments The authors are indebted to numerous individuals and orga- nizations who gave their time, research materials, and expertise on affairs in the Russian Federation to provide data, perspec- tive, and material support for this volume. Thanks go to Ray- mond Zickel, who organized the early stages of the book's preparation, including the selection of chapter authors, and who contributed the lacquer-box chapter illustrations. The research process was supported by the work of Joseph Rowe and David Osborne, who identified numerous valuable sources. The publications office of the Organisation for Eco- nomic Co-operation and Development in Washington, D.C., and Charles Yost of the International Trade Commission also contributed useful material. Ray Brandon lent invaluable research, editorial, and writing assistance as intern to the book editor. Thanks also go to Ralph K. Benesch, former monitor of the Country Studies/Area Handbook Program for the Department of the Army, under whose guidance the plan for the six vol- umes on the post-Soviet states was formulated. In addition, the authors appreciate the advice and guidance of Sandra W. Med- itz, Federal Research Division coordinator of the handbook series. Special thanks go to Marilyn L. Majeska, who supervised editing; to Andrea T Merrill, who performed the final prepub- lication editorial review and managed production; to Wayne Home, who designed the book cover and the title page illustra- tions for the ten chapters; and to David P. Cabitto, who pro- vided graphics support and, together with the firm of Maryland Mapping and Graphics, prepared the maps and charts. Vincent Ercolano and Janet Willen edited the chapters, and Helen Fedor was responsible for assembling and organiz- ing the book's photographs. The numerous individuals who contributed photographs are acknowledged by name in the photograph captions. The contributions of the following individuals are gratefully acknowledged as well: Barbara Edgerton and Izella Watson, who did the word processing and initial typesetting; Janie L. Gilchrist and Stephen C. Cranton, who prepared the camera- ready copy; and Joan C. Cook, who prepared the Index. vii Contents Page Foreword v Acknowledgments vii Preface xix Table A. Chronology of Important Events xxi Country Profile xliii Introduction liii Chapter 1. Historical Setting: Early History to 1917 ..... 1 Zenon E. Kohut and David M. Goldfrank EARLY HISTORY 5 The Inhabitants of the East European Plain 5 The East Slavs and the Varangians 6 The Golden Age of Kiev 6 The Rise of Regional Centers 8 The Mongol Invasion 10 MUSCOVY 11 The Rise of Muscovy 11 The Evolution of the Russian Aristocracy 12 Ivan IV 13 The Time of Troubles 14 The Romanovs 17 Expansion and Westernization 18 EARLY IMPERIAL RUSSIA 20 Peter the Great and the Russian Empire 20 The Era of Palace Revolutions 23 Imperial Expansion and Maturation: Catherine II . . 24 RULING THE EMPIRE 28 War and Peace, 1 796-1 825 28 Reaction under Nicholas I 31 TRANSFORMATION OF RUSSIA IN THE NINETEENTH CENTURY 33 Economic Developments 33 ix Reforms and Their Limits, 1855-92 34 Foreign Affairs after the Crimean War 37 The Rise of Revolutionary Movements 40 Witte and Accelerated Industrialization 41 Radical Political Parties Develop 42 Imperialism in Asia and the Russo Japanese War 43 THE LAST YEARS OF THE AUTOCRACY 44 Revolution and Counterrevolution, 1905-07 45 The Stolypin and Kokovtsov Governments 46 Active Balkan Policy, 1906-13 48 Russia at War, 1914-16 49 The Fatal Weakening of Tsarism 51 Chapter 2. Historical Setting: 1917 to 1991 53 Thomas Skallerup and James P. Nichol REVOLUTIONS AND CIVIL WAR 57 The February Revolution 57 The Period of Dual Power 58 The Bolshevik Revolution 60 Civil War and War Communism 62 THE ERA OF THE NEW ECONOMIC POLICY. 65 Lenin's Leadership 66 Stalin's Rise to Power 68 Foreign Policy, 1921-28 69 Society and Culture in the 1920s 70 TRANSFORMATION AND TERROR 70 Industrialization and Collectivization 71 The Purges 72 Mobilization of Society 74 Foreign Policy, 1928-39 75 THE WAR YEARS 76 Prelude to War 77 The Great Patriotic War 78 RECONSTRUCTION AND COLD WAR 81 Reconstruction Years 81 Onset of the Cold War 82 The Death of Stalin 85 THE KHRUSHCHEV ERA 85 Collective Leadership and the Rise of Khru- shchev 86 x Foreign Policy under Khrushchev 88 Khrushchev's Reforms and Fall 90 THE BREZHNEV ERA 91 Collective Leadership and the Rise of Brezhnev ... 92 Foreign Policy of a Superpower 93 The Economy under Brezhnev 95 Culture and the Arts in the 1960s and 1970s 97 The Death of Brezhnev 98 THE LEADERSHIP TRANSITION PERIOD 99 The Andropov Interregnum 99 The Chernenko Interregnum 100 THE GORBACHEV ERA 101 Gorbachev's First Year 101 New Thinking: Foreign Policy under Gorbachev . . 102 Gorbachev's Reform Dilemma 109 Nationality Ferment 112 The August Coup and Its Aftermath 117 Chapter 3. Physical Environment and Population 121 Glenn E. Curtis and David McClave PHYSICAL ENVIRONMENT 1 25 Global Position and Boundaries 125 Administrative and Territorial Divisions 126 Topography and Drainage 126 Climate 134 ENVIRONMENTAL PROBLEMS 136 Environmental Conditions 136 The Response to Environmental Problems 148 POPULATION 153 Demographic Conditions 154 Migration 161 FUTURE PROSPECTS 167 Chapter 4. Ethnic, Religious, and Cultural Setting 169 Glenn E. Curtis and Marian Leighton ETHNIC COMPOSITION 172 The Russians 173 Minority Peoples and Their Territories 1 74 Other Ethnic Groups 191 Movements Toward Sovereignty 194 RELIGION 202 xi The Russian Orthodox Church 203 Other Religions 210 Religion and Foreign Policy 220 THE RUSSIAN LANGUAGE 220 LITERATURE AND THE ARTS 222 Literature 222 Music 228 Ballet 230 Architecture and Painting 232 OUTLOOK 234 Chapter 5. The Society and Its Environment 237 Glenn E. Curtis and Marian Leighton SOCIAL STRUCTURE 239 Social Stratification 240 Wages and Work 245 Rural Life 247 Social Organizations 248 The Family 250 The Role of Women 251 Sexual Attitudes 255 EDUCATION 258 The Soviet Heritage 258 The Post-Soviet Education Structure 259 Higher Education 264 Education and Society 266 HEALTH 267 Health Conditions 267 The Health System 274 HOUSING 280 The Soviet Era 280 Post-Soviet Conditions 281 Land Reform and Private Enterprise 284 SOCIAL WELFARE 285 Pensions 286 Worker Protection and Benefits 288 The Homeless 292 Chapter 6. The Economy 295 William Cooper HISTORICAL BACKGROUND 299 xii The Eras of Lenin and Stalin 300 The Postwar Growth Period 301 Reform and Resistance 302 The Perestroika Program 304 Unforeseen Results of Reform 306 ECONOMIC REFORM IN THE 1990s 307 The Yeltsin Economic Program 308 Monetary and Fiscal Policies 309 Privatization 314 Economic Conditions in Mid-1996 318 NATURAL RESOURCES 321 AGRICULTURE 323 Crops 325 Agricultural Policy 325 Agricultural Production 330 ENERGY. 331 Exploitation and Consumption 331 Oil 332 Natural Gas 335 Coal 336 Nuclear Energy 337 Conventional Power Generation 338 Foreign Investment in Oil and Gas 338 BANKING AND FINANCE 340 The Soviet Financial System 340 The Financial Sector in the 1990s 341 Taxation 345 THE LABOR FORCE 347 Unemployment 348 Wages 349 MANUFACTURING 350 Ferrous Metallurgy 351 Nonferrous Metallurgy 352 The Automotive Industry 352 Machine Building 354 Light Industry 354 Chemicals 355 TRANSPORTATION AND TELECOMMUNICATIONS .... 356 Transportation 356 Telecommunications 367 FOREIGN ECONOMIC RELATIONS 372 xiii Foreign Trade 373 Foreign Investment 377 Foreign Debt 379 THE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK 380 Chapter 7. Government and Politics 383 James P. Nichol HISTORICAL BACKGROUND 385 THE CONSTITUTION AND GOVERNMENT STRUC- TURE 391 The Executive Branch 391 The Parliament 400 The Judiciary 406 LOCAL AND REGIONAL GOVERNMENT 408 The Federation Treaty and Regional Power 409 The Separatism Question 413 POLITICAL PARTIES AND LEGISLATIVE ELECTIONS ... 415 The Elections of 1993 415 The Elections of 1995 417 CIVIL RIGHTS 419 General Civil Rights Guarantees 420 Criminal Justice Protections 421 THE MEDIA 422 The Print Media 423 The Broadcast Media 424 THE POLITICAL OUTLOOK 426 Chapter 8. Foreign Relations 429 James P. Nichol THE EMERGENCE OF RUSSIAN FOREIGN POLICY 433 The Search for Objectives 434 The State of the Federation Speeches 436 THE FOREIGN POLICY MECHANISM 438 The President 439 The Security Council 440 The Parliament 442 The Government (Cabinet) 444 REGIONAL POLICIES 447 The Near Abroad 447 The United States 454 Western Europe 461 xiv NATO 463 Central Europe 465 China 469 Japan 471 Other Asian States 473 The Third World 477 The Middle East 478 Latin America 481 FOREIGN POLICY PROSPECTS 483 Chapter 9. The Armed Forces 487 William Baxter HISTORICAL BACKGROUND 490 MILITARY DOCTRINE 494 Soviet Doctrine 495 The Doctrine of 1993 496 THE GEOPOLITICAL CONTEXT 501 Chechnya 502 The Commonwealth of Independent States 504 Kaliningrad 509 China 510 The NATO Issue 512 Nuclear Arms Issues 513 THE DEFENSE INDUSTRY 515 Structure and Conditions 516 The Defense Budget 518 New Weaponry Acquisitions 518 Foreign Arms Sales 520 Prospects for the Defense Industry 523 FORCE STRUCTURE 524 Command Structure 525 Ground Forces 527 Naval Forces 531 Air Forces 535 Air Defense Forces 537 Strategic Rocket Forces 538 Airborne Troops 539 PERFORMANCE 541 Troop Support Elements 542 Crime in the Military 545 Training 547 xv Reform Plans 548 PROSPECTS FOR THE MILITARY 551 Chapter 10. Internal Security 553 Amy W. Knight INTERNAL SECURITY BEFORE 1991 555 SUCCESSOR AGENCIES TO THE KGB 559 Ministry of Security (MB) 560 Federal Counterintelligence Service (FSK) 562 Federal Security Service (FSB) 563 Federal Agency for Government Communica- tions and Information (FAPSI) 564 Main Guard Directorate (GUO) 566 Federal Border Service and Border Security 567 SECURITY OPERATIONS IN CHECHNYA 570 CRIME 571 Crime in the Soviet Era 571 The Crime Wave of the 1990s 572 THE CRIMINAL JUSTICE SYSTEM 577 Ministry of Internal Affairs (MVD) 578 The Procuracy 582 Criminal Law Reform in the 1990s 583 Secrecy Laws 585 How the System Works 586 PRISONS 588 OUTLOOK 591 Appendix. Tables 593 Bibliography 621 Glossary 667 Index 681 Contributors 725 List of Figures 1 Administrative Divisions of Russia, 1996 Hi 2 The Principalities of Kievan Rus', 1136 8 3 Territorial Expansion of Muscovy and the Russian Empire, 1550-1917 16 4 Red Army Line, March 1920 64 xvi 5 Military Operations Against Germany, 1941-45 80 6 Topography and Drainage 128 7 Economic Regions, 1996 322 8 Major Mineral Deposits, 1996 324 9 Energy Facilities, 1996 334 10 Major Roads, 1996 358 11 Major Railroads, 1996 362 12 Major Maritime Ports, Airports, and Sea Routes, 1996 366 13 Organization of the Ministry of Defense, 1996 526 14 Military Districts and Fleets, 1996 528 15 Organization of the Ground Forces, 1996 530 16 Organization of the Naval Forces, 1996 534 17 Organization of the Air Forces, 1996 536 18 Organization of the Air Defense Forces, 1996 540 xvii Preface At the end of 1991, the formal dissolution of the Soviet Union was the surprisingly swift result of decrepitude within that empire. The Russian Federation was one of the fifteen "new" nations that emerged from that process; in this form, Russians retained much of the domination over nearby minor- ity groups that they had exercised in the days of the Russian Empire and the Soviet Union. But the major changes that have occurred since 1991 fully justify the new subseries of Country Studies describing all fifteen of the former Soviet republics in their past and present circumstances. The present volume is the fifth in the six-volume series, which is the successor to the one-volume Soviet Union: A Country Study, published in 1991. The marked relaxation of Soviet-era information restric- tions, which began in Russia in the late 1980s and accelerated after 1991, allows the presentation of reliable, complete infor- mation on most aspects of life in the Russian Federation — including many of the negative aspects such as corruption, environmental degradation, and deterioration of the military that were reported only incompletely in earlier volumes. Schol- arly articles and periodical reports have been especially helpful in accounting for the years of independence in the 1990s and in evaluating the earlier times that form the backdrop for the most recent period. The authors have described the historical, political, economic, and social background of Russia as the context for their current portraits. In each case, the author's goal was to provide a compact, accessible, and objective treat- ment of five main topics: historical background, the society and its environment, the economy, government and politics, and national security. Military insignia, a standard feature of the Country Studies series, have not been included in this volume because, at the time of preparation, the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation was in the process of changing insigina, and budget shortages delayed its publication of a comprehen- sive chart. Brief comments on some of the more useful, readily accessible sources used in preparing this volume appear at the end of each chapter. Full references to these and other sources used by the authors are listed in the Bibliography. In most cases, personal names have been transliterated from Russian according to the system approved by the United States xix Board on Geographic Names (BGN). In the case of widely known individuals whose names appear frequently in Latin alphabets, such as Joseph V. Stalin and Boris N. Yeltsin, the widely used conventional form of the name has been chosen. Geographical names are treated in the same way: places such as Moscow and St. Petersburg and geographical names such as Siberia and Lake Baikal are rendered in conventional form, but all other geographical names appear in the transliteration of the BGN system. Some Soviet-era place-names such as the cities of Gor'kiy and Sverdlovsk have been changed in the 1990s (to Nizhniy Novgorod and Yekaterinburg, respectively, in the case of these two examples), and the newest forms are used in this book. Organizations commonly known by their acronyms (such as IMF — the International Monetary Fund, and KGB — the Com- mittee for State Security) are introduced in full form, supple- mented with the vernacular form where appropriate. Autonomous republics such as the Republic of Chechnya are introduced in full form in the detailed description of those regions in Chapter 4, but short forms (in the case of this exam- ple, Chechnya) are used elsewhere. Measurements are given in the metric system; a conversion table is provided in the Appendix. The Chronology at the beginning of the book lists major historical events in Russia from the founding of Kievan Rus' to the significant events of the first nine months of 1997. To amplify points in the chap- ters, tables in the Appendix provide statistics on the environ- ment, the population, economic conditions, political events, and the military establishment. The body of the text reflects information available as of July 31, 1996. Certain other portions of the text, however, have been updated. The Introduction and Chronology include events and trends that have occurred since the completion of research, the Country Profile includes updated information as available, the Bibliography lists recently published sources thought to be particularly helpful to the reader, and Table 23 includes newly available statistics. xx Table A . Chronology of Important Events Period Description NINTH CENTURY ca. 860 ca. 880 TENTH CENTURY 911 944 ca. 955 971 988 ELEVENTH CENTURY 1015 1019 1036 1037 1051 TWELFTH CENTURY THIRTEENTH CENTURY 1219-11 1242 1253 FOURTEENTH CENTURY 1327 Rurik, a Varangian, according to earliest chronicle of Kievan Rus', rules Novgorod and founds Rurik Dynasty. Prince Oleg, a Varangian, first historically verified ruler of Kievan Rus'. Prince Oleg, after attacking Constantinople, concludes treaty with Byzantine Empire favorable to Kievan Rus'. Prince Igor' compelled by Constantinople to sign treaty adverse to Kievan Rus'. Princess Olga, while regent of Kievan Rus', converts to Christianity. Prince Svyatoslav makes peace with Byzantine Empire. Prince Vladimir converts Kievan Rus' to Christianity. Prince Vladimir's death leads Rurik princes into fratricidal war that continues until 1036. Prince Yaroslav (the Wise) of Novgorod assumes throne of Kievan Rus'. Prince Yaroslav the Wise ends fratricidal war and later cod- ifies laws of Kievan Rus' into Rus'ka pravda (Justice of Rus'). Prince Yaroslav defeats Pechenegs; construction begins on St. Sofia Cathedral in Kiev. Ilarion becomes first native metropolitan of Orthodox Church in Kievan Rus'. 1113-25 Kievan Rus' experiences revival under Grand Prince Vladimir Monomakh. 1136 Republic of Novgorod gains independence from Kievan Rus". 1147 Moscow first mendoned in chronicles. 1156 Novgorod acquires its own archbishop. 1169 Armies of Prince Andrey Bogolyubskiy of Vladimir-Suzdal' sack Kiev, Andrey assumes dtle "Grand Prince of Kiev and all Rus'" but chooses to reside in Suzdal'. Mongols invade: Kiev falls in 1240; Novgorod and Moscow submit to Mongol "yoke" without resisdng. Aleksandr Nevskiy successfully defends Novgorod against attack by Teutenic Knights. Prince Daniil (Danylo) of Galicia-Volhynia accepts crown of Kievan Rus' from pope. Ivan I, prince of Moscow, nicknamed Ivan Kalita ("Money Bags"), affirmed as "Grand Prince of Vladimir" by Mon- gols; Moscow becomes seat of metropolitan of Russian Orthodox Church. Table A. ( Continued) Chronology of Important Events Period Description 1380 FIFTEENTH CENTURY 1462 1478 1485 SIXTEENTH CENTURY 1505 1510 1533 1547 1552 1556 1565 1571 1581 1584 1589 1596 1598 SEVENTEENTH CENTURY 1601 1605 1606 1610 1610- 13 1611- 12 1613 1631 1645 1648 1649 1654 1667 1670-71 1676 Dmitriy Donskoy defeats Golden Horde at Batde of Kuli- kovo, but Mongol domination continues undl 1480. Ivan III (the Great) becomes grand prince of Muscovy and first Muscovite ruler to use tides of tsar and "Ruler of all Rus'." Muscovy defeats Novgorod. Muscovy conquers Tver'. Vasiliy III becomes grand prince of Muscovy. Muscovy conquers Pskov. Grand Prince Ivan IV named ruler of Muscovy at age three. Ivan IV (the Terrible) crowned tsar of Muscovy. Ivan IV conquers Kazan' Khanate. Ivan IV conquers Astrakhan' Khanate. Oprichnina of Ivan W creates a state within the state. Tatars raid Moscow. Yermak begins conquest of Siberia. Fedor I crowned tsar. Patriarchate of Moscow established. Union of Brest establishes Uniate Church. Rurik Dynasty ends with death of Fedor; Boris Godunov named tsar; Time of Troubles begins. Three years of famine begin. Fedor II crowned tsar; first False Dmitriy subsequently named tsar after Fedor IPs murder. Vasiliy Shuyskiy named tsar. Second False Dmitriy proclaimed tsar. Poles occupy Moscow. Forces from northern cities and Cossacks organize coun- terattack against Poles. Mikhail Romanov crowned tsar, founding Romanov Dynasty. Metropolitan Mogila (Mohyla) founds academy in Kiev. Aleksey crowned tsar. Ukrainian Cossacks, led by Bogdan Khmel'nitskiy (Bohdan Khmel'nyts'kyy), revolt against Polish land- owners and gentry. Serfdom fully established by law. Treaty of Pereyaslavl' places Ukraine under tsarist rule. Church council in Moscow anathemizes Old Belief but removes Patriarch Nikon; Treaty of Andrusovo ends war with Poland. Stenka Razin leads revolt. Fedor III crowned tsar. Table A. (Continued) Chronology of Important Events Period Description 1682 1689 1696 EIGHTEENTH CENTURY 1700 1703 1705-11 1708 1709 1710 1721 1722 1723-32 1725 1727 1730 1740 1741 1762 1768-74 1772 1773-74 1785 1787-92 1792 1793 and 1795 1796 NINETEENTH CENTURY 1801 1809 1812 Half brothers Ivan V and Peter I named co-tsars; Peter's half sister, Sofia, becomes regent. Peter I (the Great) forces Sofia to resign regency, Treaty of Nerchinsk ends period of conflict with China. Ivan V dies, leaving Peter the Great sole tsar; port of Azov captured from Ottoman Empire. Calendar reformed; war with Sweden begins. St. Petersburg founded; becomes capital of Russia in 1713. Bashkirs revolt. First Russian newspaper published. Swedes defeated at Battle of Poltava. Cyrillic alphabet reformed. Treaty of Nystad ends Great Northern War with Sweden and establishes Russian presence on Baltic Sea; Peter the Great proclaims Muscovy the Russian Empire; Holy Synod replaces patriarchate. Table of Ranks established. Russia gains control of southern shore of Caspian Sea. Catherine I crowned empress of Russia. Peter II crowned emperor of Russia. Anna crowned empress of Russia. Ivan VI crowned emperor of Russia. Elizabeth crowned empress of Russia. Peter III crowned emperor of Russia; abolishes compul- sory state service for the gentry, Catherine II (the Great) crowned empress of Russia after Peter Ill's assas- sination. War with Ottoman Empire ends with Treaty of Kuchuk- Kainarji. Russia participates in first par d don of Poland. Emel'yan Pugachev leads peasant revolt. Catherine II confirms nobility's privileges in Charter to the Nobility. War with Ottoman Empire ends with Treaty of Jassy Otto- mans recognize 1783 Russian annexation of Crimea. Government initiates Pale of Settlement, restricting Jews to western part of the empire. Russia participates in second and third partitions of Poland. Paul crowned emperor of Russia; establishes new law of succession. Alexander I crowned emperor; conquest of Caucasus region begins. Finland annexed from Sweden and awarded autonomous status. Napoleon's army occupies Moscow but is then driven out of Russia. Table A. ( Continued) Chronology of Important Events Period Description 1817-19 1825 1831 1833 1837 1840s and 1850s 1849 1853-56 1855 1858 1860 1861 1863 1864 1866 1869 1873-74 1875 1877-78 1879 1879-80 1881 1894 1898 TWENTIETH CENTURY 1903 1904-05 1905 Baltic peasants liberated from serfdom but given no land. Decembrist Revolt fails; Nicholas I crowned emperor. Polish uprising crushed by forces of Nicholas I. "Autocracy, Orthodoxy, and nationality" accepted as guid- ing principles by regime. First Russian railroad, from St. Petersburg to Tsarskoye Selo, opens; Aleksandr Pushkin, foremost Russian writer, dies in duel. Slavophiles debate Westernizers over Russia's future. Russia helps to put down anti-Habsburg Hungarian rebel- lion at Austria's request. Russia fights Britain, France, Sardinia, and Ottoman Empire in Crimean War; Russia forced to accept peace settlement dictated by its opponents. Alexander II crowned emperor. Treaty of Aigun signed with China; northern bank of Amur River ceded to Russia. Treaty of Beijing signed with China; Ussuri River region awarded to Russia. Alexander II emancipates serfs. Polish rebellion unsuccessful. Judicial system reformed; zemstva created. Crime and Punishment by Fedor Dostoyevskiy (1821-81) published. War and Peace by Lev Tolstoy ( 1828-1910) published. Army reformed; Russian radicals go "to the people." Kuril Islands yielded to Japan in exchange for southern Sakhalin Island. War with Ottoman Empire ends with Treaty of San Ste- fano; independent Bulgaria proclaimed; Russia forced to accept less advantageous terms of Congress of Berlin. Revolutionary society Land and Liberty splits; People's Will and Black Reparation formed. The Brothers Karamazov by Fedor Dostoyevskiy published. Alexander II assassinated; Alexander III crowned emperor. Nicholas II crowned emperor. Russian Social Democratic Labor Party established and holds first congress in March; Vladimir I. Lenin one of organizers of party. Russian Social Democratic Labor Party splits into Bolshe- vik and Menshevik factions. Russo-Japanese War ends with Russian defeat; southern Sakhalin Island ceded to Japan. Bloody Sunday massacre in January begins Revolution of 1905, a year of labor and ethnic unrest; government issues so-called October Manifesto, calling for parlia- mentary elections. xxiv Table A. (Continued) Chronology of Important Events Period Description 1906 1911 1914 1916 1917 March April July November December 1918 January February March April July Summer August November 1919 January March 1920 January February April July First Duma (parliament) elected. Petr Stolypin, prime minister since 1906, assassinated. World War I begins. Rasputin murdered. February Revolution, in which workers riot in Petrograd; Petrograd Soviet of Workers' and Soldiers' Depudes formed; Provisional Government formed; Emperor Nicholas II abdicates; Petrograd Soviet issues Order Number One. Demonstrations lead to Aleksandr Kerenskiy's assuming leadership in government; Lenin returns to Petrograd from Switzerland. Bolsheviks outlawed after attempt to topple government fails. Bolsheviks seize power from Provisional Government; Lenin, as leader of Bolsheviks, becomes head of state; Russian Soviet Federated Socialist Republic (Russian Republic) formed; Consdtuent Assembly elected. Cheka (secret police) created; Finns and Moldavians declare independence from Russia; Japanese occupy Vladivostok. Consdtuent Assembly dissolved; Ukraine declares its inde- pendence, followed, in subsequent months, by Arme- nia, Azerbaijan, Belorussia, Estonia, Georgia, Latvia, and Lithuania. Basmachi Rebellion begins in Central Asia; calendar changed from Julian to Gregorian. Treaty of Brest-Litovsk signed with Germany, Russia loses Poland, Finland, Baldc lands, Ukraine, and other areas; Russian Social Democratic Labor Party becomes Rus- sian Communist Party (Bolshevik). Civil War begins. Consdtudon of Russian Republic promulgated; imperial family murdered. War communism established; intervendon in Civil War by foreign expedidonary forces — including those of Brit- ain, France, and United States — begins. Attempt to assassinate Lenin fails; Red Terror begins. Treaty of Brest-Litovsk repudiated by Soviet government after Germany defeated by Allied Powers. Belorussia established as theoredcally independent Soviet republic. Communist International (Comintern) formally founded at congress in Moscow; Ukrainian Soviet established. Blockade of Russian Republic lifted by Britain and other Allies. Peace agreement signed with Estonia; agreements with Latvia and Lithuania follow. War with Poland begins; Azerbaijan Soviet republic estab- lished. Trade agreement signed with Britain. XXV Table A. ( Continued) Chronology of Important Events Period Description 1921 1926 1927 October November March Summer August 1922 March April May June December 1924 January February Fall 1925 April November December April October Fall December 1928 January May July October 1929 January April Fall Truce reached with Poland. Red Army defeats Wrangel's army in Crimea; Armenian Soviet republic established. War with Poland ends with Treaty of Riga; Red Army crushes Kronshtadt naval mutiny, New Economic Policy proclaimed; Georgian Soviet republic established. Famine breaks out in Volga region. Aleksandr Blok, foremost poet of Russian Silver Age, dies; large number of intellectuals exiled. Transcaucasian Soviet Federated Socialist Republic formed, uniting Armenian, Azerbaijan, and Georgian republics. Joseph V. Stalin made general secretary of party, Treaty of Rapallo signed with Germany. Lenin suffers his first stroke. Socialist Revolutionary Party members put on trial by State Political Directorate; Glavlit organized with censorship function. Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (Soviet Union) estab- lished, comprising Russian, Ukrainian, Belorussian, and Transcaucasian republics. Lenin dies; constitution of Soviet Union put into force. Britain recognizes Soviet Union; other European coun- tries follow suit later in year. Regime begins to delimit territories of Central Asian nationalities; Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan elevated to Soviet republic status. Theoretician Nikolay Bukharin calls for peasants to enrich themselves. Poet Sergey Yesenin commits suicide. Russian Communist Party (Bolshevik) becomes Ail-Union Communist Party (Bolshevik). Grigoriy Zinov'yev ousted from Politburo. Leon Trotsky and Lev Kamenev ousted from Politburo. Peasants sell government less grain than demanded because of low prices; peasant discontent increases; grain crisis begins. Fifteenth Party Congress calls for large-scale collectiviza- tion of agriculture. Trotsky exiled to Alma-Ata. Shakhty trial begins; first executions for "economic crimes" follow. Sixth Congress of Comintern names socialist parties main enemy of communists. Implementation of First Five-Year Plan begins. Trotsky forced to leave Soviet Union. Law on religious associations requires registration of reli- gious groups, authorizes church closings, and bans reli- gious teaching. Red Army skirmishes with Chinese forces in Manchuria. xxvi Table A. (Continued) Chronology of Important Events Period Description 1930 1931 1932 October November December March April November March August May December 1932-33 1933 November 1934 August Tajikistan split from Uzbek Republic to form separate Soviet republic. Bukharin ousted from Politburo. Stalin formally declares end of New Economic Policy and calls for elimination of kulaks; forced industrialization intensifies, and collectivization begins. Collectivization slows temporarily. Poet Vladimir Mayakovskiy commits suicide. "Industrial Party" put on trial. Mensheviks put on trial. School system reformed. Five-year plan against religion declared. Internal passports introduced for domestic travel; peas- ants not issued passports. Terror and forced famine rage in countryside, primarily in southeastern Ukrainian Republic and northern Cauca- sus. Diplomatic relations with United States established. Union of Soviet Writers holds its First Congress. September December 1935 February May Summer August September 1936 June August September October November December 1937 January June 1938 March Soviet Union admitted to League of Nations. Sergey Kirov assassinated in Leningrad; Great Terror begins, causing intense fear among general populace, and peaks in 1937 and 1938 before subsiding in latter year. Party cards exchanged; many members purged from party ranks. Treaties signed with France and Czechoslovakia. Seventh Congress of Comintern calls for "united front" of political parties against fascism. Stakhanovite movement to increase worker productivity begins. New system of ranks issued for Red Army. Restrictive laws on family and marriage issued. Zinov'yev, Kamenev, and other high-level officials put on trial for alleged political crimes. Nikolay Yezhov replaces Genrikh Yagoda as head of NKVD (secret police); purge of party deepens. Soviet Union begins support for antifascists in Spanish Civil War. Germany and Japan sign Anti-Comintern Pact. New constitution proclaimed; Kazakstan and Kyrgyzia become Soviet republics; Transcaucasian Soviet Feder- ated Socialist Republic splits into Armenian, Azer- baijan, and Georgian Soviet republics. Trial of "Anti-Soviet Trotskyite Center." Marshal Mikhail Tukhachevskiy and other military leaders executed. Russian language required in all schools in Soviet Union. xxvii Table A. ( Continued) Chronology of Important Events Period Description July December 1939 May 1940 1942 1943 1944 August September October November December March April June August 1941 April May June August November December May July November February May July September November January May June October Soviet and Japanese forces fight at Lake Khasan. Lavrenti Beria replaces Yezhov as chief of secret police; Great Terror diminishes. Vyacheslav Molotov replaces Maksim Litvinov as commis- sar of foreign affairs; armed conflict with Japan at Hal- hin Gol in Mongolia continues until August. Nazi-Soviet Nonaggression Pact signed; pact includes secret protocol. Stalin joins Adolf Hitler in partidoning Poland. Soviet forces enter Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania. Remaining (western) portions of Ukraine and Belorussia incorporated into Soviet Union; Soviet forces invade Finland. Soviet Union expelled from League of Nadons. Finland sues for peace with Soviet Union. Polish officers massacred in Katyn Forest by Soviet troops. New strict labor laws enacted; northern Bukovina and Bessarabia seized from Romania and subsequendy incorporated into Ukrainian Republic and newly cre- ated Moldavian Republic, respecdvely. Soviet Union annexes Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania; Trotsky murdered in Mexico. Neutrality pact signed with Japan. Stalin becomes chairman of Council of People's Commis- sars. Nazi Germany attacks Soviet Union in Operation Bar- barossa. Soviet and British troops enter Iran. Lend-Lease Law of United States applied to Soviet Union. Soviet counteroffensive against Germany begins. Red Army routed at Khar'kov, Germans halt Soviet offen- sive; treaty signed with Britain against Germany. Battle of Stalingrad begins. Red Army starts winter offensive. German army units surrender at Stalingrad; 91,000 prison- ers taken. Comintern dissolved. Germans defeated in tank battle at Kursk. Stalin allows Russian Orthodox Church to appoint patri- arch. Tehran Conference held. Siege of Leningrad ends after 870 days. Crimea liberated from German army. Red Army begins summer offensive. Tuva incorporated into Soviet Union; armed struggle against Soviet rule breaks out in western Ukrainian, western Belorussian, Lithuanian, and Latvian republics and continues for several years. August 1946 March Summer 1947 September 1948 June Summer 1949 January August 1952 October 1953 January March April August September 1955 February May 1956 February September November 1957 July August October 1958 March >.d) Chronology of Important Events Stalin meets with Winston Churchill and Franklin D. Roosevelt at Yalta. Red Army captures Berlin. Potsdam Conference attended by Stalin, Harry S. Truman, and Churchill, who later is replaced by Clement R Atdee. Soviet Union declares war on Japan; Soviet forces enter Manchuria and Korea. Regime abolishes Ukrainian Greek Catholic Church (Uni- ate); Council of People's Commissars becomes Council of Ministers. Beginning of "Zhdanovsh china," a campaign against West- ern culture. Famine in southern and central regions of European part of Soviet Union. Cominform established to replace Comintern. Blockade of Berlin by Soviet forces begins and lasts into May 1949. Trofim Lysenko begins his dominadon of fields of biology and genetics that continues until 1955. Council for Mutual Economic Assistance formed; cam- paign against "cosmopolitanism" launched. Soviet Union tests its first atomic bomb. All-Union Communist Party (Bolshevik) becomes Com- munist Party of the Soviet Union (CPSU); name of Politburo is changed to Presidium. Kremlin "doctors' plot" exposed, signaling political infighting, new wave of purges, and and-Semitic cam- paign. Stalin dies; Georgiy Malenkov, Beria, and Molotov form troika (triumvirate); dtle of party chief changes from general secretary to first secretary. "Doctors' plot" declared a provocation. Beria arrested and shot; Malenkov, Molotov, and Nikita S. Khrushchev form new troika. Soviet Union tests hydrogen bomb. Khrushchev chosen CPSU first secretary; rehabilitadon of Stalin's victims begins. Nikolay Bulganin replaces Malenkov as prime minister. Warsaw Pact organized. Khrushchev's "secret speech" at Twentieth Party Congress exposes Stalin's crimes. Minimum wage established. Soviet forces crush Hungarian Revoludon. "Andparty group" excluded from CPSU leadership. First Soviet intercontinental ballistic missile tested success- fully. World's first artificial satellite, Sputnik I, launched. Khrushchev named chairman of Council of Ministers. Period Descripdon XXIX Table A. ( Continued) Chronology of Important Events Period Description 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 October September May April July August October June October November August October August February April April September June July August 1969 March May 1970 October December 1972 May 1973 1974 1975 June February July Nobel Prize for literature awarded to Boris Pasternak; campaign mounted against Pasternak, who is forced to decline award. Khrushchev visits United States. Soviet air defense downs United States U-2 reconnais- sance aircraft over Soviet Union. Cosmonaut Yuriy Gagarin launched in world's first manned orbital space flight. Khrushchev meets with President John F. Kennedy in Vienna. Construction of Berlin Wall begins. Stalin's remains removed from Lenin Mausoleum. Workers' riots break out in Novocherkassk. Cuban missile crisis begins, bringing United States and Soviet Union close to war. Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn's One Day in the Life of Ivan Deniso- vich published in Soviet journal. Limited Test Ban Treaty signed with United States and Britain. Khrushchev removed from power; Leonid I. Brezhnev becomes CPSU first secretary. Volga Germans rehabilitated. Dissident writers Andrey Sinyavskiy and Yuliy Daniel tried and sentenced. Brezhnev's tide changes from first secretary to general sec- retary; name of Presidium is changed back to Politburo. Stalin's daughter, Svetlana Alliluyeva, defects to West. Crimean Tatars rehabilitated but not allowed to return home. Andrey Sakharov's dissident writings published in samiz- dat. Treaty on the Nonproliferation of Nuclear Weapons (Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty) signed by Soviet Union. Soviet-led Warsaw Pact armies invade Czechoslovakia. Soviet and Chinese forces skirmish on Ussuri River. Major General Petr Grigorenko, a dissident, arrested and incarcerated in psychiatric hospital. Jewish emigration begins to increase substantially. Solzhenitsyn awarded Nobel Prize for literature. Strategic Arms Limitation Talks (SALT) result in signing of Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty (ABM Treaty) and Interim Agreement on the Limitadon of Strategic Offensive Arms; President Richard M. Nixon visits Mos- cow. Brezhnev visits Washington. Solzhenitsyn arrested and sent into foreign exile. Apollo/Soyuz space mission held jointly with United States. XXX Table A. (Continued) Chronology of Important Events Period Description 1976 1977 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 August December June October June December January August February June November September February March November February-March April October December 1987 January December 1988 Winter May May-June June June-July October December Helsinki Accords signed, confirming East European bor- ders and calling for enforcement of human rights. Sakharov awarded Nobel Prize for Peace. Helsinki watch groups formed to monitor human rights safeguards. Brezhnev named chairman of Presidium of Supreme Soviet. New constitution promulgated for Soviet Union. Second SALT agreement signed but not ratified by United States Senate. Soviet armed forces invade Afghanistan. Sakharov exiled to Gor'kiy. Summer Olympics held in Moscow and boycotted by United States and other Western nations. CPSU holds its Twenty-Sixth Party Congress. Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START) talks begin. Brezhnev dies; \uriy V. Andropov named general secre- tary. Soviet fighter aircraft downs South Korean civilian airliner KAL 007 near Sakhalin Island. Andropov dies; Konstantin U. Chernenko becomes gen- eral secretary. Chernenko dies; Mikhail S. Gorbachev becomes general secretary. Gorbachev meets with President Ronald W. Reagan in Geneva. CPSU holds its Twenty-Seventh Party Congress. Nuclear power plant disaster at Chernobyl' releases large amounts of radiadon over Russia, Ukraine, and Belorussia. dasnost launched. Gorbachev and Reagan hold summit at Reykjavik. Ethnic riots break out in Alma-Ata. Gorbachev launches perestroika. Soviet Union and United States sign Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF Treaty) . Ethnic disturbances begin in Caucasus. Soviet authorides stop jamming Voice of America broad- casts. Reagan visits Moscow. Millennium of establishment of Chrisdanity in Kievan Rus' celebrated in Moscow. CPSU's Nineteenth Party Conference tests limits of glasnost and perestroika in unprecedented discussions. Gorbachev replaces Andrey Gromyko as chairman of Pre- sidium of Supreme Soviet; Gromyko retires, and others are removed from Politburo. Supreme Soviet dissolves itself, preparing way for new elected parliament. xxxi Table A. ( Continued) Chronology of Important Events Period Description 1989 February March-April April May June July August September October November December 1990 January February March Soviet combat forces complete withdrawal from Afghani- stan. Initial and runoff elections held for the 2,250 seats in Con- gress of People's Deputies (CPD); many reform candi- dates, including Boris N. Yeltsin, win seats. Soviet troops break, up rally in Tbilisi, Georgia, killing at least twenty civilians. CPD openly criticizes past and present regimes; Gor- bachev elected by CPD to new position of chairman of Supreme Soviet. Free elections in Poland begin rapid decline of Soviet Union's empire in Central Europe. Coal miners strike in Russia and Ukraine. Nationalist demonstrations in Chisinau, Moldavia, lead to reinstatement of Romanian as official language of republic. Russians and Ukrainians living along Dnestr River go on strike, demanding autonomy. Soviet Union admits existence of secret protocols to 1939 Nazi-Soviet Nonagression Pact, which allotted to Soviet Union the Baltic countries, parts of then eastern Poland, and Moldavia. Mass exodus from East Germany begins. Ukrainian Popular Movement for Perestroika (Rukh) holds founding congress in Kiev. Mass protests take place in Berlin and Leipzig. Berlin Wall falls. Bulgaria's Todor Zhivkov deposed. Com- munist party of Czechoslovakia falls from power. Violent revolution in Romania. Nicolae Ceaucescu arrested, tried, and shot. CPD condemns Nazi-Soviet Nonagression Pact and secret protocols. Lithuanian Communist Party leaves CPSU. Latvian parliament deletes from its constitution reference to communist party's "leading role." At hasty shipboard summit off Malta, Gorbachev and United States president George H.W. Bush declare Cold War ended. Azerbaijani demonstrators on Soviet side of border with Iran dismande border posts. Gorbachev fails to heal rift with Lithuanian communists. Anti-Armenian pogroms in Azerbaijan. Gorbachev sends troops to Baku. Central Committee of CPSU votes to strike Article 6, which guarantees leading role of communist party, from Soviet constitution. In elections for Supreme Soviet of Russian Republic, Yeltsin wins seat. Newly elected Lithuanian parliament declares indepen- dence. Estonian parliament declares itself in a state of transition to independence. Table A. (Continued) Chronology of Important Events Period Description May June July August October November December 1991 January February March Latvian parliament votes to declare independence after unspecified transition period. Anti-Soviet demonstrations break out in and around Yere- van. Yeltsin becomes chairman of Supreme Soviet of Russian Republic. Communists in Russian Republic vote to form Communist Party of the Russian Republic. Russia, Uzbekistan, and Moldavia issue declarations of sov- ereignty. By October most of the other Soviet republics have done likewise. Twenty-Eighth Party Congress: Yeltsin quits CPSU; Polit- buro stripped of almost all meaning. Meeting of Gorbachev and West German chancellor Hel- mut Kohl in Stavropol'. German unification within North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) secured. Soviet government and republics open negotiations on a new treaty of union. Russia and Lithuania sign agreement on trade and eco- nomic cooperation. Armenia declares independence. Germany united; Conventional Forces in Europe Treaty (CFE Treaty) signed in Paris. Parliament of Russian Republic passes resolution pro- claiming that no Soviet law can take effect in the repub- lic without republican parliamentary approval. Parliament of Russian Republic approves radical eco- nomic reform plan, thereby undercutting all-union Supreme Soviet's economic reform package. Gorbachev awarded Nobel Prize for peace. Violence breaks out in Moldavia between Moldavians and Russian and Ukrainian separatists. Gorbachev proposes new union treaty. Eduard Shevardnadze resigns as minister of foreign affairs, warning of oncoming dictatorship. Parliament of Russian Republic votes to contribute to Soviet budget less than one-tenth of central govern- ment's request. Soviet crackdown on Lithuanian and Latvian indepen- dence movements. Soviet Ministry of Defense announces plan to send troops to seven union republics to enforce military conscrip- tion and to round up draft dodgers. Russian Republic and the Baltic republics sign mutual security pact. Baltic countries hold nonbinding plebiscites as demonstra- tion of their people's will to secede from Soviet Union. Coal miners go on strike in Ukraine, Kazakstan, Arctic mines, and Siberia. Mass pro-Yeltsin rallies in Moscow. xxxiii Table A. ( Continued) Chronology of Important Events Period Description April May June July August October November December Referendum held on preservation of Soviet Union: 70 per- cent vote to remain in union, but Armenia, Georgia, Moldavia, Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia boycott. Warsaw Pact officially dissolves. Georgia declares independence. Russian parliament grants Yeltsin emergency powers. Yeltsin gains control over coal mines in Russian Republic. Russian government establishes foreign ministry and internal security organization. Russian television begins broadcasting on second all-union channel. By universal suffrage, Yeltsin elected president of Russian Republic. Last Soviet troops leave Hungary and Czechoslovakia. Gorbachev and leaders of seven Soviet republics sign draft union treaty. Yeltsin bans political acdvity at workplaces and govern- ment establishments in Russian Republic; Gorbachev signs START I agreement in Moscow with United States president Bush. Hard-line officials attempt to unseat Gorbachev govern- ment; coup fails after three days, elevating Yeltsin's pres- tige. Ukraine, Belorussia, Moldavia, Azerbaijan, Uzbekistan, and Kyrgyz Republic declare independence. Armenia and Tajikistan follow in September, Turkmenistan in October, and Kazakstan in December. Dzhokar Dudayev elected president of newly declared Chechen Republic. Russian parliament grants Yeltsin sweeping powers to introduce radical economic reform. Yeltsin cuts off Rus- sian funding of Soviet central ministries. Chechens demand independence. Ingush members of Chechen Nadonal Congress resign. Russia gains control of Soviet natural resources; Yeltsin places Russian economy above that of Soviet Union, ending possibility of Russia remaining in union. Gorbachev fails to win support of republics for new union treaty. Presidents of Ukraine, Belarus, and Russia meet in Minsk and proclaim initial Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). Yeltsin meets with Soviet defense officials and army com- manders to gain support for CIS. Russian foreign minister Andrey Kozyrev asks United States secretary of state James Baker to recognize inde- pendence of Russia, Belarus, and Ukraine. Gorbachev announces that at year's end all central govern- ment structures will cease to exist. Eleven republics form CIS. Soviet Union ceases to exist. Russian flag rises over Krem- lin. Control of nuclear arsenal handed over to Yeltsin. xxxiv Table A. (Continued) Chronology of Important Events Period Description 1992 January February March April May June July August September October November Russian government lifts price controls on almost all goods. Beginning of rift between Yeltsin and speaker of Russian Supreme Soviet Ruslan Khasbulatov and Russian vice president Aleksandr Rutskoy. First United States-Russia summit. International airlift of food and medical supplies to Rus- sian cities begins. Fighting breaks out between Moldovan forces and Russian and Ukrainian separatists along Dnestr River. Eighteen of twenty autonomous republics within Russian Federation sign Federation Treaty. Tatarstan and Chechnya refuse. At first post-Soviet session of Russian CPD, Yeltsin fends off vote of no-confidence in his economic program. CPD also changes name of Russian Socialist Federation of Soviet Republics to Russian Federation. Yeltsin calls for a referendum on new constitution that would abolish Russian CPD. Formation of Russian armed forces. Army general Pavel Grachev appointed minister of defense. Ten of the eleven CIS presidents sign mutual security treaty in Tashkent. Treaty acknowledges demise of uni- fied CIS armed forces. United States and all four post-Soviet nuclear states vow to comply with START agreement. Russia joins International Monetary Fund (IMF). Russian Supreme Soviet establishes Republic of Ingushetia within Russian Federation. Russian troops complete withdrawal from Republic of Chechnya. General Aleksandr Lebed' takes command of 14th Army in Moldova. Yeltsin makes first appearance at Group of Seven (G-7) meeting. Russian Supreme Soviet ratifies CFE Treaty. Black Sea Fleet evacuates 1,700 Russians from Sukhumi in civil-war-torn Georgia. Russia completes troop withdrawal from Mongolia. Russia launches privatization. Last Russian combat troops leave Poland. Yeltsin declares state of emergency in North Ossetia and Ingushetia in order to halt outbreak of ethnic conflicts. Russian troops attack Georgian forces deployed in Abkha- December Russian troops enter Ingushetia. Seventh Russian CPD opens. Yeltsin and parliament clash over economic reform and powers. Viktor Chernomyr- din becomes prime minister. Yeltsin and congress agree to hold referendum on presidential power. Part of same deal grants \eltsin extraordinary powers. XXXV Table A. ( Continued) Chronology of Important Events Period Description 1993 March April July August September October November December 1994 January Russia and China pull most of their troops back 100 kilo- meters along common border. CPD revokes December 1992 deal with Yeltsin, who then attempts to impose special rule, but fails. Russian troops deployed in Tajikistan as part of CIS peace- keeping operation. Referendum approves Yeltsin as president and Yeltsin's social and economic programs. Yeltsin and CPD issue differing draft versions of new Rus- sian constitution. Constitutional assembly passes draft Russian constitution worked out by conciliatory committee. Parliament annuls presidendal decrees on economic reforms. Marshal Yevgeniy Shaposhnikov, having resigned as com- mander in chief of CIS joint forces, hands over his launch authorization codes to Russian defense minister Grachev. Russian Central Bank (RCB) announces withdrawal from circulation of Soviet and Russian banknotes issued between 1961 and 1992. Yeltsin eases some of RCB's provisions. Yeltsin counters parliament's suspension of privatization. Two weeks later, parliament again suspends privatiza- tion. Yeltsin issues decree continuing program. Yeltsin formally requests that parliament hold early elec- tions. Yeltsin suspends Vice President Rutskoy based on charges of corruption. Yeltsin dissolves the CPD and Supreme Soviet and sets date for elections in December. Supreme Soviet votes to impeach Yeltsin and swears in Rutskoy as president; CPD confirms decisions. Clashes in Moscow between Yeltsin and Supreme Soviet supporters. Church mediation of government split collapses; further clashes on Moscow streets. Top leaders of opposition surrender. Sniper fire continues for several days. Russia officially asks for revisions to CFE Treaty. Yeltsin suspends Constitutional Court and disbands city, district, and village Soviets. Russian troops land in Abkhazia. Parliamentary elections and referendum on new constitu- tion are held. Constitution approved. Chechnya does not participate in elections. Yeltsin and Turkmenistan's president Saparmyrat Niyazov sign accord on dual citizenship, first such agreement between Soviet successor states. Trilateral agreement among Russia, Ukraine, and United States prepares for denuclearizing Ukraine's armed forces. xxx vi Table A. (Continued) Chronology of Important Events Period Description February April June July August September October November December 1995 January April June July October Chernomyrdin states that radical economic reform has come to an end in Russia. Reformers quit posts. West- ern advisers withdraw their services as advisers to Rus- sian government. United States Central Intelligence Agency arrests Aldrich Ames on charges of spying for Soviet Union and Russia. State Duma (lower house of parliament beginning with 1993 election) grants amnesty to leaders of 1991 coup against Gorbachev and leaders of parliamentary revolt of October 1993. Yeltsin gives speech calling for continued radical restruc- turing of economy. Russia and Belarus agree to monetary union. Central Asian republics, Georgia, and Armenia allow Rus- sian participation in patrolling their borders. Political leaders meet to sign Civic Accord, which calls on signatories to refrain from violence in pursuing politi- cal goals. Three of 248 participants refuse to sign, among them Gennadiy Zyuganov, leader of Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF). Yeltsin accelerates market reforms. Foreign Minister Kozyrev signs NATO Partnership for Peace (PfP) accord. Russian and United States troops conduct joint peace- keeping exercise in Orenburg, Russia. United States conducts maneuvers in Black Sea with Russia, Ukraine, and other Black Sea countries. Russian government issues statement that situation in Chechnya is getting out of control. Last Russian troops leave Germany, Estonia, and Latvia. Fighting breaks out in Chechnya between Dudayev's and opposition forces. Ruble loses one-fifth of its value in one day. Chernomyrdin and Prime Minister Sangheli of Moldova sign agreement on withdrawal of Russia's 14th Army from Moldova. Dudayev proclaims martial law throughout republic and mobilizes all men aged seventeen and older. Yeltsin issues ultimatum to warring parties in Chechnya to lay down their arms. Kozyrev suspends Russia's participation in PfP. Russian armored columns enter Chechnya. Russia and Kazakstan agree to unify their armies by end of 1995. Human rights activist Sergey Kovalev estimates 10,000 Rus- sian soldiers and 25,000 Chechen civilians killed in Chechnya since 1994. State Duma votes no-confidence in Government (cabi- net). Second no-confidence vote fails in State Duma. Yeltsin hospitalized, returns to work in August. Yeltsin again hospitalized, reappears in November. xxxvii Table A. ( Continued) Chronology of Important Events Period Description December 1996 January March April May June July August September In parliamentary elections, communists and nationalists gain strength, reformists split and in decline. Yeltsin replaces Foreign Minister Andrey Kozyrev with Yev- geniy Primakov. Leading liberal reformists dismissed or resign. After slowdown in privatization and increase in govern- ment spending, Russia granted loan agreement worth US$10 billion by IMF. Leaders of Kazakstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Belarus sign cus- toms union treaty in Moscow. Russia and Belarus sign union treaty with substantial ele- ments of reunification. Dzhokar Dudayev killed in rocket attack in Chechnya. Chechens sign cease-fire agreement, whose terms are immediately violated; fighting resumes. Yeltsin and Zyuganov, candidate of KPRF, finish first and second, respectively, in first round of presidential elec- tions, qualifying them for second round. Yeltsin fires Grachev and other senior hard-line officials and appoints Lebed' chief of Security Council. Yeltsin disappears from public view because of undisclosed illness. Yeltsin defeats Zyuganov in second round of presidential election, 54 percent to 40 percent. Fighting in Chechnya intensifies. Lebed' associate Igor' Rodionov named minister of defense, promises military reform; Anatoliy Chubays named presidential chief of staff. Citing failure of Russian economic reform, IMF withholds tranche of 1996 assistance package. Yeltsin creates civilian Defense Council. Pravda, voice of communism since 1912, renamed Pravda 5 and begins more objective reporting. Yeltsin staff announces Yeltsin will rest for prolonged period to recover from election campaign. Chernomyrdin confirmed for second term as prime minis- ter; Yeltsin names new Government with reformists in key positions. Chechen guerrillas recapture Chechen capital Groznyy, exposing weakness of Russian military, Lebed' achieves cease-fire in direct talks with Chechen leaders. IMF resumes economic assistance payments. Bellona Foundation report exposes mishandling of nuclear materials in Arctic regions. As cease-fire terms hold, first Russian troops leave Chech- nya. NATO offers Russia special terms of military cooperation. Yeltsin announces he will undergo heart surgery, under pressure, he temporarily cedes military command and control of internal security agencies to Chernomyrdin. Table A. (Continued) Chronology of Important Events Period Description October October-December November December 1997 January February February-March March Controversy continues over locus of government authority. Election cycle begins in subnational jurisdictions, contin- ues through March 1997. Lebed' dismissed as Security Council chief; negotiations with Chechnya continue under Ivan Rybkin. United States secretary of defense William Perry rebuffed in attempt to gain passage of START II by State Duma. Government establishes emergency tax commission to improve tax collection; collection rate remains poor in ensuing months. Chubays begins campaign for compliance of regional laws with federal constitution. Escalating conflict between military and civilian defense officials over military reform methods. Russia's first bond issue on international market nets US$1 billion. \feltsin undergoes successful open-heart surgery. Primakov visits China, Japan, and Mongolia to expand markets. Third Kilo-class submarine sold to Iran. \feltsin remains out of public view until February 1997, his administration inactive; opposition calls for impeach- ment on health grounds. Four-person Consultative Council formed to smooth dif- ferences between Government and parliament. Primakov agrees to negotiate charter giving Russia special status with NATO. Federation Council (upper house of parliament since 1993 elections) claims Ukrainian port of Sevastopol' as Russian territory, reopening dispute with Ukraine. Long-delayed new Criminal Code goes into effect. State Duma passes 1997 budget after long discussions and amendments; experts call revenue projections unrealis- tic. Opposing military reform programs issued by Ministry of Defense and civilian Defense Council. Presidential and legislative elections in Chechnya; moder- ate Asian Maskhadovwins presidency on independence platform. \eltsin approves Russia's participation in NATO's Bosnia peacekeeping force until 1998. IMF withholds loan payment because of continued tax sys- tem problems. Last Russian troops leave Chechnya. NATO talks with Russia bring modification of CFE Treaty demands on Russia, subject to ratification by members. NATO chief Javier Solana visits several CIS nations, which entertain closer NATO ties. Yeltsin reestablishes his leadership with vigorous state of the federation speech. xxxix Table A. ( Continued) Chronology of Important Events Period Description Government streamlining begins with appointments of Chubavs and Boris Nemtsov to powerful positions; Chernomyrdin's power wanes. Second issue of Russian bonds sold on international mar- ket; third issue scheduled. Nationwide labor action gains lukewarm participation; uncoordinated local actions intensify. At CIS summit, Yeltsin fails to reassert Russian domination as several members take independent positions. Helsinki summit with President William J. Clinton yields some economic agreements, continued discord on NATO expansion. Bilateral treaty reaffirms integration of Russia and Belarus. April Moscow summit with Chinese president Jiang Zemin expresses disapproval of United States world domina- tion, yields agreement to reduce troops along shared border. State Duma postpones ratification of Chemical Weapons Convention following United States Congress ratifica- tion. Government proposal to limit government housing subsi- dies brings strong political opposition. Prompted by revenue shortages, Finance Minister Chu- bays submits budget revision to State Duma, cutting US$19 billion in spending. May Peace treaty signed by Russia and Chechnya (Chechnya- Ichkeria); Chechen independence issue remains unre- solved. Igor' Sergeyev replaces Igor' Rodionov as minister of defense following Rodianov's open conflict with other defense authorities. New privatization programs begin in housing, natural gas, railroads, and electric power. Security Council issues new national security doctrine. Terms set for new pipeline from Tengiz oil fields (Kazak- stan) to Black Sea port of Novorossiysk. Russia signs "founding act" agreement with NATO, allow- ing participation in NATO decision making; Russia agrees to drop opposition to NATO expansion in Cen- tral Europe. Yeltsin and Ukraine's president Leonid Kuchma sign treaty of friendship and cooperation, nominally settling dis- putes over territory and ownership of Black Sea Fleet. June State Duma recesses for summer without acting on bud- get-cut proposal, leaving determination of cuts to Gov- ernment. Yeltsin names his daughter Tat'yana Dyachenko an official adviser. Yeltsin participates in Denver G-8 (formerly G-7) meeting as full partner for first time. Government announces allocation of US$2.9 billion to pay long-overdue pensions. Xl Table A. (Continued) Chronology of Important Events Period Description Government announces sale of shares in six state-owned oil companies to increase revenues. Under pressure from Yeltsin, Duma approves new tax code aimed at broadening government's revenue base. June-July Mishaps aboard Mir space station reinforce international doubts about Russia's space program. July Yeltsin declares Russia's economy has "turned the corner" toward growth and stability, statistics show some improvement. New CFE treaty reduces arms in Europe, does not limit NATO movement into Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland as Russia had demanded. Russia offers Japan new conditions for development of dis- puted Kuril Islands; bilateral talks address Japanese investment elsewhere in Russia's Far East. Constitutinal Court rejects Moscow's residency fees as unconstitutional. Yeltsin announces large-scale program for military reform and streamlining. First meeting of NATO-Russia joint council establishes operational procedures. Yeltsin vetoes law restricting activities of non-Orthodox religions, after both houses of parliament had over- whelmingly passed it, Russian Orthodox Church sup- ported it, and human rights organizations condemned it. Yeltsin's drive against official corruption thwarted as high officials refuse to divulge personal finances. August Pro-Yeltsin party, Our Home Is Russia, shaken by resigna- don of parliamentary leader Sergey Belyayev. NATO's Sea Breeze 97 exercise in Ukraine modified from military to humanitarian maneuver after protest by Rus- sia. \feksin announces ruble reform for January 1998, drop- ping three zeros from denomination of currency. Government submits privatization plan for 1998 and draft 1998 budget to Sate Duma; budget calls for 2 percent growth in GDP and annual inflation of 5 percent. Russia and Armenia sign friendship and cooperation treaty tightening military and economic ties. September Duma reconvenes; atop agenda are tax reform bill and consideration of 1998 budget proposal. Shakeups of military establishment continue as Yeltsin dis- misses his Defense Council chief, Yuriy Baturin, and reorganizes Rosvooruzheniye, the foreign arms sales cartel. Overdue tax payments by Gazprom reach US$2.4 billion. Agreement with Chechnya sets terms for repair of Baku (Azerbaijan)-Novorossiysk pipeline through Chechnya, with October 1997 as completion deadline; negotia- tions continue on new pipelines from Central Asia west- ward. Xli Table A. ( Continued) Chronobgy of Important Events Period Description Russia warns NATO against pressure on Bosnian Serb Karadzic faction. Foreign trade figures for first half of 1997 announced; overall surplus US$18.5 billion, down 3.9 percent from first half 1996, including decrease of 11.7 percent in CIS trade. Duma passes land code without provision for sale of land by owner, frustrating Yeltsin's long campaign for reform of land ownership. Worker protests spread across Russia as wage non-payment continues, especially among coal, defense industry, and scientific workers. Yeltsin signs revised bill on religious organizations after "Christianity" added to list of Russia's "traditional," unrestricted faiths; human rights and religious groups protest. xlii Country Profile Country Formal Name: Russian Federation. Short Form: Russia. Term for Citizen(s): Russian (s). Capital: Moscow. Flag: Three equal-sized horizontal bands of white (top), red, and blue. Geography Size: 17,075,200 square kilometers. Topography: Broad plain with low hills west of Urals in European Russia and vast coniferous forests and tundra east of Urals in Siberia. Uplands and mountains along southern border regions in Caucasus Mountains. About 10 percent of land area swampland, about 45 percent covered by forest. Climate: Ranges from temperate to Arctic continental. Winter weather varies from short-term and cold along Black Sea to long-term and frigid in Siberia. Summer conditions vary from warm on steppes to cool along Arctic coast. Much of Russia covered by snow six months of year. Weather usually harsh and unpredictable. Average annual temperature of European Russia 0°C, lower in Siberia. Precipitation low to moderate in most areas; highest amounts in northwest, North Caucasus, and Pacific coast. Land Boundaries: Land borders extend 20,139 kilometers: Azerbaijan 284 kilometers, Belarus 959 kilometers, China 3,645 kilometers, Estonia 290 kilometers, Finland 1,313 kilometers, Georgia 723 kilometers, Kazakstan 6,846 kilometers, Democratic People's Republic of Korea 19 kilometers, Latvia 217 kilometers, Lithuania 227 kilometers, Mongolia 3,441 kilometers, Norway 167 kilometers, Poland 432 kilometers, and Ukraine 1,576 kilometers. Water boundaries: Coastline makes up 37,653 kilometers of xliii border. Arctic, Atlantic, and Pacific oceans touch shores. Land Use: 10 percent arable, 45 percent forest, 5 percent meadows and pasture, and 40 percent other, including tundra. Society Population: According to United States government estimates, 149,909,089. According to official 1996 Russian statistics, 148,200,000. Ethnic Groups: According to 1989 census, Russian 81.5 percent, Tatar 3.8 percent, Ukrainian 3.0 percent, Chuvash 1.2 percent, Bashkir 0.9 percent, Belorussian 0.8 percent, Mordovian 0.7 percent, and other 8.1 percent. Languages: Official language Russian. Approximately 100 others spoken. Religion: In 1996 about 75 percent of believers in Russia considered themselves Russian Orthodox, 19 percent Muslim, and 7 percent other. Religious activity increased sharply in post-Soviet period, given official government and constitutional sanction. Education: About 98 percent of population over age fifteen literate. Constitution guarantees right to free preschool, basic general, and secondary vocational education. Basic general education compulsory until age fifteen. In 1995 about 500 postsecondary schools in operation, including forty-two universities. Postsecondary technical and vocational schools now offer comprehensive education. Private schools and universities emerging in mid-1990s. Health: Health care free of charge in principle, but adequate treatment increasingly depends upon wealth. Doctors poorly paid and poorly trained, and hospitals decrepit. Shortages of nurses, specialized personnel, and medical supplies and equipment persist. National distribution of facilities and medical personnel highly skewed in favor of urban areas, especially politically sensitive cities. About 131 hospital beds per 10,000 population and one doctor for every 275 citizens. 1994 life expectancy 57.3 years for males, 71.1 years for females, having dropped sharply since 1990. Officially reported infant mortality rate 19.9 per 1,000 live births in 1994. Poor quality of water and air in many areas and excessive smoking xliv and alcohol use exacerbate poor health of nation. Labor Force: About 57 percent of population working age. Work force relatively well-educated but ill-suited for challenges of post-Soviet economy. In 1994 some 37 percent of labor force worked in services, 27.7 percent in industry, 14.9 percent in agriculture, 10.9 percent in construction, and 7.6 percent in transport and communications. More than 16 percent of labor force works for government. Economy Salient Features: After years of double-digit declines, gross domestic product (GDP) shrank by only 4 percent in 1995. GDP per capita in 1995 US$4,224. Unemployment rising steadily, to estimated 8.5 percent in 1996; official Russian numbers about half that amount. Inflation, very high in 1994, under much better control under new government policy in 1995-96; April 1997 rate 1.2 percent. Economy increasingly dependent on foreign investment, multilateral loan agencies, and rescheduling of foreign debt. Privatization nearly complete but meeting political opposition to transformation of large state firms. Most prices determined by market. Role of organized crime significant, and much economic activity officially unaccounted for. Agriculture: 6.3 percent of GDP in 1994. Major products grain, sugar beets, sunflower seeds, vegetables, fruits, meat, and milk. Manufacturing: 28.3 percent of GDP in 1994. Principal products machine tools, rolling mills, high-performance aircraft, space vehicles, ships, road and rail transportation equipment, communications equipment, agricultural machinery, tractors and construction equipment, electric- power generating and transmitting equipment, medical and scientific instruments, and consumer durables. Services: 50 percent of GDP in 1994. Tourism important source of foreign currency. Expansion of financial, communications, and information enterprises contributes to growth. Shipping services also major foreign-exchange earner. Mining: Considerable mineral wealth, especially iron ore, copper, phosphates, manganese, chromium, nickel, platinum, diamonds, and gold. Production declined steadily 1990-95. Energy: Russia self-sufficient in fuels and energy production. xlv Natural gas and oil main fuels exploited, coal production declining but still significant; long-distance fuel transportation a significant problem. Main electricity sources: coal 18 percent, nuclear 13 percent, hydroelectric 19 percent, and natural gas 42 percent. Industry consumes 61 percent of energy production. Generation capacity 188 gigawatts. Energy exports most important source of foreign exchange. Foreign Trade: Trade liberalization ongoing, abolishing export duties, restructuring import tariffs, and ending export registration in 1996. Main trading partners Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Switzerland, Britain, the United States, Ukraine, Kazakstan, Belarus, China, and Japan. Exports for 1995 estimated at US$77.8 billion, imports US$57.9 billion. Balance of payments US$13.1 billion in 1995. Capital flight expected to drop to US$1 billion in 1996. Foreign investment strongly encouraged in some sectors, but unpredictable commercial conditions hinder growth. Outstanding Soviet-era debt by Third World countries, between US$100 and US$170 billion, could make Russia creditor country on balance. Currency and Exchange Rate: Ruble. In July 1997, US$1 equaled 5,790 rubles. Fiscal Year: Calendar year. Transportation and Telecommunications Roads: 934,000 kilometers in service in 1995, of which 725,000 kilometers paved or gravel and of which 445,000 kilometers serve only specific industries or farms. Automobile travel expanding, but roads inadequate in quality and quantity. Railroads: 154,000 kilometers wide-gauge in 1995, of which 87,000 kilometers for common carrier service. 49,000 kilometers diesel, and 38,000 kilometers electrified. Proportion of cargo shipping by rail high by Western standards. System in need of large-scale repair. Civil Aviation: 2,517 airports, of which fifty-four with paved runways over 3,047 meters. In 1990s hundreds of private airlines formed. Aeroflot, the state monopoly of Soviet Union, now joint-stock company with majority of stock held by government. Major international airports include Sheremet'evo in Moscow and Pulkovo in St. Petersburg. Flights to most major world capitals and major cities within xlvi Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). Ports and Shipping: Main ports Arkhangelsk, Astrakhan', Kaliningrad, Kazan', Khabarovsk, Kholmsk, Krasnoyarsk, Magadan, Moscow, Murmansk, Nakhodka, Nevel'sk, Novorossiysk, Petropavlovsk, Rostov-na-Donu, Sochi, St. Petersburg, Tuapse, Vladivostok, Volgograd, Vostochnyy, and Vyborg. Merchant fleet 800 vessels in 1995. Some 235 ships operating under Maltese, Cypriot, Liberian, Panamanian, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Honduran, Marshall Islands, Bahamian, and Vanuatu registry. Inland waterways: Total navigable routes in general use 101,000 kilometers. Pipelines: Crude oil, 48,000 kilometers; petroleum products, 15,000 kilometers; natural gas, 140,000 kilometers. Telecommunications: 24,400,000 telephones; 20,900,000 in urban areas and 3,500,000 in rural areas in 1995. Development of modern communications lines and acquisition of advanced equipment slow. Diversity in radio and television programming increasing since late 1980s. Access to Internet and cellular phones expanding, but poor state of telecommunications hinders country's modernization. Government and Politics Government: Democratic, federative form of government under 1993 constitution. Divided into executive, legislative, and judicial branches. President, elected to four-year term, sets basic tone of domestic and foreign policy, represents state at home and abroad. Prime minister appoints Government (cabinet) to administer executive-branch functions. Forty ministries, state committees, and services; reduction in Government size planned late 1996. Prime minister administers policy according to constitution, laws, and presidential decrees. New Government named August 1996 following presidential election, retaining some key members from previous administration. Boris N. Yeltsin president, first elected 1991. Viktor Chernomyrdin prime minister, reap- pointed August 1996. Parliament, bicameral Federal Assembly, has lower house, State Duma, with 450 members serving four- year terms; last election December 1995. Upper house, Fed- eration Council, has 178 seats (two members representing the executive and legislative bodies of each of the eighty-nine xlvii subnational jurisdictions). Three highest judicial bodies Con- stitutional Court, Supreme Court, and Superior Court of Arbi- tration. Judges appointed by president with confirmation from the Federation Council required. Jurisprudence advancing slowly toward Western standards; jury trials held only in some regions. Politics: Largest party representation in State Duma by Communist Party of the Russian Federation, Liberal- Democratic Party of Russia, Our Home Is Russia, and Yabloko coalition. More than a dozen other parties have representation in State Duma. Personal connections, personalities retain impact in politics as national parties develop slowly, government figures avoid party affiliation; shifting coalitions typical in State Duma. Seventy-eight nominal independents in State Duma. Administrative Divisions: Twenty-one autonomous republics, forty-nine oblasts (provinces), six territories (kraya; sing., kray), ten autonomous regions (okruga; sing., okrug), one autono- mous oblast. Cities of Moscow and St. Petersburg with separate status at oblast level. Foreign Relations: In early 1990s, basically pro-Western, drastic change from Soviet era. Russia cofounded Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) in 1991 and assumed Soviet Union seats in many international organizations. Dependence on foreign assistance greatly increased in 1990s. Beginning in 1993, substantial domestic political pressure mitigated stance toward participation in Western-dominated organizations and treaties, reemphasis of independent national power. So-called Eurasianism assumes unique role in world affairs and primary concerns in Asia rather than Europe. Chechnya crisis and nuclear transactions with Iran bring international criticism, although summits with United States president continue, 1997. Policy toward successor states marked by interest in reinte- gration of CIS countries and well-being of Russians living outside borders of Russian Federation. Expansion of North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) into Central Europe major issue in 1996. Other key issues include improvement of relations with China and insistence on strict interpretation of the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty (ABM Treaty). Member of Council of Europe, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), International Labour Organisation (ILO), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International xlviii Criminal Police Organization (Interpol), NATO Partnership for Peace (PfP), United Nations (UN) and its Security Council, and World Bank. National Security Armed Forces: Approximately 1.5 million personnel in 1996, but sharp cuts and reorganization forecast. Term of active duty two years. Units filled mainly by conscription, with some contract personnel. Women may serve if they possess specialized skills. Armed forces divided into ground forces, naval forces, air forces, air defense forces, strategic rocket forces. Ground forces personnel 670,000 (210,000 conscripts); naval forces 200,000 (40,000 conscripts); air forces 130,000 (40,000 conscripts); air defense forces 200,000 (60,000 conscripts); strategic rocket forces 100,000 (50,000 conscripts). Military Presence Overseas: Transcaucasus Group of Forces — 9,000 personnel in Armenia, with one air defense MiG-23 squadron. 22,000 personnel in Georgia, with one air force composite regiment of thirty-five aircraft. Azerbaijan refuses Russian troop presence. Forces in other former Soviet republics: Moldova 6,400 personnel, Tajikistan 12,000 personnel, Turkmenistan 11,000 personnel, and several thousand each in Kazakstan and Kyrgyzstan. Contributions to UN missions in Angola, Bosnia, Croatia, Georgia, Haiti, Iraq/ Kuwait, Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, Rwanda, and Western Sahara. Signal and intelligence personnel in Vietnam, Syria, Cuba, Mongolia, and parts of Africa. Military Budget: 1997 defense budget submitted August 1996 allots 100.8 trillion rubles (about US$19 billion), of 260 trillion rubles requested by Ministry of Defense. Anticipated 1998 budget somewhat higher. Maintenance and salaries far below required levels. Anti-inflationary budget restraints cause dissension among ministries and continued military morale decline. Internal Security Forces: Reorganized after fall of Soviet Union but with many extraconstitutional functions ongoing and only partial transparency. Power, but not effectiveness, grows as crime wave continues in mid-1990s. Ministry of Internal Affairs had 540,000 troops, including regular police and special units, in 1996. Federal Border Service, 135,000 troops in 1994, then augmented substantially. Main Guard Directorate (presidential xlix guard), 20,000 troops, 1994. Troops of Federal Security Service and Ministry of Internal Affairs heavily involved in Chechnya conflict, 1994-96. 1 Introduction RUSSIA IS THE LARGEST of the fifteen geopolitical entities that emerged in 1991 from the Soviet Union. Covering more than 17 million square kilometers in Europe and Asia, Russia succeeded the Soviet Union as the largest country in the world. As was the case in the Soviet and tsarist eras, the center of Rus- sia's population and economic activity is the European sector, which occupies about one-quarter of the country's territory. Vast tracts of land in Asian Russia are virtually unoccupied. Although numerous Soviet programs had attempted to popu- late and exploit resources in Siberia and the Arctic regions of the Russian Republic, the population of Russia's remote areas decreased in the 1990s. Thirty-nine percent of Russia's terri- tory but only 6 percent of its population in 1996 was located east of Lake Baikal, the geographical landmark in south-central Siberia. The territorial extent of the country constitutes a major economic and political problem for Russian govern- ments lacking the far-reaching authoritarian clout of their Soviet predecessors. In the Soviet political system, which was self-described as a democratic federation of republics, the center of authority for almost all actions of consequence was Moscow, the capital of the Russian Republic. After the breakup of the Soviet Union in 1991, that long-standing concentration of power meant that many of the other fourteen republics faced independence without any experience at self-governance. For Russia, the end of the Soviet Union meant facing the world without the consid- erable buffer zone of Soviet republics that had protected and nurtured it in various ways since the 1920s; the change required complete reorganization of what had become a thor- oughly corrupt and ineffectual socialist system. Under those circumstances, Russia has undergone an ago- nizing process of self-analysis and refocusing of national goals. That process, which seemingly had only begun in the mid- 1990s, has been observed and commented upon with more analytic energy than any similar transformation in the history of the world. As information pours out past the ruins of the Iron Curtain, a new, more reliable portrait of Russia emerges, but substantial mystery remains. liii J; GERMANY Habit Sen REp ! \ , S / ^'esT\ Vt ' 62 \ « •. \ ~ : l± SI Petri . buitij { POLAND VuthVaT.O \ • \ , > (HI r ./s,-A./'3 / r 1 7- 2 /*y il boundary Mapr jurisdictional boundary Jurisdictional subdivision boundary Demarcation line and demilitarized Populated place 1 NORWAY y —*..<-■■ DENMARK . L.- SWEDEN i ini and UKRAINE ) / 'Black. .Tj- \ 64^ 84 k " J„ TURKEY V 00 U • 67 1 '" GEORGIA^ J~ ,S ^ ARMENIA / SYRIA .O / ■ ; \ AZERBAIJAN / IHAQ> J , n an 1 Volo.Mi.nl ( .tt) Astrakhan' (27) Saratov (28) Ural (8) Vladimir (19) Orenburg (31) Kemerovo (43) Belgorod (9) Ryazan' (20) Arkhangelsk (32) Irkutsk (44) Voirtlivhtim Ni:l.nivNo\ooio.l(.'1> Mumunsk (.1.11 Chita (411 Kirov (22) Vologda (34) Amur (46) , 28 X. 30 >/ >^ / KAZAKSTAN JURISDICTIONS Magadan (47) Chelyabinsk (36) Sakhalin (48) Kurgan (37) Kamchatka (49) Sverdlovsk (38) Autonomous C Tyumen' (39) Birobidzhan (50. " <(40) Khabarovsk Oblast) Khanty-Mansi (54. Tyumen' Oblast) Permyak (55. Perm' Oblast) Aga Buryat (56. Chita Oblast) Ust-Orda Buryat (57, < Oblast) UlVanovsk (29) Novosibirsk (41) Autonomous Regions: Taymyr (58. Krasnoyarsk Territory) Ingushetia (67) Dagestan (72) Karelia (62) Kalmykia (73) Adygea (63) Udmurlia (74) Karachayevo-Cherkessia (64) Talarstan (75) Kabardino-Balkaria (65) North Osselia i-Nenats (52. { Oblast) s(53, i Arkhangelsk Oblast) , Krasnoyarsk Territory) Chechnya (68)' Koryak (60. Kamchatka Oblast) Mordovia (69) Chukchi (61. Magadan Oblast) I El (71) Gorno-Altay (78) Primorskiy (88) Khakassia (79) ._ . . Tyva(BO) Boundary b Buryat,a(81) Chechnya a Sakha (82) Ingushetia Figure 1. Administrative Divisions of Russia, 1996 lii In a history-making year, the regime of President Mikhail S. Gorbachev of the Soviet Union was mortally injured by an unsuccessful coup in August 1991. After all the constituent republics, including Russia, had voted for independence in the months that followed the coup, Gorbachev announced in December 1991 that the nation would cease to exist. In place of the monolithic union, there remained the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS — see Glossary), a loose confederation of eleven of the former Soviet republics, which now were inde- pendent states with an indefinite mandate of mutual coopera- tion. By late 1991, the Communist Party of the Soviet Union (CPSU — see Glossary) and the Communist Party of the Russian Republic had been banned in Russia, and Boris N. Yeltsin, who had been elected president of the Russian Republic in June 1991, had become the leader of the new Russian Federation. In the late 1980s, Yeltsin's appeals for political reform gained him the enmity of the communist hierarchy, including Gor- bachev, but he won the support of a Russian public whose self- expression had been liberated by Gorbachev's own policy of glasnost (literally, public voicing — see Glossary). In that period, the atmosphere of Russia, especially its main cities, Moscow and Leningrad, was one of expectation that significant political changes finally would occur after the sclerotic decades of the Brezhnev regime (1964-82). The first years of Yeltsin's presi- dency, which began with an overt challenge to the Soviet Union's authority over Russian affairs, brought a surge of activ- ity that promised economic and political reform and an end to the economic stagnation and social malaise of the 1980s. Both Russians and Westerners hoped that Russia could make a short, painless transformation to democratic rule and free-market economics. Although events of the first five post-Soviet years provided some reasons for optimism, all observers soon real- ized that whatever transformation Russia was to experience would require much more time, and would yield much less pre- dictable results, than initially expected. At the time it became independent, the Russian Federation included nineteen autonomous republics, ten autonomous regions, and one autonomous oblast, each designated for a particular ethnic group. The ethnically Russian population was (and remains) the largest group in all but a handful of the republics and autonomous regions; most of the exceptions, where the local ethnic groups constitute a majority, are located in the North Caucasus. liv In 1989 the Baltic republics' declarations of sovereignty within the Soviet Union began a cascade of similar declarations by jurisdictions within Russia. In the second half of 1990 alone, ten of Russia's autonomous republics declared sovereignty. When Russia became an independent state, perceptions of Moscow's weakness further encouraged separatist movements, which in turn prompted a long-term campaign by the Yeltsin government to maintain the federation intact. Although some experts predicted that the Russian Federation ultimately would suffer the same fragmentation as the Soviet Union, little evi- dence of such an outcome has been seen in the first five years of the post-Soviet era. In 1992 Moscow began the struggle to preserve the federa- tion by inducing all but two autonomous republics (Chechnya and Tatarstan) to sign the Federation Treaty defining the respective areas of jurisdiction of the national and regional governments. The treaty included definitions of sovereignty over natural resources and other economic assets. Since the treaty was signed, Moscow's hegemony has been threatened in several other instances, the most notable being the Republic of Chechnya's fulfillment of its 1991 declaration of independence by a coup against the republic's Russian-controlled government in 1993. Chechnya's defiance and the hapless military response that Russia initiated against the republic in 1994 encouraged other regions to seek more power. In most cases, including oil- rich Tatarstan and diamond-rich Sakha (Yakutia), the Yeltsin government has signed compromise bilateral treaties assuaging local demands, which are mostly economic. Some of Russia's fifty-five lesser jurisdictions — the six territories and the forty- nine oblasts — have made similar demands. Because the federal government has not been able to enforce its policies on a num- ber of issues, the jurisdictions have taken varying approaches to economic and political reform, creating a patchwork effect that has inhibited interregional cooperation. The military failure in Chechnya was the most obvious indi- cation of a grave overall decline in post-Soviet Russia's military establishment. The Soviet military earned society's gratitude by its performance in the Great Patriotic War (as World War II is commonly called in Russia), a costly but unified and heroic defense of the homeland against invading Nazi armies. In the postwar era, the Soviet military maintained its positive image and budgetary support in good part because of incessant gov- lv ernment propaganda about the need to defend the country against the capitalist West. The demise of the Soviet Union also ended much of the threat of military confrontation between Russia and the West that had characterized the Cold War. Already in the mid-1980s, however, Soviet military doctrine had begun shifting to a more defensive posture in recognition of the country's economic limitations, even as Soviet occupation of the Warsaw Pact (see Glossary) nations and of Afghanistan continued. Beginning in 1988, the Soviet military establishment suffered a series of major blows. The military operation in Afghanistan, which had little success against fervid guerrilla forces, was declared a fail- ure in 1988, and Soviet forces withdrew after nearly ten years of combat. In 1989 the Warsaw Pact alliance began to disintegrate as all the East European member nations rejected their com- munist governments; the alliance dissolved in 1991, and by 1994 all Russian forces had left Eastern Europe. The third blow, the end of the Soviet Union itself, required withdrawal of troops stationed in the other fourteen republics; in this process, much equipment and weaponry was left behind and claimed by the newly independent states. The successive return of large numbers of troops into Russia after each of these three events caused an enormous logistical problem for the military; furthermore, the morale of the institution was seriously eroded by withdrawals of unprecedented magnitude from regions assumed to be permanent parts of the Soviet domain. At the same time, serious examples of corruption were exposed at the highest command levels of the armed forces. In 1992 the Russian Federation inherited the bulk of the Soviet Union's armed forces as well as all of their problems. In the early 1990s, there were new ramifications of the morale and command problems that had surfaced earlier. In a new social environment of permissiveness and diversification, increasing numbers of Russia's youth rejected military service as a patri- otic duty, many top individuals in the junior officer corps resigned because of poor pay and housing, and the incidence of crime increased significantly. At the same time, corruption and politicization destroyed the unity that had characterized the senior officer corps during the Soviet era. These changes all occurred as the need for a new set of national security guidelines became increasingly evident. Within a few years, both the geopolitical and the budgetary conditions of Russia's lvi military had changed dramatically without appropriate adjust- ments in military doctrine. Although the size of the military was reduced between 1992 and 1996 from about 2.8 million personnel to about 1.5 million, reductions were disproportion- ately high in the enlisted ranks, leaving a bloated officer corps. In 1996 both the military doctrine (which was updated frag- mentarily in 1993) and military equipment still reflected the Soviet-era priority of large-scale mechanized land war and/or nuclear war to be fought on the continent of Europe. In 1996 elements of a new military doctrine appeared, but fundamental conflict remained between reformers and hard- liners in the policy-making establishment. The strong positions taken by the opposing sides suggested that enacting a compre- hensive new doctrine would involve a long struggle. Despite the diminished capability of Russia's economy to support the military, hard-liners insisted that major reductions would dam- age national security. As budgetary support of routine military readiness has shrunk drastically in the mid-1990s, calls for large-scale reform have intensified. Among the main reform elements cited are downsizing the armed forces, shifting their emphasis to mobile warfare, eliminating much of the corrupt and flabby corps of senior officers, relying more heavily on con- tract volunteers rather than conscripts, and discarding the con- cept of military parity with the United States. In July 1996, the State Duma (the lower house of the Russian parliament) began hearings on reform measures. In December the Duma recom- mended the formation of a federal department to set military reform guidelines through 2005, together with a 25 percent increase in the military budget. The condition of the military forces remains an important part of Russia's national self-image. The Chechnya conflict, the first post-Soviet test of those forces, revealed shocking insuffi- ciencies even in elite units. In mid-1996 the dismissal of Minis- ter of Defense Pavel Grachev, upon whom the most blame for Chechnya had been heaped, produced no visible improve- ment. In August 1996, the sudden loss of the Chechen capital of Groznyy, from which Russian forces had driven the Chechen guerrillas in 1995, forced the withdrawal of Russian forces under the terms of the cease-fire that followed. In the second half of 1996, ultimate responsibility for mili- tary policy remained balanced uncertainly between civilian and military authorities, as it was when Grachev was minister of defense. In November 1996, a call for a new military doctrine lvii by Yeltsin's civilian Defense Council met stiff resistance from the Ministry of Defense. Grachev's successor, Igor' Rodionov, inherited a force with plummeting morale, gravely deteriorating materiel support, minimal training, and no clear doctrine. In the second draft call of 1996, an estimated 37,000 men out of a target number of 215,000 conscripts failed to report. This was the largest recorded episode of draft dodging since the establishment of the Soviet Union. The budget passed in January 1997 added only token amounts to the 1996 allotment of US$19 billion. The budget provided for only about 38 percent of the Ministry of Defense's budget request and made no allowance for infla- tion. The 1997 budget package caused Rodionov to curse the Ministry of Finance as Grachev had, intensifying tensions among the "power ministries" of the Government (cabinet). Meanwhile, in the last months of 1996 the pay arrears of the Ministry of Defense mounted steadily, and there were rumors that military strike committees had been formed. Already in August, an estimated US$2.8 billion was owed to Russia's mili- tary personnel. Rodionov also repeated Grachev's complaint that military units of the internal security agencies received funding that should go to the Ministry of Defense. The exact troop levels of those units are unknown, but in the second half of 1996 some estimates exceeded 1 million. Rodionov predicted that the grandiose plans of Yeltsin and others for military restructuring and modernization would be frustrated without significant expenditures in the transition period. The plans included large-scale force reduction, a new military doctrine matching Russia's less stressful post-Cold-War geopolitical position, and possibly an all-volunteer force. In January 1997, the Ministry of Defense submitted a reform plan whose first step was increased funding. The Defense Council submitted a rival, long-term plan extending beyond 2005 and calling for 30 percent reductions in defense and non-defense troop levels as the first reform step, citing the country's low financial resources. The conflicting emphasis of the two plans exacerbated the existing disagreements in the defense estab- lishment, specifically between Rodionov and Defense Council chief Yuriy Baturin, over the direction of reform. Meanwhile, accusations of corruption and incompetence in the military establishment continued, with Duma Defense Committee chairman Lev Rokhlin, a retired general, levying the most serious charges. Those charges combined with the lviii military's abject failure in Chechnya to further erode the authority of the Ministry of Defense under Rodionov. In December 1996, Yeltsin forced Rodionov to resign his commis- sion in order to move the ministry toward civilian rather than military control. As Russia's military deteriorated, the arms export activities of its defense industries continued to grow. In 1995 Russia exported more arms to developing countries than any other producer; China was its best customer. Total 1995 sales were estimated at US$6 billion, an increase of 62 percent over 1994. At the end of 1996, defense authorities announced that foreign arms sales would play a prominent role in financing military reform in coming years. In early 1997, Russia angered the West by selling S-300 missile systems to the Republic of Cyprus and by selling a third Kilo-class diesel submarine to Iran. Some of the most visible domestic products of the arms industry suffered production delays in 1996. In November con- struction began on the Yuriy Dolgorukiy, the first in the new Severodvinsk class of strategic missile submarines described as superior to any existing model and expected to carry Russia's sea-based nuclear missiles after 2000. Plans had called for three such boats to go into production in 1996. The Petr Velikiy, a powerful, heavily armed cruiser whose keel was laid in 1986, finally took its maiden voyage in October 1996 after years of production delays. In March 1997, the Moscow Aviation Pro- duction Association (MAPO) postponed serial production of an advanced multifunctional fighter, targeting instead the MiG-35 fighter destined for overseas sales. The agencies of internal security have fared better than the military in the post-Soviet era. Throughout the Soviet period, these agencies were among the most firmly entrenched and respected national institutions. A succession of internal secu- rity agencies, ending with the Committee for State Security (Komitet gosudarstvennoy bezopasnosti — KGB; see Glossary), struck fear in the Soviet population by thoroughly penetrating all of society and launching periodic purges (the most violent of which occurred in the 1930s) against elements of society deemed harmful to the socialist state. In the post-Soviet era, internal security agencies generally have received more solid support from the Yeltsin government than the armed forces, although specific agencies have been favored. The Federal Security Service (FSB), the most direct successor to the KGB, has a broad mandate for intelligence lix gathering inside Russia and abroad when national security is threatened, and no concrete governmental oversight is pre- scribed in legislation. Human rights advocates in Russia and elsewhere, sensitive to the precedent of unbridled KGB power, have criticized the direct presidential control of internal secu- rity agencies such as the FSB, and human rights violations have been documented. Armed units of the FSB and the Ministry of Internal Affairs (MVD) were heavily involved in the Chechnya campaign. Russia's still-powerful internal security agencies also were hit by scandal in 1996 when the former financial head of the Fede- ral Agency for Government Communications and Information (FAPSI) was imprisoned by its sister agency, the FSB, for embezzling large sums from the FAPSI budget. Although the affair received no official acknowledgment, the independent press reported a major power struggle between powerful suc- cessor agencies of the KGB. Such a scenario would continue a series of rearrangements of the former KGB agencies that have occurred in the 1990s because of political power struggles rather than security considerations. Rampant, well-publicized corruption in the security agencies has eroded public confidence in all of Russian law enforce- ment. In July 1996, the Ministry of Internal Affairs (MVD) reported that 1,400 employees of the regular police (militia) had been arrested in 1995 for various types of criminal activity, including participation in crimes by criminal organizations of the mafiya. That report was the result of the MVD's Clean Hands Campaign, a highly publicized public-confidence pro- gram begun in 1995 to purge law enforcement agencies of dis- honest members. But, according to most accounts, the 1995 arrests removed only a very small part of Russia's internal secu- rity corruption. Russia has experimented cautiously with Western-style juris- prudence and penal reform. In the mid-1990s, jury trials were introduced in some regions, and the rights of accused persons and prison inmates were stipulated more concretely. Neverthe- less, major elements of the Soviet system remain in the juris- prudence of the Russian Federation. For example, procurators (public prosecutors) still have both investigative and prosecu- torial functions, and expansion of the jury system has met sub- stantial resistance among entrenched Soviet-era judges and procurators. In addition, prison conditions have deteriorated substantially because Russia's crime wave has increased the Ix prison population but funding is not available for new facilities. In early 1997, more than one-quarter of the prison population was awaiting trial, and pretrial detention lasted as long as three years for some individuals. Russia's procurator general, Yuriy Skuratov, reported that his office had been overwhelmed in 1996 with 1.2 million court cases, for which it had only about 7,000 investigators. He noted that the same trend was continu- ing in 1997. After many delays and amendments, a new Criminal Code went into effect on January 1, 1997. An estimated 150,000 crim- inal cases were expected to require review based on the new code, and many prisoners will be released because the laws under which they were convicted no longer exist. A separate criminal correction code defining conditions in the prison sys- tem was scheduled to go into effect in July 1997. Compounding Russia's other problems are deteriorating environmental conditions, the extent of which became clear only gradually during the 1990s. Among the most serious haz- ards in Russia are pollution of ground water and bodies of water in most of European Russia; air pollution from the vent- ing of unprocessed industrial by-products; large concentrations of waste chemicals from industry and agriculture; and actual and potential radiological pollution from civilian and military nuclear installations. In August 1996, the Bellona Foundation of Oslo, long a vocal critic of Russia's nuclear waste procedures, issued a damn- ing report on the threat posed to Arctic regions by Russia's nuclear waste disposal practices and at least thirty-six decom- missioned nuclear submarines at anchor near Murmansk with their reactors on board. Bellona described the Murmansk region as having the world's largest concentration of active and defunct nuclear reactors, many of which are not maintained or disposed of properly. According to the report, the FSB obstructed the foundation's investigation and imprisoned Alek- sandr Nikitin, the retired Russian naval officer who was a key author of the report. As Nikitin's trial was delayed repeatedly, his case attracted international protests. Meanwhile, the interdepartmental Commission for Ecologi- cal Safety, headed by senior environmental authority Aleksey Yablokov, continued releasing shocking statistics about Russia's environmental quality. For example, in 1996 one in five tap- water samples failed to meet public health chemical standards, and about 40 percent of sewage was being dumped untreated lxi into bodies of water, with Moscow and St. Petersburg among the regions most affected. In the second half of 1996, Yablokov lobbied Yeltsin unsuccessfully to expand the ecological safety commission and its funding. Russian environmentalists won a battle in December 1996 when a regional referendum soundly rejected completion of the Kostroma Nuclear Power Station, on which construction had been suspended after the Chernobyl' disaster of 1986. This was Russia's first referendum on such an issue; the 59 percent turnout made the vote legally binding. In February 1997, the Republic of Sakha announced plans to conserve one-quarter of its vast Siberian territory, including the world's largest tract of virgin forest, protecting several endangered species and the shrinking indigenous population of Evenk nomads. That plan bypassed national authorities — an increasingly frequent trend in environmental and other matters. The Sakha government received a support grant directly from a Swiss environmental organization. The "social umbrella" of the Soviet Union's socialist system, which nominally had guaranteed all citizens employment, health care, child care, pensions, and universal, high-quality education, also encountered problems. By the 1980s, many of the more than 200 million citizens covered by the umbrella began receiving fewer benefits or benefits of lesser quality. The Soviet education and health systems, which offered top-quality service only to the country's political, scientific, and cultural elite, were undermined by the infrastructural and organiza- tional failures inherent in such centrally planned systems. The Soviet concept of guaranteed employment eroded the national economy by encouraging slipshod labor and malingering. In the 1990s, the state's social welfare system retained the bureaucratic complexities of the Soviet era, but it did not keep pace with the needs of society. As runaway inflation devalued the fixed payments of the pension system, many citizens depending on fixed incomes fell below the official poverty line, which in late 1996 was about US$67 per month. In 1996 an esti- mated 30 percent of those with fixed incomes and about 24 percent of the total population were in that category. The gov- ernment's failure to index welfare programs also reduced the value of a wide variety of other entitlements that had provided Soviet workers with substantial savings in the cost of living. Nev- ertheless, Soviet-era programs such as maternity leave, child care, free medical facilities, and housing subsidies remained lxii substantially unchanged in the mid-1990s, continuing expecta- tions that increasingly strained the federal budget. Reforms such as pension indexation and differentiation of individual contributions to pension funds were only beginning to appear in the mid-1990s. By that time, the government's inability to collect taxes and other obligated funds had had a major impact on social programs. In the fall of 1996, an esti- mated US$3 billion in pension payments were overdue. At that point, the Pension Fund, which is administered by the Ministry of Social Protection, was owed US$8.5 billion by the enterprises that are the main contributors. The federal budget also owed money to the fund, which by mid-1996 had exhausted its com- mercial bank credits by taking loans to make pension pay- ments. Russia's health care system also deteriorated substantially in the 1990s. Equipment and medicines are in increasingly short supply, aging facilities have not been replaced, and existing facilities often are inaccessible. Medical personnel generally are not trained as rigorously as their contemporaries in the West, and chronic failures to pay doctors and nurses have exac- erbated shortages in those professions. The 1997 national bud- get allocated US$1.6 billion for health, an increase of US$158 million over 1996, but most of the new money was targeted for medical centers in large cities. The 1997 figure was 2.6 percent of the gross domestic product (GDP — see Glossary), compared with the World Health Organization's recommended mini- mum share of 5 percent. Failures in health care are one aspect of an increasingly grave health crisis afflicting the Russian population as a whole in the 1990s. Other elements of the crisis include widespread and acute environmental pollution of various types, which gov- ernment programs and nongovernmental "green" organiza- tions have not been able to ameliorate; the continued heavy use of tobacco and alcohol and a growing narcotics addiction problem; and poor hygiene and nutrition practices among large portions of the population. In the first ten months of 1996, confirmed cases of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) were four times more numer- ous than in all of 1995, with drug addicts accounting for about 70 percent of cases. Although the official estimate of HIV cases was fewer than 2,000 in 1996, other estimates placed the num- ber at ten times that many. The Ministry of Health reported that only 50,000 of Russia's estimated 2 million drug addicts lxiii were under treatment for their addiction in 1996. In 1996 health experts identified alcoholism as the number-one cause of premature death in Russia, a situation exacerbated by the estimated 68 percent of alcohol products that contain foreign substances. By 1995 Russia's average life expectancy had fallen to only fifty-seven years for males and seventy-one for females, and natural population growth has been negative since 1992. In the first nine months of 1996, the population showed a net decrease of 350,000, dropping to 147.6 million according to the State Committee for Statistics. Russia's education system has suffered from the same short- ages and lack of support as its health system. And education, accorded high value in Soviet society, seems to have lost some of its esteem in a fragmented Russian society where many tradi- tional institutions are viewed with unprecedented skepticism. In the 1990s, the centralized, rigid Soviet education system has given way to a system that gives localities substantial autonomy in shaping curricula and hiring teachers. This opportunity for creativity has been hampered, however, by two conditions: because many Soviet-trained Russian educators do not under- stand individual initiative and autonomy, many schools have perpetuated the rote memorization methods of the past; and, as in other aspects of Russian social policy, funding for person- nel and infrastructure has been woefully inadequate. Teachers, always underpaid in the Soviet system, have been impoverished by the Russian system, and many have left the profession since 1992. In this atmosphere, private schools have begun to offer creative curricula to students who can afford to eschew public schooling. According to Deputy Prime Minister Viktor Ilyushin, by October 1996 education and culture had received only 65 percent and 30 percent, respectively, of the 1996 budget funds allotted to them. In late 1996 and early 1997, the highest pro- portion of striking workers were teachers. Beginning in the late 1980s, religion assumed a more impor- tant role in the lives of many Russians, and in the life of the Russian state as well. Russian Orthodoxy, the dominant reli- gion of Russia since the ruler Vladimir accepted Christianity in A.D. 988, was subservient to the state from the time of Peter the Great (r. 1682-1725) until 1917; nevertheless, it exerted a pow- erful influence on the spiritual lives of most Russians. In the Soviet period, the activities of the church were further restricted as most churches and monasteries were closed and religious observances strongly discouraged. Ixiv In the late 1980s, the Gorbachev regime began to restore the church's property and rights; official observance of the millen- nium of Russian Orthodoxy in 1988 was a watershed event in that process. Beginning in 1992, the Russian Orthodox patri- archate, which had been restored in 1917 only to be repressed for the next seventy years, assumed growing influence in state as well as spiritual affairs. Many churches were built and restored, and in the early 1990s millions of Russians returned to regular worship. However, by early 1997 Orthodox Russians attended church at about the same rate as religious believers in West European countries. In the 1990s, politicians have eagerly sought the opinion of the church on most important issues, and in 1996 even the communist presidential candidate, Gen- nadiy Zyuganov, made an appearance with Patriarch Aleksiy II an important element of his campaign. Other religious groups also have enjoyed relative freedom in the post-Soviet period, with some limitations. Mainstream Prot- estant, Roman Catholic, and Muslim groups are fully accepted by the state and the Orthodox Church, but the Orthodox hier- archy often has used its dominant position to discourage or block the activities of their congregations. The new freedom of the Gorbachev era brought a wave of Western evangelical groups whose proselytizing the Orthodox hierarchy viewed with alarm and hostility. In mid-1996 the State Duma passed legislation establishing a state committee to monitor the activ- ity of such groups. The law was introduced by nationalist allies of the Orthodox Church and opposed by democratic factions as unconstitutional. The Jewish community, whose religious and cultural activities have blossomed in Russia in the 1990s, still experiences subtle forms of discrimination. The problems of post-Soviet Russia also are based directly in economic circumstances. Some of the reasons for Russia's uneven progress are found in the legacy of the Soviet era, oth- ers in post-Soviet economic policies. For the majority of Rus- sian citizens, the ballyhooed economic reforms of the 1990s did not improve the quality of life; indeed, in 1996 the "shock" of Russia's transition to a free-enterprise system seemed to be intensifying rather than subsiding, as unemployment figures rose and more Russians slipped below the official poverty line. In the first half of 1996, the number of registered unemployed workers increased by 16 percent, totaling 2.7 million — but a much higher number of Russians remained unemployed and failed to register for meager state benefits. According to an offi- lxv cial report, average real incomes decreased by about 40 per- cent between 1991 and October 1996. Russia's society has become increasingly divided according to economic categories. As the majority of Russian citizens struggle to remain above the poverty line, a small minority have prospered through high-risk economic ventures that often involve connections with the mafiya, Russia's pervasive network of organized criminal organizations. Members of the successful minority increasingly are distinguished from the majority of society by conspicuous consumption, which has engendered strong feelings of resentment. Another type of post-Soviet success story is demonstrated by former members of the Soviet official elite, the nomenklatura, who have used Soviet-era connections to gain access to financial resources and influential enterprise positions in the new system. By 1997 experts had identified a new oligarchy — the post-Soviet entre- preneurs who have built personal empires and strong ties with the government at the expense of their fellow Russians. Rus- sian society also is increasingly divided by generations. Older Russians have found adapting to the complexities and chal- lenges of post-Soviet society much more difficult than have their younger compatriots, so the former often preserve as much as possible of their former lives, garnished with nostalgia for an idealized Soviet past Moscow has become the center of Russia's economic activity, both personal and corporate, far outstripping St. Petersburg, which in the Soviet era was the more cosmopolitan city. Many foreign investors have concentrated their activity in Moscow, where all of Russia's large banks are headquartered and where the energetic Mayor Yuriy Luzhkov has fostered rapid commer- cial expansion with active government participation. Mean- while, the luxurious life of the new Moscow upper class has spread very little to the hinterlands. The increasing availability of land and materials has enabled some individuals to escape dependency on the old housing subsidy system (which nevertheless remained active in 1997). In the transition to a fully privatized housing system that began in 1992, the scarcity of resources and high inflation drove pri- vate housing prices beyond the reach of most Russians; in the mid-1990s, the slow, uneven progress of housing reform meant the continued existence of long waiting lists and very crowded housing conditions, especially in the cities. Ixvi The Soviet and Russian economies have been supported by one of the richest supplies of natural resources in the world. Fuels, minerals, timber, and a well-educated labor force always have been strong principal assets of industry. But the location of Russia's raw materials often has presented a transportation problem. As the industrial centers of European Russia used up nearby fuels and other resources, the more distant supplies of Siberia have become critical but expensive alternatives. The sheer volume of available raw materials encouraged tremen- dous waste in the Soviet system; central planning took into account neither the possibility of running out of materials nor the grave environmental damage caused by uncontrolled exploitation. Economic policy in the Soviet Union was the exclusive domain of planners in the central government, whose quotas and distribution decisions ruled virtually all economic activity in Russia and the other Soviet republics. Resource apportion- ment in that system favored heavy industry and the military- industrial complex at the expense of consumer production, token revival of which was attempted sporadically beginning with the regime of Nikita S. Khrushchev (in office 1953-64). The services sector remained underdeveloped, and agricul- tural production policy precluded private landownership and relied almost entirely on collective farms (see Glossary) and state farms (see Glossary). Central allocation of resources and price establishment created an inflexible economic system whose production and consumption sides had no relation to each other. The basic unit of planning, the five-year plan (see Glossary), set long-term goals whose basis in real economic conditions often was nonexistent by the end of the period. The Soviet planning system also produced a substantial class of state bureaucrats, many of whom preserved their influential and highly profitable positions in state enterprises (and hence their stubborn opposition to economic reform) well into the post- Soviet era. The Soviet state also had full control of foreign trade. The vast majority of Russia's overseas commercial activity was con- ducted with the nations of the Community for Mutual Eco- nomic Assistance (Comecon — see Glossary), all of which followed the Soviet model of the centrally planned economy, and all of which were governed by Comecon's artificial system for allocation of production responsibilities. This closed com- mercial system included a high percentage of barter arrange- lxvii ments. The system was supplemented by equally regimented commercial links among the republics of the Soviet Union. An important result was that Russian products were exposed to very little genuine competition in world markets, despite peri- odic efforts to cultivate commercial relationships outside Comecon. By 1980 the Soviet economy had entered a decline from which it never was to emerge. It became obvious that the strong central controls that traditionally guided economic develop- ment had failed to promote the creativity and productivity urgently needed in a highly developed, modern economy. As one of the two world superpowers, the Soviet Union was acutely conscious that the West, and especially the United States, was bypassing it in many areas outside the military field. So, begin- ning in the mid-1980s, Soviet leader Mikhail S. Gorbachev (in office 1985-91) experimented with unprecedented economic reforms, including limited application of free-market princi- ples, in a policy called perestroika (rebuilding — see Glossary). However, the Gorbachev concessions were too small and too late, so the system's inherent flaws remained. The standard of living and productivity both continued to fall until the Soviet Union dissolved and central planning was discredited in 1991. As president of the Russian Republic, Boris Yeltsin already had advocated substantial economic reform prior to Russia's independence, in order to begin resurrecting Russia's econ- omy from the crisis of the last Soviet years. For the new Russian Federation, the Yeltsin administration set ambitious economic reform goals in 1992: strict limitation of government spending to cut inflation; redirection of state investment from the mili- tary-industrial complex and heavy industry toward consumer production; a new tax system to redistribute financial resources to more efficient sectors; cutting of government subsidies for enterprises and eliminating government price controls; and lifting of government control of foreign trade. Privatization of the major sectors of production, still virtually state monopolies in 1991, was another primary goal. In 1992 worsening economic conditions brought a confron- tation with the Supreme Soviet (legislature) over economic policy. The clash forced Yeltsin's dismissal of reform Prime Minister Yegor Gaydar and a general modification of reform goals under Gaydar' s pragmatic successor, Viktor Chernomyr- din. At that point, failing enterprises still received easy credit from the banking system and from other enterprises — a contin- lxviii uation of Soviet-style fiscal management and a crucial flaw that began to be corrected only in 1995. Many of the goals of the Yeltsin program were met at least partially in the first five post-Soviet years, depending on which statistics are used to define economic trends. Foreign trade has been liberalized significantly, and the list of Russia's trading partners now is dominated by West European rather than East European and former Soviet countries. The course of foreign investment has been uneven. Although Western and Japanese firms have shown great interest in joint ventures with Russian enterprises, Russia's unfinished and uncertain commercial and legal infrastructure has limited foreign participation, and pro- tectionist laws restrict foreign activity in industries such as com- munications and automobiles. International lenders such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF — see Glossary), the Paris Club of Western government lenders, and the London Club of international commercial banks have provided sub- stantial aid, with the caveat that Russia must improve economic indicators such as its inflation rate and budget deficits. In 1993 and 1994, soaring inflation and government deregulation of prices robbed consumers of much of their purchasing power before a government tight-money policy brought inflation under control in 1995 and 1996. In December 1996, prices rose by 1.4 percent, although wage arrears made that figure irrele- vant for many Russians. The Yeltsin privatization program began with small enter- prises, a large proportion of which were in private hands by 1995. Sales of larger enterprises, accomplished in several phases, encountered substantial difficulties, however. In 1995 allegations of corruption slowed the process, as did persistent opposition from the antireform State Duma factions. Privatiza- tion was virtually halted during the 1996 presidential election campaign, but in July 1996 the administration announced new goals and a reformed system for ownership transition. Initially positive, Western evaluations of Russia's privatization program were tempered in 1996 by continued government favoritism toward former state enterprises, by the sale of investment shares to banks and other institutions with close state connec- tions rather than to the public, and by the program's distinct slowdown in 1996. In October 1996, the government had col- lected only 14 percent of the year's targeted privatization reve- nue of US$2.2 billion. In November the planned public sale of stock in two major state-owned telecommunications firms, Ros- lxix telekom and Svyazinvest, was canceled in favor of stock sales to two large banks that had financed Yeltsin's 1996 campaign, her- alding a new privatization scandal. The 1997 national budget set a privatization income goal for 1997 at US$1.1 billion, but already in February Vladimir Potanin, head of the privatization revenue collection commission, expressed doubt that the goal could be met. Tax collection remained a major problem for Russia as of early 1997. Although some nominal tax reforms were put in place, tax collection remained inept, and the system still failed to promote private initiative or foreign investment. Despite constant government pleas, promises, and reform blueprints, and despite substantial pressure from the IMF, in 1997 taxation remained the main obstacle to budgetary solvency. The government lost large amounts of tax revenue because unofficial and illegal commerce is widespread and because the State Taxation Service inspires so little respect from legitimate businesses. According to an official 1996 estimate, only 16 per- cent of Russia's 2.6 million firms were paying taxes regularly, and at least twice that number paid no taxes at all. On three dif- ferent occasions, the IMF postponed installments of a US$10.1 billion loan to Russia because of the taxation problem — twice in the second half of 1996 and again in February 1997. When the official tax shortfall reached US$24.4 billion in October 1996, the government began televising appeals for tax- law compliance. A new emergency tax commission, headed by Prime Minister Chernomyrdin and Chief of Staff Anatoliy Chu- bays, targeted seventeen of Russia's largest companies for bank- ruptcy proceedings if their huge tax arrears were not paid immediately. Among the most delinquent enterprises were three subsidiaries of Chernomyrdin's extremely wealthy former company, the State National Gas Company (Gazprom), which reportedly owed US$2.1 billion. Many large enterprises failed to comply, and much of Russia's extensive so-called shadow economy remained beyond the reach of the commission. Crit- ics characterized the emergency commission as a stopgap tactic that delayed fundamental reform in the tax system. According to government statistics, in 1996 some 20,000 collection orders were issued for back taxes amounting to US$15.7 billion; the orders yielded only US$3.8 billion to the state budget. Early in 1997, Minister of Finance Aleksandr Livshits drafted a new tax code that would have saved the government an estimated US$30 billion annually. But the plan's anticipated closing of lxx profitable loopholes attracted sharp resistance. In February 1997, Minister of Internal Affairs Anatoliy Kulikov, known as a hard-liner, was given the task of cracking down on tax violators. Yeltsin removed Livshits from his position during the Govern- ment reorganization of March 1997. In March the Government threatened bankruptcy proceed- ings against a new group of ninety nonpaying enterprises, many of them quite large, hoping to encourage public sales of shares that would dislodge Soviet-era managers in favor of out- side investors. At the same time, privatization chief Al'fred Kokh was given control of the inept State Taxation Service. Besides the chronic tax collection failure, institutional remains of the Soviet era also continue to plague economic progress. In many large plants, the economic reforms of the early 1990s left control with the same managers who had run the plants for the state. In the post-Soviet years, managers have taken advantage of Russia's new free-market atmosphere, and the lack of effective commercial legislation, to line their own pockets — often in cooperation with criminal organizations — while paying little attention to plant productivity. In 1996 the Government increased subsidies to some major automobile and defense plants, reversing the direction of privatization and further diminishing incentives. Another obstacle to economic stability is the pervasive influ- ence on economic activity of the mafiya — as commonly used in Russia, a term including gangsters, dishonest businesspeople, and corrupt officials. In the 1990s, Russia is suffering the effects of an increasingly prosperous national network of crimi- nals who extort protection money from an estimated 75 per- cent of businesses and banks. Individuals refusing such payments often are the victims of violent crimes. In 1995 gangs controlled an estimated 50,000 private and state enterprises and had full ownership of thousands more. Unlike organized criminal groups in the West, which specialize in illegal activity such as drug trafficking and prostitution, Russia's mafiya spans the entire range of the economy, discouraging private enter- prise and siphoning off 10 to 20 percent of enterprise profits that are neither taxed nor reinvested in legitimate business. Organized crime also has been involved in the movement of a huge amount of capital — estimated at US$1 to US$2 billion per month — out of Russia in the mid-1990s. Such activity has pros- pered mainly because of strong links with corrupt officials; an lxxi estimated 30 to 50 percent of organized crime's proceeds is spent on bribes to procurators, police, and bureaucrats. This connection is not new in the post-Soviet era; already in the Brezhnev era, officials took bribes from the underworld as the black market responded to gaps in Soviet production. In the early post-Soviet years, reformers implicitly condoned such activity in the hope that it would hasten the development of a legitimate private-enterprise sector. In 1993, however, govern- ment measures against criminals were stimulated by publicity about Russia's crime wave and by the success of ultranationalist political groups who stressed the crime issue. Many of the Yeltsin administration's law enforcement decrees of 1993 and 1994 were of questionable constitutionality, and they have had little overall effect in the mid-1990s because law enforcement agencies remain corrupt. As Russia has attempted to meet the standards for inflation and budget deficits set by international lenders, a key element has been limiting the money supply, which was poorly con- trolled until 1995. The more stringent policies established that year brought loud complaints from regional governments, an increase in noncurrency payments that hampered the collec- tion of state revenue, and continued wage arrears in state and private enterprises suffering cash shortages. Although the annual inflation rate for 1996 was 22 percent, compared with 131 percent in 1995, authorities in the Government and else- where blamed a new economic downturn on the tight-money policy because private enterprises lacked capital with which to expand their operations. The 1997 monetary plan of the Russian Central Bank (RCB) called for increasing the money supply by 22 to 30 percent dur- ing that year, a level not projected to raise inflation above the 12 percent annual increase forecast by the 1997 national bud- get. At the end of 1996, the RCB planned for a ruble deprecia- tion of 9 percent during 1997, which would maintain the exchange rate at between 5,750 and 6,350 rubles per United States dollar at the end of the year. During 1996 the exchange rate moved from 4,640 rubles to the dollar to 5,560, an increase of nearly 20 percent. A Government goal for 1997 was reducing the interest rate for domestic bank loans to 20 or 25 percent to provide working capital for stagnant enterprises and limit the haphazard, uncontrolled interenterprise loans and in-kind payments that had proliferated as capital became scarce. However, shares in lxxii most enterprises remained unavailable to the general public, and the high-interest bonds sold by the Government in 1996 had attracted large amounts of bank capital away from more risky investment in private ventures. The Government's draft 1997 budget, which had been revised by a conciliation commission of legislators and Govern- ment representatives, was approved by the State Duma in Janu- ary after the four readings required by law. After the first two drafts were rejected, the Government added about US$6 bil- lion in spending and new tax breaks to stimulate economic activity. The changes swung the votes of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (Kommunisticheskaya partiya Rossiyskoy Federatsii — KPRF) and its allies, who had lobbied for additional government spending, but democratic parties such as Yabloko voted against the budget because of inade- quate fiscal restraint. The Federation Council (the upper house of the parliament) approved the budget but expressed serious doubts about the realism of its revenue projections. As approved, the budget was based on projections of 11.8 percent annual inflation and GDP growth of 2 percent for 1997. The planned budget deficit of about US$16.5 billion would be 3.5 percent of the projected GDP figure. However, Russian and Western experts, including Russia's minister of economics, Yevgeniy Yasin, called the GDP projection greatly exaggerated. Yasin's ministry forecast zero GDP growth for 1997, with recovery beginning in 1998 at the earliest. The bud- get did not include a 10 percent increase in Russia's minimum wage that went into effect in January 1997 and that would entail additional state spending. In 1996 the government's issue of bonds with interest rates exceeding 100 percent had complicated the budget-balancing process by tripling the gov- ernment borrowing of 1995 and inflating the public debt from 16 to 26 percent of GDP. Economic indicators for the first half of 1996 were mostly negative. According to an independent Russian survey, com- pared with December 1995 the real volume of production and services dropped by 11 percent, the number of employed per- sons dropped by 4 percent, the real volume of capital invest- ment dropped by 54 percent, the average prices of manufactured products and purchased products rose by 14 percent and 25 percent, respectively, and the average wage rose by 10 percent. In the first nine months of 1996, total GDP dropped by 6 percent, and industrial output dropped by 5 per- lxxiii cent compared with the same period in 1995. Light industry, construction materials, and machine building showed the sharpest drops in production, and domestic investment declined by 17 percent. In the first nine months of 1996, agricultural production dropped by 8 percent. Russia's 1996 grain harvest was 69 mil- lion tons, one of the smallest in the last thirty years and only a 9 percent improvement over the disastrously low harvest of 1995. An estimated three-quarters of farms lost money, and only two- thirds of 1996 budget allotments for farm support were paid out. As of early 1997, the restructuring of the agricultural sys- tem was one of the major unfulfilled promises of Yeltsin's presi- dency. Russia's foreign trade position did not improve significantly in 1996. Membership in the World Trade Organization (WTO — see Glossary), a top priority for acceptance in the international free market, continued to be delayed. Although some aspects of Russia's trade policy have been liberalized sub- stantially, the WTO cited continuing price controls on oil, state subsidies to major industries, protective import duties, and abrupt changes in tariff and tax policies for foreign companies as defects that precluded Russia's membership. According to the WTO, stability and transparency were the major missing elements in Russia's trade policy. Although the United States pledged support for Russia's admittance in 1998, prospects were unclear in early 1997. Foreign investment for 1996 was forecast to reach only slightly more than half the 1995 figure (US$1.5 billion), mainly because of continuing uncertainty in Russia's standards for tax- ation, accounting, and property rights. In October 1996, an international market consulting firm placed Russia below Bra- zil, Indonesia, Mexico, and Venezuela in desirability as an emerging market opportunity for investors. Corruption, fraud, and bureaucratic delays were cited as the main factors in that ranking. In November the failure of a Russian space mission to Mars lost foreign investors about US$180 million, as well as damaging the stature of a key remaining high-technology industry. In April the space program suffered further damage with the delay of the new Russia-United States International Space Station because the Government had not funded a criti- cal aerospace contractor. On the positive side, in October foreign investors paid nearly US$450 million for shares in Gazprom, the natural gas lxxiv monopoly. About forty joint ventures were active in the oil industry in 1996, accounting for about 8 percent of Russia's total extraction. Foreign investment in Russia's extraction industries was expected to expand significantly beginning in 1997 as the State Duma expedited approval of the production- sharing agreements that are the basis of foreign participation. In November 1996, Russia issued its first set of bonds on the European market after receiving an unexpectedly high bond rating from Western credit agencies. Following Russia's first bond rating since 1917, the bonds drew US$1 billion from United States, European, and South Korean investors attracted by the 9.25 percent interest rate. A place in the bond market was expected to help Russia raise money from other interna- tional sources. In March 1997, the issue of a second set of bonds, this time denominated in German marks, fetched US$1.2 billion. A third issue was planned for later in 1997; like the second, it was designated to pay overdue pensions and sala- ries. In late 1996 and early 1997, labor groups showed some signs of ending their remarkably passive reaction to the chronic wage arrears in many of Russia's industries. (In March 1997, the total wage debt was estimated at US$8.5 billion.) Through most of 1996, with a few notable exceptions such as the coal workers, labor in Russia followed the Soviet pattern of expect- ing the government rather than enterprise managers to rem- edy their plight. The older trade unions, many of whose leaders had been hand-picked by plant managers in the Soviet era, generally dis- couraged strong actions against employers in the early and mid-1990s. Unions formed after 1985 suffered from Russia's total lack of labor legislation, which allowed the government and enterprise officials to ignore union claims on behalf of the workers. Experts pointed to the lack of pressure from a united labor movement as a key reason the Yeltsin government failed to address the problem of overdue wages. In the second half of 1996, strike activity intensified some- what. According to government statistics, 356,000 workers at more than 3,700 enterprises participated in strikes in the first nine months of 1996, with the largest number of strikes in edu- cational institutions and coal mines. (Doctors, miners, nurses, and teachers were the workers hardest hit by wage arrears.) In November 1996 and March 1997, nationwide strikes and demonstrations called by the Federation of Independent Trade lxxv Unions of Russia (Federatsiya nezavisimikh profsoyuzov Rossii — FNPR), the largest such organization in the country, failed to galvanize widespread support. In the March action, an estimated 2 million workers struck or demonstrated, but more than 80 percent of those were teachers, and the FNPR had pre- dicted substantially heavier participation. Observers attributed the low turnout to apathy, lack of trust in the FNPR, and the expectation that Yeltsin's recent government reorganization would improve the situation. The democratization of the political system has followed an equally bumpy path in Russia's first post-Soviet years. As with economic reform, some elements of political reform appeared under Gorbachev in the late 1980s. The policy of glasnost allowed public discussion of hitherto taboo subjects, including the wisdom of government economic policy in a time of serious economic decline. As the Soviet Union's regional jurisdictions clamored for various degrees of sovereignty, Boris Yeltsin led Russia's challenge to Soviet authority in a number of areas. In 1991 Russians elected Yeltsin president of their republic in a free election; the coup against Gorbachev in August 1991 made Yeltsin the most powerful man in Russia, which shortly became an independent state. From the very beginning, Yeltsin's attempts to promulgate reform programs from the office of the presidency encoun- tered stiff opposition from antireform factions in the legislative branch. Beginning in 1994, that opposition was centered in the State Duma. After Yeltsin used military force to overcome an open rebellion against his dismissal of the parliament in Octo- ber 1993, he achieved passage of a new constitution that pre- scribed a strong executive and reduced the powers of the legislative branch. However, the first two legislative elections, in 1993 and 1995, seated large numbers of deputies from the KPRF, the Liberal-Democratic Party of Russia (Liberal'no- demokraticheskaya partiya Rossii — LDPR), and other national- ist and antireform groups. Under worsening economic condi- tions, a seemingly unstoppable crime wave, and a highly unpopular war in Chechnya, Yeltsin's popularity plummeted in 1995 and early 1996. His response was a contradictory series of personnel and agency shifts at top government levels, together with presidential decrees that often reversed the movement toward democratic governance. By early 1996, virtually all reformist officials had been removed from positions of influ- ence, and a group of hard-liners, led by presidential security lxxvi chief Aleksandr Korzhakov, Deputy Prime Minister Oleg Sos- kovets, and Minister of Internal Affairs Anatoliy Kulikov, seem- ingly had the president's ear. By that time, Yeltsin's authoritarian use of executive power had combined with the Chechnya imbroglio to lose him the support of the democratic and reformist factions that had been active promoters of early reform policies. As he engaged in an uphill presidential campaign, Yeltsin made lavish promises of government aid to unemployed workers and state enterprises, and allegations of corruption in the latest phase of the privati- zation program forced him to remain silent about that aspect of his administration. The 1996 presidential campaign yielded two distinctly opposed theories of governance: the KPRF's frank appeal for return to the central rule of Soviet days and Yeltsin's sometimes timid commitment to democratization and economic reform. In general, however, the national party system remained quite fluid. Although a large number of parties with national constit- uencies emerged, much shifting occurred among the smaller parties as coalitions formed and dissolved. Some forty-three parties and coalitions registered for the 1995 legislative elec- tions. In 1995 Yeltsin attempted to dominate party politics by forming two nominally opposed parties with essentially pro- administration positions, but his strategy was unsuccessful. The one major party that emerged from his manipulations, Our Home Is Russia, captured relatively few seats in the State Duma in 1995 but retained national standing as a major party because of its identification with Chernomyrdin. Of the proreform opposition groups, the Yabloko coalition remained the strongest in 1996, but its influence was limited because it refused to join forces with other reform parties. The candidates of Yabloko and other reformist groups fared poorly in the first round of the 1996 presidential election. Meanwhile, the KPRF had developed a unified and loyal following among Russians disillusioned with Yeltsin and nostalgic for the Soviet past. As the presidential campaign developed, the KPRF candi- date, former CPSU functionary Gennadiy Zyuganov, emerged as the prime competitor of Yeltsin. The president used his access to broadcast and print media (which feared the repres- sion that would result from a KPRF victory) to climb steadily in the polls. In the first round, Yeltsin defeated Zyuganov nar- rowly. Before the second-round faceoff with Zyuganov, Yeltsin lxxvii dismissed the most visible hard-liners in his administration, added popular third-place finisher Aleksandr Lebed' to his administration, and coaxed lukewarm endorsements from Yabloko and other reformist parties. In the second round, Yeltsin easily defeated Zyuganov, a dull campaigner who could not convince undecided voters that a KPRF victory would not mean a return to the days of Soviet repression. In what amounted to a contest between anti-Yeltsin and anticommunist sides, Yeltsin attracted an estimated 17 mil- lion voters who had voted for Lebed' or Yabloko candidate Grigoriy Yavlinskiy in the first round, and for whom Yeltsin now was the lesser of two evils. To gain acceptance as the main opposition faction at the national level, after the presidential election the KPRF attempted to broaden its constituency by forming a coalition called the National Patriotic Union of Russia. The coalition included the leftist and nationalist groups that had supported Zyuganov's 1996 presidential bid. To improve its national image from one of disruption to one of constructive coopera- tion, the coalition softened its antigovernment rhetoric. A prime example of the new approach was KPRF support of the Chernomyrdin government's draft budget in the State Duma deliberations of December 1996-January 1997. The KPRF found this position tenable while Yeltsin was ill and the moderate Chernomyrdin had a strong position in the Government. However, the Government reorganization of March 1997 gave new power to reformists with whom the KPRF shared little common ground. The party also showed signs of a split between moderates and radicals who rejected compro- mise. Meanwhile, young Russians showed little interest in join- ing the KPRF, which offered few constructive ideas about Russia's future and whose membership increasingly was based on an old guard of Soviet-era activists. Beginning his second term, Yeltsin filled his new cabinet with individuals with reformist credentials. Free-market advo- cate Aleksandr Livshits was appointed minister of finance, and reformist Yevgeniy Yasin retained his position as minister of the economy. In another indication that economic reform would continue, Yeltsin named reformist Al'fred Kokh as deputy prime minister for privatization. Retained from the previous Government were Minister of Foreign Affairs Yevgeniy Prima- kov (a 1996 appointee), recently appointed Minister of lxxviii Defense Igor* Rodionov, and hard-line Minister of Internal Affairs Anatoliy Kulikov. The Ministry of Environmental Protection and Natural Resources was redesignated the Ministry of Natural Resources; environmental issues were shifted to a new, subcabinet agency, the State Environmental Protection Committee, headed by Vik- tor Danilov-Danil'yan, who had been minister of environmental protection and natural resources in the first Yeltsin administra- tion. The only minister affiliated with the KPRF was Aman Tuleyev, a strong proponent of reintegration of the CIS states, who was appointed to head the Ministry of CIS Affairs. In August 1996, Chernomyrdin listed among the new Gov- ernment's goals a dramatic reduction of the state bureaucracy, including the elimination of twenty-four ministries and agen- cies. However, no streamlining occurred until March 1997, when Yeltsin dropped three of his deputy prime ministers and announced a large-scale Government reorganization as a rem- edy for what Yeltsin admitted was poor performance by his sec- ond-term appointees. The new, smaller Government was to include eight deputy prime ministers (compared with twelve previously), twenty-three ministries (three of which were headed by deputy prime ministers, and a reduction of one from the previous organization), sixteen state committees (compared with seventeen previously), and twenty other fede- ral agencies. A key appointment in this period was Boris Nemtsov as dep- uty prime minister in charge of social issues (including the cri- sis of wage and pension arrears) and the extremely prob- lematic reform of state monopolies and housing subsidies. As governor of Nizhniy Novgorod Oblast, Nemtsov had gained international recognition for his brilliant regional economic reforms. Nemtsov's reputation for honesty also was expected to improve the tarnished image of Yeltsin's administration. The Government reorganization process required much more time than expected because factions struggled to gain coveted posts and no qualified persons could be found for oth- ers. Reportedly at least twelve individuals refused appointments to head ministries and committees. The reorganization also sharpened the power struggle between the Government and the State Duma, the main political bastion of numerous special interests that the initiatives of Chubays and Nemtsov promised to attack, and whose patron, Chernomyrdin, now was fading. lxxix In June 1996, the appointment of former general Aleksandr Lebed' as head of the Security Council improved the prospects of an already promising political figure. In this position, Lebed' remained in the public eye by making controversial speeches on matters of policy and by negotiating what turned out to be the conclusive cease-fire of the Chechen conflict. Lebed 1 had a base of avid supporters who craved charismatic, assertive lead- ership. Unlike most other Russian government figures, he cre- ated a positive image on television, which by 1996 was the most important source of news for most Russians. In October Yeltsin responded to continued criticism from Lebed' by dismissing him from the Security Council. In the months that followed his dismissal, Lebed' polished his public image in Russia and abroad. He began preparations for a future presidential cam- paign by seeking funds for future political activities, and by traveling to the United States and Western Europe. Although he virtually disappeared from the pro-Yeltsin television net- works after his dismissal, in early 1997 polls indicated that Lebed' remained the most popular political figure in Russia. In March he established a new opposition party, the Russian Peo- ple's Republican Party, which he described as an alternative to the KPRF and the ruling elite. Early in Yeltsin's second term, the urgency of the Chechnya conflict receded as the two sides negotiated the long-term con- ditions of the so-called Khasavyurt accords that Lebed' had achieved in August 1996. The cease-fire was met with great relief by the Russian people as the end of a long ordeal, and this attitude contributed to the enduring popularity of Lebed'. In October the Khasavyurt accords survived the dismissal of their architect; the Chechens reluctantly continued negotia- tions after the moderate Ivan Rybkin was named to replace Lebed' as Security Council chief and head negotiator on the Russian side. In November Yeltsin announced the withdrawal of the two Russian brigades that had been designated for per- manent occupation of Chechnya, a concession upon which Chechen negotiators had adamantly insisted. By February 1997, all Russian units had been withdrawn. After six Red Cross workers and six Russian civilians were murdered — apparently by renegade guerrillas — near Groznyy in December 1996, all international aid organizations except for the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE — see Glossary) removed their personnel from Chechnya. Unreconciled Chechen guerrilla groups continued kidnappings in 1997, lxxx however, and the resettlement of Russian emigres from Chech- nya promised to strain the already meager resources of Russia's Federal Migration Service. In late 1996, Russia took an increasingly conciliatory negoti- ating approach with the Chechens, offering agreements restor- ing trade, communications, customs relations, and road links and resuming oil and gas refining and transport. Russia's best hope of keeping Chechnya in the federation in 1997 was eco- nomic leverage, because the war had left the republic deci- mated and without international ties and because the infrastructure already existed for Russia to restore Chechnya's most vital industry, oil refining. The main Russian economic negotiator was Boris Berezovskiy, a controversial automotive and banking mogul who had contributed a large sum to Yeltsin's reelection campaign. The ultimate status of Chechnya and the payment of war reparations remained unresolved in early 1997. The Khasavyurt accords called for a five-year waiting period before deciding the independence issue, but Russia insisted that the territorial integrity of the federation must not be threatened. In January 1997, Chechnya conducted its first presidential and legislative elections; international observers described the election proce- dure as fair and open, although refugees from Chechnya, including an estimated 350,000 Russians, were not permitted to vote. Russia's foreign policy establishment saw Asian Maskhadov, the former military leader who easily won the pres- idency, as a potential partner in further negotiations, unlike the more radical presidential candidates. However, all sixteen presidential candidates based their platforms on Chechnya's full independence under the name "Republic of Chechnya-Ich- keria," and Maskhadov refused to take his rightful seat as a republic governor in Russia's Federation Council. Russia's offi- cial response to the January elections was muted; by March, the terms of a treaty of "peace and agreement" were under serious discussion. As Yeltsin began his second term, the strength of the presi- dent's political position and the nature of his intentions remained unclear. Yeltsin ended his first term on an ominous note by retreating completely from public view immediately after his election victory. The heart attack that Yeltsin suffered between the two rounds of the election was identified only later as the cause of his disappearance. lxxxi Beginning with the first round of the presidential election, Yeltsin's physical condition exerted a growing influence over the political atmosphere in Russia. In the fall of 1996, news of the president's very serious heart condition intensified specula- tion about the identity of likely successors. As Yeltsin main- tained a limited public schedule in that period, three figures, Chernomyrdin, Lebed', and Moscow's very popular mayor, Yuriy Luzhkov, jockeyed openly for advantage in the antici- pated post-Yeltsin era — although Chernomyrdin clearly lacked the political appeal of his potential rivals. Those maneuvers continued after Yeltsin's heart surgery in November. By early 1997, Russia's apparent lack of leadership caused intense concern and speculation in the international commu- nity, and Yeltsin's popularity again plummeted as workers and pensioners remained unpaid. In March 1997, Yeltsin used his annual state of the federation speech to the State Duma to reas- sure domestic and foreign opinion and to reassert his presiden- tial power — a goal that he achieved by delivering a forceful and coherent speech. Accusing the Government of failing to exe- cute his commands, Yeltsin repeated his unfulfilled 1996 prom- ises of wage and pension payments, accelerated economic reform, and more efficient government. During Yeltsin's absence, another figure bore the brunt of opposition attacks on the administration. In 1995 and early 1996, Yeltsin had dismissed reform economist Anatoliy Chu- bays from two high-level economic positions in response to strong criticism from antireform factions. However, after directing Yeltsin's successful 1996 presidential campaign, Chu- bays was rewarded with the chief of staff position in Yeltsin's second administration, at the same time increasing the pros- pects that the pace of reform would increase. Although too unpopular to have a realistic chance at the presidency, Chubays maneuvered effectively within the Yeltsin administration. He formed an alliance with Yeltsin's ambitious daughter, Tat'yana Dyachenko, who was rumored to have sub- stantial influence over her father's policy decisions. The work of Chubays was widely seen in the dismissal of the Aleksandr Korzhakov coterie in June and of Aleksandr Lebed' in October. Chubays was credited with maintaining some sort of order dur- ing Yeltsin's convalescence in the early stages of the second administration, even as Chubays's many enemies spread rumors of illegal campaign funding and links with organized crime. lxxxii Despite speculation that Yeltsin would limit Chubays's power by increasing the prestige of rivals — a technique Yeltsin had used throughout his presidency — in the Government reorgani- zation of March 1997 Yeltsin advanced Chubays to the positions of deputy prime minister in charge of economic affairs and minister of the economy. Chubays now had direct control of the governmental restructuring that Yeltsin prescribed to end bureaucratic gridlock, and the new faces that Yeltsin appointed at that time improved the prospect that the new minister would be able to accelerate economic reform in 1997. In July 1996, experts had seen Yeltsin's creation of a civilian advisory Defense Council as an effort to balance the power that Lebed' had gained as chief of the Security Council. In October the head of the Defense Council, Yuriy Baturin, supplanted Lebed' as the primary architect of military reform, dismissing six top generals and reassigning several who remained. By the end of 1996, Baturin was in a bitter battle with defense minister Rodionov for authority over reform policy. By March 1997, Rodionov's position in the administration was reported to be quite tenuous. Late in 1996, another extraconstitutional organ was formed in the Yeltsin administration: a permanent, four-member Con- sultative Council that included the president, the prime minis- ter, and the speakers of the two houses of the Federal Assembly. The council was to meet twice a month in an effort designed to smooth differences between the two branches of government. The inclusion of the State Duma speaker brought a prominent KPRF deputy, Gennadiy Seleznev, into a top advisory group — a move calculated by Yeltsin and Chubays to either divide or con- ciliate the strongest of the opposition parties. The fourth mem- ber of the council was Yegor Stroyev, speaker of the Federation Council and usually a Yeltsin supporter. During Yeltsin's ill- nesses, Chubays represented the president at council meetings. Already in the mid-1990s, the executive branch contained numerous directorates and commissions answering only to the president. In 1996 the addition of extraconstitutional govern- ing bodies such as the Defense Council and the Consultative Council continued Yeltsin's propensity to govern by decree and outside constitutionally prescribed lines of power. According to some experts, the existence of seemingly redundant presiden- tial policy-making groups was a new manifestation of Russia's long tradition of arbitrary rule; according to others, such Ixxxiii organs were necessary to circumvent the gridlock of opposition in the State Duma. In the fall of 1996, Yeltsin's illness brought demands from all political factions for clarification of the 1993 constitution's vague language on replacing a disabled head of state: the con- ditions for such replacement are listed in the constitution, but the authority to make the decision is not specified. In this case, Yeltsin responded by temporarily delegating to Prime Minister Chernomyrdin his authority as commander in chief of the armed forces, head of internal security, and custodian of the codes needed to unleash a nuclear attack. Within hours of his successful heart bypass surgery in November, Yeltsin publicly reclaimed full control, apparently seeking to end the impres- sion of a power vacuum in Moscow. In the months that fol- lowed, however, government assurances of Yeltsin's continued competence met increasing skepticism as the president appeared only in carefully edited news film. In the first months of 1997, KPRF deputies introduced motions in the State Duma to impeach Yeltsin on health grounds, and the Duma discussed constitutional amendments limiting the powers of the presi- dent. Between September 1996 and March 1997, Yeltsin's adminis- tration faced a new political challenge when a series of regional elections provided the KPRF and its nationalist allies another opportunity to weaken Yeltsin's political base. Fifty-two of Rus- sia's eighty-nine subnational jurisdictions were to elect chief executives during that period, and all of those executives are ex officio members of the Federation Council, the upper house of parliament and a bastion of Yeltsin support until 1997. (The chief executives of republics are called presidents; those of other jurisdictions carry the title governor or administrative head.) Before the elections began, experts identified fifteen of those constituencies, primarily in the "Red Belt" along the southern border from the North Caucasus to the Far East, as sure to elect communist leaders. At the end of 1996, a Yeltsin- appointed incumbent chief executive had been defeated in twenty-four of the forty-four elections decided to that point. The KPRF had backed fifteen of the new officials, and six had had Yeltsin's support. Among the victors were former vice pres- ident and outspoken Yeltsin critic Aleksandr Rutskoy, who was elected governor of Kursk Oblast, and Vasiliy Starodubtsev, a central figure in the 1991 coup against the Gorbachev govern- lxxxiv ment, who was elected governor of Tula Oblast. In most cases, successful candidates took less partisan positions and were more ready to negotiate with their opposition than experts had predicted when the elections began. Incumbents generally fared better in northern and urban regions where economic conditions were the most favorable. Yeltsin's doubtful health and the rescinding of his 1996 campaign spending promises hampered some progovernment candidates. All the chief exec- utives elected in 1996 were expected to wield greater political power because they now had direct mandates rather than pres- idential appointments, and that legitimacy also would bolster the power of the Federation Council vis-a-vis the State Duma in the Federal Assembly. In 1996 the central government's economic and legislative control of subnational jurisdictions continued to slip away as the power of regional chief executives increased proportion- ally. Governors such as Yevgeniy Nazdratenko of strategically vital Maritime (Primorskiy) Territory on the Pacific coast and Eduard Rossel' of Sverdlovsk Oblast in the Urals already had established personal fiefdoms outside Moscow's control. Nazdratenko openly challenged the national administration on a number of issues, including the transfer of a small parcel of his territory's land to China as part of a Sino-Russian border treaty. In 1993 Sverdlovsk Oblast briefly declared itself a repub- lic under Rossel'. As of January 1997, Moscow had signed bilat- eral agreements, establishing a wide variety of power-sharing relationships, with twenty-six subnational jurisdictions. By 1996 regional governments raised 50 percent of taxes and accounted for 70 percent of government spending in Russia. Although only fifteen of eighty-nine subnational jurisdictions were net contributors to the federal budget and sixty-seven relied on federal subsidies for pensions, in 1996 Moscow still had no centralized system to account for movement of funds between the federal government and the regions. Many juris- dictions complained that the 1997 budget did not allocate suf- ficient funds to them to compensate for their tax payments to Moscow. As of March 1997, no subnational jurisdiction had received a full allotment of federal pension funds, and only ten jurisdictions had paid their federal taxes in full. In October 1996, the emergency tax committee was forced to withdraw its threat of bankruptcy proceedings against the Kama Automobile Plant (KamAZ), one of the Republic of Tatarstan's largest industries, for nonpayment of federal taxes. lxxxv Citing the 1994 power-sharing treaty between the republic and the federal government, Tatarstan's president Mintimer Shaimiyev convinced Chernomyrdin that ending KamAZ's favorable tax status would intrude on the republic's economic sovereignty. Experts predicted that tensions between Moscow and the subnational governments would intensify during the shaping of Russia's new federal system, especially as that system addresses the question of who controls the country's vast national resources. After the regional elections, a loose coali- tion of jurisdictions that were net contributors to the federal budget ("donor regions") was in a position to gain significant economic concessions from the federal government. At the same time, the eight regional economic associations, which include all of Russia's eighty-nine subnational jurisdictions except Chechnya, showed new cohesiveness and also were expected to gain greater autonomy and attention from Moscow in 1997. Those associations are: the Far East and Baikal Associa- tion; the Siberian Accord Association; the Greater Volga Associ- ation; the Central Russia Association; the Cooperation Association of North Caucasus Republics, Territories, and Oblasts; the Black Earth Association; the Urals Regional Associ- ation; and the Nor th-West Association. In October presidential chief of staff Chubays began a cam- paign to reverse the movement toward regional autonomy. Chubays called for a review of the many regional laws that con- travene the national constitution, in an effort to curtail the autonomy that such legislation encourages. (Several of the regional constitutions adopted after 1991 contain language contradicting the national constitution, and the electoral laws of some twenty-seven regions reportedly violate federal law.) However, the project was postponed because regional procura- tors, who would be responsible for such an investigation, lack sufficient authority over regional officials. After the elections of 1996-97 gave most regional leaders a popular mandate, the lack of federal sanctions on subnational jurisdictions violating federal law became a more significant threat to the integrity of the federation as well as to human rights and the balance of political power within jurisdictions. Meanwhile, local and municipal administrations chafed under restrictions imposed by regional jurisdictions, just as the latter complained about Moscow's restrictions. lxxxvi In the post-Soviet period, Russia's foreign policy has shifted significantly, most often in response to domestic rather than foreign conditions. The early Yeltsin administration, repre- sented by Minister of Foreign Affairs Andrey Kozyrev, sought to bring Russia fully into the community of nations — especially Western nations — and to dispel the aura of the Evil Empire. The military and economic competition of the Cold War was replaced by a series of cooperative agreements with Western powers, including disarmament treaties, that brought eco- nomic and humanitarian aid to Russia. The vast set of Soviet commitments that spanned the world in the 1980s was reduced in an effort to concentrate limited resources in the most useful areas. However, a strong nationalist faction in the parliament and elsewhere saw such complaisance as the surrender of the pre- eminent, rightful role in world politics that had been won in the Soviet era. This faction, which has been compared with the nineteenth-century Slavophile movement that sought to pro- tect Russian culture from the harmful intrusion of Western civ- ilization, has urged that Russia recapture as much influence as possible in the former Soviet Union and the former Soviet empire in Central Europe. This process would discourage the influence of the West in those regions, countering the ostensi- ble drive of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO — see Glossary) to push Russia out of the continent of Europe. For many advocates of this position, the preferred area of closer foreign relations is Asia, and a new anti-Western alliance with China is the focal point. In the early and mid-1990s, Yeltsin had improved Russia's international image by participating in several meetings of the Group of Seven (G— 7 — see Glossary) as well as his regular sum- mit conferences with United States presidents. In maintaining such contacts, Yeltsin attempted to walk a line between making concessions to the West that would anger Russian nationalists and taking independent positions that would weaken the West- ern commitment to aid Russia during its transition period. As a result of these conflicting demands, in the mid-1990s Russia's foreign policy positions have been inconsistent, and Yeltsin, Minister of Foreign Affairs Yevgeniy Primakov, Chernomyrdin, and other official spokesmen often have issued contradictory statements on important issues. On issues such as Chechnya and human rights in Russia, Western diplomats refrained in 1996 from criticizing Yeltsin for lxxxvii fear of damaging his prestige at home. Before the August 1996 cease-fire in Chechnya, the IMF offered Russia the second-larg- est loan in the bank's history, and the Council of Europe (see Glossary), considered a guardian of human rights in Europe, admitted Russia to its membership despite numerous reports of atrocities in Chechnya and noncompliance with the coun- cil's policy on capital punishment. However, Yeltsin received substantial criticism from the West for some policies that failed to comply with international stan- dards. Among them were the sale of nuclear reactors, subma- rines, and other critical items to Iran in violation of international sanctions; continued dumping and careless han- dling of nuclear materials by Russia's civilian and military agen- cies (criticism coming mainly from Japan and the Scandinavian countries, which were most directly affected) ; and Russia's fail- ure to comply with the arms limitations of the Conventional Forces in Europe Treaty (CFE Treaty — see Glossary). Most of the summit meetings of the mid-1990s discussed some or all of those questions, but few solutions emerged. Early in 1997, Rus- sia's relationship with Iran had become closer, its nuclear safety policies remained unchanged, and CFE Treaty modifications were under discussion. In the mid-1990s, the major point of conflict in the struggle over Western influence in Russia was the projected expansion of NATO into former Warsaw Pact nations of what is now called Central Europe. In 1995 and 1996, numerous statements by the Russian government rejected the possibility that countries such as Poland and Hungary could enter NATO without dire conse- quences. Russia's statements predicted that, by isolating and impoverishing Russia, a NATO presence would in fact reacti- vate the Cold War. During 1996 government spokesmen threat- ened a variety of diplomatic and military reprisals if NATO membership were enlarged. Most experts labeled Russia's behavior as gamesmanship aimed at gaining the most advanta- geous possible position once an inevitable first round of NATO expansion occurred. Despite Russia's threats, in 1996 eleven European countries, including the three Baltic states — Estonia, Latvia, and Lithua- nia — reiterated their enthusiasm for gaining NATO member- ship. In early 1997, Bulgaria declared its desire to join, and Georgia, Moldova, and Ukraine sought closer cooperation with the alliance. lxxxviii A potentially important change appeared in the Russian position at the end of 1996. In September the United States had proposed a charter that would give Russia a special rela- tionship with NATO, in an attempt to relieve tensions over the expansion issue. In January 1997, Primakov began to negotiate such an agreement with NATO secretary general Javier Solana. As negotiations proceeded, two of Russia's key goals emerged: obtaining more favorable terms in the CFE Treaty and limiting the NATO military presence in any new member nation in Central Europe. In keeping with Russia's position that NATO is an anachronistic leftover of the Cold War, Primakov and Cher- nomyrdin demanded a binding treaty obligating NATO to reform itself from a military to a "political" organization. As conceived in the West, the agreement would offer Russia consultation but no veto on NATO expansion decisions; increased presence of Russian observers at various NATO com- mand levels; and modification of existing arms reduction agreements to suit Russia's demands. At the March 1997 Hels- inki summit, Yeltsin backed the agreement as a way around the issue of NATO expansion, which he still called "a mistake." By that time, Primakov and Solana had agreed on most of the charter's terms, including a permanent consultative council for discussion of issues such as nuclear security, crisis management, and peacekeeping operations. However, Primakov insisted on restricting the presence of NATO forces in any new member nation, a concession that NATO refused because it would inter- fere with the alliance's basic commitment to mutual defense. Because NATO had set a target date of July 1997 for the first official invitations to new member nations, little time was avail- able for conflicting views to be mediated. (Russia demanded that the signing of the Russia-NATO charter precede and be separate from the NATO summit that would announce the invi- tations.) During his first term in office, Boris Yeltsin continued the tradition, begun by Mikhail Gorbachev, of holding regular summit meetings with United States presidents. The second Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START II — see Glossary) was a product of a 1993 summit with President George H.W. Bush. Western experts saw the drastic nuclear arms reductions of START II as a way for Russia to cut military expenses without sacrificing national security, at a time when nuclear parity was an increasingly expensive proposition. But as Russia's conven- tional military forces deteriorated and funding declined in the lxxxix mid-1990s, nuclear strike capability assumed a more prominent place in national security planning. Therefore, by late 1996 Russian authorities were demanding greater limitations on sea- based nuclear warheads, in which the United States has a dis- tinct advantage; greater latitude for deployment of land-based missiles, in which Russia is strongest; and revision of the START II restrictions on the multiple-warhead weapons that Russia considers its most formidable threat. In October 1996, United States secretary of defense William Perry met strong resistance when he tried to convince the State Duma and Ministry of Defense officials in Moscow that START II ratification would benefit both sides. At the same time, Rus- sia also delayed finalizing an agreement on classification of anti-ballistic missiles (ABMs), indicating continuing sensitivity about the prospect of the United States building a missile inter- ception system that would negate much of Russia's nuclear strike capacity. Early in 1997, Western defense experts began formulating a START III proposal that might leapfrog the START II deadlock by eliminating at least some of the most serious obstacles. But the largest obstacle was the NATO issue: already in 1995, nationalists and many moderates in the State Duma refused to even consider START II without assurances that NATO would not move eastward, and this linkage remained in early 1997. In the early stages of Yeltsin's second term, high-level diplo- matic contact with the West was fitful and unproductive. In Sep- tember a Moscow visit by German chancellor Helmut Kohl, Yeltsin's most vocal supporter among Western leaders, failed to bridge the two countries' differences on sanctions on Iraq (which Russia opposed), NATO expansion, and conditions for expanded German investment in Russia. In late December, the first foreign leader to confer with Yeltsin after his convales- cence was China's prime minister Li Peng rather than a West- erner. At that time, Russia and China signed new bilateral agreements on cooperation in banking, nuclear power plant construction, and the sale of two naval destroyers to China. In early 1997, visits by Kohl and French president Jacques Chirac to Moscow produced no breakthrough on the NATO expan- sion issue. The Helsinki summit, the first such meeting since April 1996, yielded agreements on a range of economic matters; Rus- sia was promised an increased role in the G— 7, whose annual meetings were to be renamed the Summit of the Eight, and xc Yeltsin received United States commitments for enhanced investment and integration of Russia in global markets and support for much-coveted entry into the World Trade Organi- zation (WTO — see Glossary) in 1998. Yeltsin pledged renewed support for passage of START II in the State Duma, and he sup- ported a START III agreement that would further reduce stra- tegic arms. The two presidents pledged support for ratification of the 1993 Chemical Weapons Convention, which faced stiff opposition in the legislatures of both countries. Yeltsin also unexpectedly accepted an understanding of the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty (ABM Treaty — see Glossary) that would allow the United States to continue developing a limited ABM sys- tem. Yeltsin's robust performance at the summit also allayed the health fears that had haunted his second administration. The president received strong criticism from communist and nationalist factions for the substantive output of the summit, but experts noted that Russia's position in the meeting pro- vided little negotiating leverage. Russia and NATO did cooperate successfully in Bosnia. In September 1996, Primakov expressed Russia's willingness to extend the assignment of Russian troops to the NATO interna- tional peacekeeping force, IFOR, with which they had func- tioned smoothly for more than a year. Russia's continued participation was conditioned on the lifting of international sanctions against Serbia. The sanctions ended in October; Rus- sia took an active part in planning the next phase of the peace- keeping operation. In January 1997, Yeltsin approved extending Russia's participation through July 1998. Recovery of the empire of the Soviet Union became a for- eign policy goal of increasing importance in the mid-1990s. In the Duma elections of December 1995, every party and group mentioned reintegration of the CIS states in its foreign policy platform. In 1996 nationalists used a variety of strategies to encourage the government to extend Russia's influence in the CIS countries. In three former Soviet states plagued with inter- nal conflict — Georgia, Moldova, and Tajikistan — Russian troops remained in ostensibly peacekeeping roles, and Russian negotiators continued to sponsor talks between hostile groups. Many experts called the diplomatic activity an insincere effort to achieve stability in areas where continued conflict was the only justification for a Russian military presence. xci In late 1996, the State Duma overwhelmingly approved a permanent Russian force in the breakaway Dnestr Moldavian Republic (Transnistria) in Moldova, claiming erroneously that most of the republic's citizens are Russian and thus require protection. (A 1994 treaty with Moldova, which the State Duma never ratified, provided for withdrawal of all Russian forces.) Early in 1997, Russian officials promised that forces would be withdrawn when the Transnistria question was settled, while at the same time encouraging the separatists to push for full inde- pendence. In December 1996, a Federation Council resolution officially claimed the city of Sevastopol', located on Ukraine's Black Sea coast, as Russian territory. This claim continued Russia's post- Soviet dispute with Ukraine over control of the Black Sea Fleet that the two countries had inherited from the Soviet Union. Moscow mayor Yuriy Luzhkov, hoping to gain national stature for future political advancement, became a main spokesman for the claim on Sevastopol'. In 1996 Yeltsin and Ukraine's pres- ident Leonid Kuchma had negotiated terms for dividing the fleet, but the new claims by Russian nationalists threatened to sour the recently improved relations between Russia and Ukraine. Spurred by Russia's territorial claims, in January 1997 Ukraine proposed a "special partnership" with NATO, ratifica- tion of which was expected at the midyear NATO summit. The bitter border disputes that had erupted with Estonia and Latvia at the time of those republics' declarations of inde- pendence continued into 1997, although in both cases some concessions were made in late 1996 and early 1997. As progress was made on territorial issues, the main sticking point in 1997 was Russia's requirement that the two Baltic states change their policy against granting dual citizenship to their Russian popu- lations. Russia also struggled to maintain as much as possible of its Soviet-era access to the rich natural resources of the Caspian Sea, against the claims of former Soviet republics Azerbaijan, Kazakstan, and Turkmenistan. Allied with Iran, Russia called for joint jurisdiction of resources by all adjoining states rather than allocation according to national borders. The latter sys- tem, advocated by the other three former republics, would place most Caspian oil fields outside the jurisdiction of Iran and Russia. In October 1996, Russia amended its previous hard-line approach somewhat, but the issue promised to be under negotiation for an extended period. xcii Early in 1996, a customs union agreement was concluded among Belarus, Kazakstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Russia, significantly reducing trade barriers within that group (and simplifying the smuggling of narcotics from Central Asia into Russia). In November 1996, Russia reversed its recent policy of reducing credits to other CIS countries, increasing its credit allotment for CIS partners by about fifteen times in the 1997 draft bud- get. Those credits are limited, however, to the purchase of Rus- sian goods. The total debt of CIS countries to Russia was estimated at US$6 billion, plus US$3 billion in unpaid energy bills, prior to the credit extension. Russia's CIS trade figures for early 1997 showed a decline in most categories, with natural gas accounting for the bulk of exports within the common- wealth. Russia's stature in the CIS suffered setbacks in the 1990s as other CIS nations took independent positions on a variety of issues. From the beginning, charter members Turkmenistan and Azerbaijan took very independent positions: contrary to Russia's desire to maintain a military presence throughout the CIS, Azerbaijan allowed no Russian troops at all on its soil, and Turkmenistan maintained joint command of all military units. Kazakstan and Turkmenistan continued to seek Western sup- port in bypassing the Russian pipelines upon which they previ- ously had depended for their oil and natural gas shipments in the Soviet system. Early in 1997, Kazakstan's president Nursul- tan Nazarbayev, a consistent and influential advocate of eco- nomic integration of the newly independent states, criticized Russia's leadership of the CIS, calling for diversification of con- trol in order to energize the moribund organization. Belarus, whose president, Alyaksandr Lukashyenka, had pushed his country toward reunification with Russia, suffered a constitutional crisis late in 1996. Lukashyenka's bid for authori- tarian power provoked strong nationalist opposition in the par- liament of Belarus. It also brought unfavorable international attention to Russia's dominant position in the new bilateral relationship established by the 1996 Community of Sovereign Republics treaty. Unsuccessful in mediating the dispute between Lukashyenka and the Belarusian parliament, Russia continued staunch support for Lukashyenka in early 1997, although Russia's reform factions opposed closer relations that would require Russia to support Belarus's backward economy. A new agreement signed by Yeltsin and Lukashyenka in March 1997 reaffirmed the 1996 treaty but increased the controversy xciii in Moscow between reformers — including Chubays and most of Yeltsin's new top-level Government appointees — and nation- alists, who saw union with Belarus as the first step in restoring the Soviet Union. In 1996 Uzbekistan, the strongest of the five Central Asian CIS states, began a concentrated effort to cultivate commercial and diplomatic relations with Western countries and Israel. In May 1996, Uzbekistan's president Islam Karimov criticized the Economic Cooperation Organization of Islamic nations, of which Uzbekistan is a member, for its anti-Israeli and anti- United States positions; then he made a state visit to the United States to improve bilateral relations. In January 1997, Karimov voiced support for expansion of NATO. In November Kazakstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Uzbekistan announced plans for a Central Asian peacekeeping battalion to be used in United Nations-sponsored operations and to be trained within NATO's Partnership for Peace (PfP — see Glos- sary) program. The new unit's Western connections were a sig- nal that the wealthiest Central Asian countries wished to reduce Russia's role in regional security. Russia responded by seeking joint action with the Central Asian republics in defend- ing against infiltration by Afghanistan's aggressively fundamen- talist Taliban movement. The Russian gambit gained support from Karimov and Tajikistan's president Imomali Rahmonov. At the CIS summit in March 1997, Yeltsin attempted to foster unity and to reassert Russia's dominance, but Georgia, Kazak- stan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan reiterated their individual national concerns, complained about the CIS's ineffectiveness, and defended their right to form relationships outside the con- text of the full organization. Yeltsin's chief vehicle for eco- nomic reintegration was to be his Concept for Integrated Economic Development of the CIS, which CIS foreign minis- ters refused to discuss pending modification. In February 1997, NATO secretary general Javier Solana received a warm reception when he visited Georgia and Mol- dova. Moldova's president Petru Lucinschi requested a NATO security guarantee for the borders of his neutral country, show- ing concern for the continued presence of Russian forces in Transnistria. Georgia's president Eduard Shevardnadze was frustrated after more than two years of fruitless Russia-bro- kered negotiations with Georgia's separatist republic, Abkha- zia. The failure to resolve territorial and refugee issues there postponed Georgia's unification and, ultimately, its indepen- xciv dence from Russian military assistance. Georgia concluded sev- eral bilateral military agreements with NATO member countries in 1996. In his talks with Solana, Shevardnadze char- acterized Georgia as an integral part of the new European zone of security to be formed once NATO expanded. (Early in 1997, the Group of Russian Forces in the Transcaucasus began with- drawing units from Georgia into Russia as part of the overall military downsizing program.) Of the countries Solana visited, only Armenia continues to seek extensive military assistance from Russia. In 1997 Armenia still was under blockade by Azerbaijan and Turkey, traditionally hostile Muslim states that nearly surround the country, and Russia supported Armenia in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict with Azerbaijan — factors that made Russia Armenia's only alter- native for regional economic and security assistance. The appointment of the Arabist Primakov as minister of for- eign affairs in January 1996 continued the turn of Russia's for- eign policy from West to East, and diplomatic activity in the East increased in 1996 — despite official protestations that Rus- sia seeks a balance between East and West. By the end of 1996, Russia and China had resolved several of the issues that had split the major communist powers for several decades, and both sides seemed intent on forming additional ties in 1997. Meanwhile, accelerated commercial activity in Russia's Mari- time (Primorskiy) Territory encouraged new agreements between Russia and the two Koreas, and progress was made in late 1996 in resolving the fifty-year stalemate with Japan over Russian occupation of four of the Kuril Islands. New initiatives also went to the prosperous member nations of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), expanding the drive to make Russia a Pacific Rim commercial power. In November 1996, Primakov visited China, Japan, and Mongolia with the stated goal of improving Russia's position in vital Asian mar- kets. Primakov visited Iran the following month. Russia also felt that establishing its identity as an Asian power was crucial because it had been excluded from several prosperous Pacific Rim trading groups and from talks on Korean unification. China's rapid emergence as a world economic power also was a primary concern. In 1996 Russia saw the presence of Primakov in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Western sanctions against Iraq, and the elec- tion of a hard-line government in Israel as creating conditions in the Middle East that would favor a return to the Soviet xcv Union's role as champion of the Arab countries in the region. Russia had a special interest in freeing Iraq from economic sanctions because Iraq was to begin repaying its substantial debt to Russia once oil exports resumed, and lucrative new bilateral deals were negotiated in 1996. For this reason, in Sep- tember 1996 the United States bombing of Iraqi targets and the threat of extended international sanctions brought harsh criticism from Moscow. Meanwhile, Russia continued cultivating relations with Iran, another international pariah. A third Kilo-class submarine went from Russia to Iran in November 1996, and the transfer of nuclear-reactor technology continued despite Western objec- tions. In the second half of 1996, as another token of Russia's importance in the region, Primakov also sought a more active role in Arab-Israeli peace talks. Whatever its relations with foreign countries, however, no foreign power threatened Russia's security in the 1990s, and domestic conditions were the key determinant of Russia's future. In the 1990s, Russian society, until recently held together by the forced observance of Soviet power, seemed to lack any sort of glue that could be used to combat the forces of economic fragmentation. In the early post-Soviet years, religion re-emerged as an important factor in the lives of many Rus- sians, but cultural and intellectual institutions showed signs of decline (production of art, literature, and scientific books dropped sharply in the mid-1990s, as did newspaper publica- tion), and citizens showed little interest in forming indepen- dent civic groups. Despite guarantees of equal rights in the 1993 constitution, minority ethnic groups have experienced serious discrimination and even violence in Russia's cities, and hints of religious intolerance have emerged as well. Social resentments have festered as the economic status of most Rus- sians deteriorated and a new elite flaunted its wealth. The emigre sociologist Vladimir Shlapentokh observed in 1996 that personal gain had become the most important value in Russian society and that the newly democratized govern- ment institutions offered little authority against dishonest behavior because those institutions are themselves rife with corruption. The inability of government to maintain law and order through its democratic institutions has provoked author- itarian behavior by the Yeltsin administration, whose security agencies have maintained a large share of their Soviet-era autonomy. xcvi Optimists point to the next generation of Russians, who will have formed their civic habits independent of Soviet influence, as the basis of democratic renewal and a new civil society. The three orderly and fair national elections of 1993-96 offer some hope for this prognosis. The relative calm with which Russians have accepted the agonies of transition has provided an oppor- tunity for new institutions to develop, but such a passive public attitude may not bode well for participatory democracy. West- ern influences, which were vital to the postcommunist progress of Poland, Hungary, and the Czech Republic, have penetrated Russia only in random fashion, and they met increasing resis- tance in the mid-1990s. That resistance has dampened the gov- ernment's commitment to economic and political reform and obscured the prognosis for the transition process. By 1996 the reforms envisioned in 1992 had reached a pla- teau quite short of their final goals. Cynicism, corruption, and the president's long period of inactivity had sapped the momentum of reform programs, and an entrenched bureau- cracy blocked further initiatives. In 1997 Russia remained an international power in some respects, but its search for ways to preserve that status was increasingly uncertain. March 31, 1997 * * * In the months following the preparation of this manuscript, several events of importance occurred. In April 1997, shortly after the United States Congress ratified the controversial Chemical Weapons Convention outlawing the manufacture and sale of chemical weapons, the State Duma refused passage on the grounds that the cost of destroying Russia's chemical weapons supply, the largest in the world, was prohibitively high. Although the Duma promised to reconsider the measure in the fall of 1997, its decision caused consternation in the United States, which had expected reciprocity on that issue. In the spring of 1997, Russia continued to affirm its commit- ment to craft a foreign policy independent of international opinion. In April an official Moscow visit by Iranian head of parliament Ali Akbar Nateq-Noori — one day after a German court had found Iran guilty of assassinating exiled dissidents — was met by expressions of friendship from President Yeltsin. There were indications that Russia's military and economic xcvii deals with Iran, criticized sharply in the West because of Iran's support for terrorist groups, would continue or expand. Yeltsin and Minister of Foreign Affairs Yevgeniy Primakov also expressed support for Syria's position in peace talks with Israel, expanding Russia's effort to reestablish influence in the Middle East. Shortly thereafter, a Moscow summit meeting with Jiang Zemin, president of China, produced a statement reinforcing the two nations' "multipolar" foreign policy as a balance against United States domination of the post-Soviet world. The leaders signed an agreement to reduce troops and equipment along the Sino-Russian border by 15 percent. The troop maximum was set at 130,000 for each side. Neighboring countries Kazak- stan, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan also signed the agreement. Yeltsin announced that military-industrial entrepreneur Arka- diy Vol'skiy would head the Russian delegation to a new Sino- Russian standing committee on friendship, peace, and develop- ment scheduled to go into operation sometime in 1997. In April Russia also announced that two new guided-missile destroyers, previously intended for the Russian naval forces, would be delivered to China in 1997. However, despite official rhetoric and new agreements, in mid-1997 a substantial part of Russia's foreign policy establishment saw China as a stopgap partner until permanent relationships could be forged with the United States, Western Europe, and/or Japan. In May 1997, Japan and Russia began high-level defense talks, Japan dropped its objection to Russia's membership in the G-7 orga- nization, and Russia showed some signs of compromise in the continuing dispute over four Russian-held islands in the Kuril chain north of Japan. Based on Japan's change of policy, Yeltsin participated as a full member in the June meeting of the newly renamed G— 8. In May Primakov's long negotiations with NATO officials yielded an agreement defining special status for Russia in NATO in return for Russia's acceptance of a first round of NATO expansion into Central Europe. The most difficult obstacle, Russia's demand that no nuclear or conventional NATO forces be deployed in new NATO member nations, was overcome by a general statement that neither nuclear nor con- ventional forces would be deployed under normal circum- stances. Both sides claimed that the agreement vindicated their position, although NATO made no firm commitment not to deploy forces. The centerpiece of the agreement, which Yeltsin xcviii signed in Paris on May 27, is a permanent council consisting of the secretary general of NATO, a Russian ambassador, and a representative of the full NATO membership. Although Yeltsin described this council as giving Russia a veto over NATO deci- sions, only specific security issues are to be discussed in the new body. The alliance's major political decision-making process remains separate. The first meeting of the council took place in July- The agreement, officially termed a "founding act," is not legally binding and did not require ratification by the parlia- ments of the signatory countries. Having signed the act, Russia officially ended its objections to full NATO membership for the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland, which are expected to become full NATO members in 1999. The agreement also improved the prospect that the Russian economy would benefit from closer contacts with the West. Public reaction in Russia was muted, although nationalist politicians claimed that Russia had sustained a serious diplomatic defeat. Meanwhile, the status of international arms treaties remained unclear. In July talks among the thirty signatory nations of the CFE Treaty — including Russia and all the NATO countries — yielded Russia some concessions on the ratio of NATO to Russian conventional arms in Europe. However, four CIS countries — Azerbaijan, Georgia, Moldova, and Ukraine — had objected that relaxation of CFE restrictions on Russia's flank quotas for troop deployment in or near CIS countries would threaten their national security. The final treaty modifi- cation made overall force reductions in Europe but did not include the limitations on NATO forces in Central Europe that Russia had demanded in return for approval of NATO expan- sion. As of June 1997, Yeltsin had not made a renewed effort to gain State Duma ratification of the START II agreement, although he had promised President Clinton at the Helsinki summit that he would do so. At Helsinki the United States had eased some terms of START II to improve the treaty's prospects for passage in the Duma. In May President Asian Maskhadov of Chechnya (Chechnya- Ichkeria) signed a peace treaty with Russia. In the very brief treaty, both sides renounced the use of force against the other. The official categorization of the agreement as a peace treaty was a concession by Russia, which earlier had refused to sign such a treaty with what it considered an integral part of the fed- xcix eration. The document did not mention independence for the breakaway republic — a potentially divisive issue that both sides avoided in the interest of achieving peace — but the form of the treaty was that used between two equal states subject to interna- tional law, hence a tacit recognition of Chechnya-Ichkeria's independence. Russia also signed agreements for economic aid to Chech- nya, and Yeltsin's negotiator Boris Berezovskiy offered several major concessions, including an official apology for all of Rus- sia's historical incursions into Chechnya, in an effort to stave off full independence. Meanwhile, radical Chechen groups continued kidnappings and terrorist acts, casting doubt on the authority of the Maskhadov government. Chechnya continued to occupy a critical position in Russia's pipeline politics, which became increasingly complex in the mid-1990s as more countries sought participation in the oil wealth of Azerbaijan and Kazakstan. As its price for allowing oil to flow through Chechnya en route to export from Novo- rossiysk on the Black Sea, Chechnya demanded recognition as a full partner in the endeavor. Because an alternative line through Georgia and Turkey would eliminate both Novo- rossiysk and Chechnya — hence all Russian participation — from lucrative new shipments, in July Russia signed a trilateral agree- ment with Azerbaijan and Chechnya, granting Chechnya an equal role. Income from oil shipments was expected to be an important element in stabilizing Chechnya's still rocky internal security situation. The international Caspian Pipeline Consortium, founded in 1992 to bring oil from Kazakstan to the West, has been plagued by internal friction among partner companies, which represent six countries (Britain, Italy, Kazakstan, Oman, Russia, and the United States). In early 1997, however, the consortium showed signs of agreement on the Russian section of a new line that would deliver oil from Kazakstan's Tengiz fields to Novoros- siysk. In April Yeltsin signed the December 1996 agreement on division of shares among the consortium partners. Increased United States activity in the region's new oil fields was a major reason that Russia signed the trilateral pipeline agreement Russia's relations with other CIS countries continue to be unsettled. In April both houses of Russia's Federal Assembly ratified the treaty permitting long-term deployment of Russian forces in Armenia. This move caused alarm in neighboring Azerbaijan (still fighting and negotiating with Armenia over c Nagorno-Karabakh), Georgia (through which additional Rus- sian troops would pass en route to Armenia), and Turkey (near whose border additional Russian troops might be stationed). Disclosures of secret deliveries of Russian arms to Armenia in 1994-96 already had alarmed Azerbaijan, and the military treaty seemingly committed Armenia to a long term as a Rus- sian satellite. However, the terms of the July 1997 treaty with Azerbaijan implicitly reduced the prospect of future Russian support for Armenia in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. In May a friendship treaty with Ukraine resolved division of the Black Sea Fleet and jurisdiction in Sevastopol', the fleet's largest port, among other treaty provisions. Meanwhile, other CIS countries continued to deemphasize CIS (largely Russian) investment and trade agreements in favor of Western and Japanese deals with more favorable conditions. According to an April 1997 report, 90 percent of Kazakstan's enterprises had at least some investments from non-CIS sources. Because Kazakstan's president Nazarbayev was a staunch supporter of CIS integration, this statistic was espe- cially bad news for Russia's efforts to bind together and domi- nate the organization. In 1997 Russian authorities also were alarmed by an incipient trilateral agreement among Azer- baijan, Georgia, and Ukraine, which began cooperating in sev- eral critical areas of security and economics where Russia had enjoyed substantial influence. In May 1997, Yeltsin's Security Council completed a long- awaited national security doctrine. The document, unpub- lished but leaked extensively, included economic, foreign-pol- icy, and military elements in a general description of Russia's present security situation and its primary goals. Improvement of domestic economic and social conditions, rather than geo- political advancement, was listed as the primary requirement for enhanced national security. The most aggressive element of the statement was a revocation of Mikhail Gorbachev's pledge that the Soviet Union never would initiate the use of nuclear weapons in a war. The new stance was described by Western experts as a volley in the diplomatic conflict over NATO expan- sion and a reflection of the acute deterioration of Russia's con- ventional forces. Because the legislative branch had not been consulted in the creative process, experts doubted that the anti-Yeltsin State Duma would grant the approval necessary for the doctrine to become official. ci Russia's defense establishment remained unsettled in mid- 1997 after Yeltsin, long dissatisfied with the pace of military reform, fired Chief of Staff Viktor Samsonov and Minister of Defense Igor' Rodionov. General Igor' Sergeyev was named to replace Rodionov. At the same time, Yeltsin created two new military reform commissions. The first, headed by Prime Minis- ter Chernomyrdin, was to deal with military construction; the second, headed by First Deputy Prime Minister Chubays, was to deal with military finances. Experts saw these moves as a victory for civilian officials who advocated reassigning the military's "hidden reserves" rather than allocating additional funds for military reform. In July Yeltsin outlined a comprehensive plan for reducing the military and consolidating the five branches into two, again emphasizing reallocation of existing resources. The drafting procedure and content of the plan attracted strong criticism from government and military officials. Russia's internal security situation also remained unstable in mid-1997 as the country's crime wave continued. The Ministry of Internal Affairs (MVD) reported a reduction of 12 percent in overall crime in the first quarter of the year, with substantial drops in murders, assaults, thefts, and robberies. However, there was no evidence of a reduction in mafiya protection activ- ity and the corruption and crime associated with it. The 7,500 murders committed in 1996 were the most ever for a single year. Meanwhile, the MVD's "Clean Hands Campaign" reported that in 1996 some 21,000 police officials had been fired because of misconduct, including mafiya connections. Capital punishment continued to be a sensitive political issue: although Russia was obligated by its 1996 admission to the Council of Europe to end capital punishment, the crime wave continued to bolster strong public feeling against such a change. Human rights organizations estimated that 140 people were executed in 1996, the fourth-largest total in the world. The prison system continued to suffer grave problems in 1997. In April an Amnesty International report listed torture, lack of bail, acute crowding, epidemics of tuberculosis, and long periods of pretrial detention as frequent conditions in Russia's prisons and jails. An estimated 300,000 prisoners (up from 233,000 in 1994) were in pretrial custody, which lasted for an average of ten months. In mid-1997 the Government announced an amnesty program that would affect as many as 440,000 Russian prisoners, targeting mainly those in pretrial detention. Because Russia's incarceration rate was about ten cii times that of West European nations, its 1997 prison budget was much higher than its health care budget. Prison reform received little support either from Minister of Internal Affairs Anatoliy Kulikov or from the majority of State Duma deputies. Overdue wages were another continuing result of the national budget deficit. By midyear Russia's workers were owed an estimated US$9.5 billion, and the amount continued to grow. Although the nationwide labor shutdowns called by unions in November 1996 and March 1997 had failed to attract wide support, the number of local shutdowns increased notice- ably in the first half of 1997. Miners, doctors, and teachers blockaded roads and railroads and occupied administrative buildings to protest continued wage arrears. Teacher strikes affected nineteen of Russia's eighty-nine subnational jurisdic- tions, and only fifteen jurisdictions did not owe money to their teachers. Partly because of low budget allocations for health, in 1997 new reports indicated that Russia's health crisis was worsening. Although the life expectancy for males increased from 57.3 years to 59.6 years between 1994 and 1996, the drinking and smoking habits of Russians, together with continued air pollu- tion in many areas, kept mortality rates from cardiac and circu- latory diseases more than twice as high as those in the United States. The incidence of infectious and parasitic diseases con- tinued to increase. Although a major diphtheria vaccination program in 1995-96 radically reduced the incidence of that disease, tuberculosis cases increased sharply, especially in Rus- sia's prisons. In 1997 the minister of health predicted that sex- ual promiscuity and drug addiction would cause 800,000 new cases of HIV infection by the year 2000. Meanwhile, the official government population prediction for 2010 called for a decrease of 7.3 million people, and one Russian expert predicted a decrease of 12 million by that year. In that period, fertility was expected to decline because of health problems among women of childbearing age and because of the overall aging of the population. The overall economic situation continued to be overshad- owed by the Government's inability to balance its budget. Con- tinuing its effort to improve tax collection — the most often cited way of paying overdue state salaries and pensions — in May the Chernomyrdin government submitted a new tax code to the State Duma for approval. Under Yeltsin's implicit threat to dissolve the Duma, the body gave preliminary approval to the ciii code in June. Meanwhile, major enterprises continued to avoid full tax payment. According to an April 1997 State Taxation Service report, Gazprom, the natural gas monopoly, used 140 separate bank accounts to shelter its assets. Of the Govern- ment's list of eighty leading tax-evading enterprises, fifty-three were in the fuel and energy industry. Only 57 percent of projected revenues were collected in the first quarter of 1997, leaving arrears of US$12 billion, and only 63 percent of budgeted expenditures were made. By May the Government owed an estimated US$2.2 billion in pensions, US$2.3 billion in wages to state workers, and US$1.4 billion in child support allowances. The shortfall also reduced economic investment, which in the first half of 1997 was only about 95 percent of the amount invested in the same period of 1996. In response to the shortfall, Minister of Finance Anatoliy Chubays submitted a proposal to the State Duma for sequestra- tion of allotted funds, warning that the Government could not continue functioning if major cuts were not made. The revi- sions called for reducing spending by US$19 billion. Despite strong and widespread opposition to the level and allocation of the cuts, in June the Duma adjourned for its summer vacation without submitting an alternative plan. Meanwhile, the "capital flight" of hard currency (see Glos- sary) from Russia continued at a rapid rate in 1997. Interna- tional police authorities estimated that US$1 to US$2 billion dollars left the country every month, much of it connected with illegal activity and invested abroad by Russian emigres. Experts identified this trend as a sign of continuing low confi- dence in the domestic economy. For the first six months of 1997, Russia's GDP shrank by 0.2 percent, casting doubt on Yeltsin's July assertion that the econ- omy had "turned the corner." Positive economic news of early 1997 included the continuing reduction of inflation, which reached an annual rate of 14.5 percent in June — the lowest rate since Russia's independence. Also, the reorganization of the Government in March caused the IMF to resume monthly payments on Russia's US$10 billion loan, which had been sus- pended since December. The World Bank also announced a two-year loan of US$6 billion to help pay overdue wages and pensions. In April a series of presidential decrees moved Government policy closer to privatization in some sectors, although strong political support for the giant monopolies in the State Duma civ guaranteed that Deputy Prime Minister Boris Nemtsov would have a hard struggle in breaking them down. According to the new privatization goals, Government subsidies of housing and municipal services, which were budgeted at US$27 billion in 1997, were to be reduced. (The average Russian paid only 27 percent of such costs in 1997.) According to a sliding scale, subsidies would reach zero in 2003, although some state hous- ing support would remain for the neediest individuals. In the spring of 1997, local increases in utility and housing costs brought demonstrations in St. Petersburg, and Moscow's pow- erful mayor, Yuriy Luzhkov, objected strongly to the national proposal. Provisions were made for substantial modification of the pricing and/or structure of the state-controlled electric power industry and the railroad network, and Yeltsin ordered the sale of 49 percent of the telecommunications giant Svyazinvest, divi- sion of which was one of the most controversial privatization issues. In July 25 percent of total Svyazinvest shares were won at auction by a group including Russia's Uneximbank and Ger- man and United States investors. Because of the backward state of Russia's telephone system, telecommunications is consid- ered potentially one of Russia's largest growth industries. The results of the Svyazinvest auction, which Boris Nemtsov touted as fully free and equitable, set off loud protests from the power- ful business interests that failed to acquire shares. The issue threatened to split the large-business bloc that had supported Yeltsin before and after the 1996 election. Russia's nineteen railroad companies, which accounted for 78 percent of freight traffic and 40 percent of passenger traffic in 1997, were to be removed from direct control of the Ministry of Transportation, under whose management fast-rising rail- road fees had added enormous amounts to the overhead of railroad-dependent industries such as steel and coal. At the same time, rail customers owed the lines an estimated US$1.1 billion in 1997, and the companies' equipment was in desper- ate need of modernization. In May Yeltsin announced that Gazprom henceforth would be run by a state commission, depriving the gas monopoly of the financial freedom that had gained it billions of dollars of untaxed profits. Yeltsin already had stripped Gazprom of its exclusive right to develop new natural gas deposits, and the Government now expected to recover much of Gazprom's unpaid taxes through the new commission. Prime Minister cv Chernomyrdin remained a protector of the industry's special status, however. In April Yeltsin renewed his appeal for Russia's consumers to "buy Russian" to support the domestic economy in the face of increased consumption of imported consumer goods. How- ever, Russian manufacturers faced a circular dilemma: consis- tently low quality kept the demand for Russian goods from expanding, but firms were unable to improve quality without new profits or increasingly scarce government subsidies. In politics, reformist members of the Kremlin's younger gen- eration advanced in Yeltsin's Government reorganization. Boris Nemtsov, thirty-seven, gained immediate popularity with ordi- nary Russians in his new post as deputy prime minister by attacking monopolies and bureaucratic corruption; in April Nemtsov supplanted Aleksandr Lebed' as Russia's most trusted politician in two nationwide polls, although most experts called his reform program virtually impossible. Experts in Russia already were speaking of Nemtsov as the likely presidential can- didate of the "young reformers" in 2000. In April forty-three- year-old Sergey Yastrzhembskiy, who had gained wide approval as Yeltsin's press secretary, was named deputy chief of staff and foreign policy coordinator while retaining his previous posi- tion. The struggle for power continued at the echelon of govern- ment immediately below Yeltsin. The resignation of Cherno- myrdin protege Petr Rodionovfrom his post as Minister of Fuel and Energy deprived the prime minister of his most important Government ally. However, Chernomyrdin's position still gave him substantial power vis-a-vis Chubays, an important factor in Yeltsin's ongoing policy of checking the ambitions of his most powerful subordinates. (Experts also considered the presence of Nemtsov and Valentin Yumashev, whom Yeltsin made his chief of staff in March, as additional factors preventing Chu- bays and his powerful business allies from dominating the reform agenda.) Human rights continued to have strong political ramifica- tions in mid-1997 when both houses of the Federal Assembly passed a law restricting the activities of all but four "traditional" religions. The Russian Orthodox Church received special sta- tus; no other Christian religions were included in the "tradi- tional" category The law, successor to legislation introduced unsuccessfully by nationalist and communist factions earlier in the 1990s, attracted strong condemnation from the Vatican cvi and human rights groups and strong support from the Russian Orthodox hierarchy and the Communist Party of Russia. In July Yeltsin vetoed the law — which experts saw as evidence of growing anti-Western sentiment in Russian society — as a viola- tion of the constitution's human rights guarantees. The fate of that law, and the unresolved disputes between the executive and legislative branches over budget cuts, privatization, mili- tary reform, and tax collection were signs that Yeltsin's new government team still faced complex problems in their reform campaign. August 20, 1997 Glenn E. Curtis cvii Chapter 1. Historical Setting: Early History to 1917 A beautiful princess, transformed from a white swan, presents herself to Gui- don, son of Tsar Saltan (design from lacquer box made in village ofMstera). EACH OF THE MANY NATIONALITIES of Russia has a sepa- rate history and complex origins. The historical origins of the Russian state, however, are chiefly those of the East Slavs, the ethnic group that evolved into the Russian, Ukrainian, and Belorussian peoples. The major pre-Soviet states of the East Slavs were, in chronological order, medieval Kievan Rus', Mus- covy, and the Russian Empire. Three other states — Poland, Lithuania, and the Mongol Empire — also played crucial roles in the historical development of Russia. The first East Slavic state, Kievan Rus', emerged along the Dnepr River valley, where it controlled the trade route between Scandinavia and the Byzantine Empire. Kievan Rus' adopted Christianity from the Byzantine Empire in the tenth century, beginning the synthesis of Byzantine and Slavic cultures that defined Russian culture for the next thousand years. Kievan Rus' ultimately disintegrated as a state because of the armed struggles among members of the princely family that collec- tively possessed it. Conquest by the Mongols in the thirteenth century was the final blow in this disintegration; subsequently, a number of states claimed to be the heirs to the civilization and dominant position of Kievan Rus'. One of those states, Muscovy, was a predominantly Russian territory located at the far northern edge of the former cultural center. Muscovy grad- ually came to dominate neighboring territories, forming the basis for the future Russian Empire. Muscovy had significant impact on the civilizations that fol- lowed, and they adopted many of its characteristics, including the subordination of the individual to the state. This idea of the dominant state derived from the Slavic, Mongol, and Byz- antine heritage of Muscovy, and it later emerged in the unlim- ited power of the tsar. Both individuals and institutions, even the Russian Orthodox Church, were subordinate to the state as it was represented in the person of the autocrat. A second characteristic of Russian history has been contin- ual territorial expansion. Beginning with Muscovy's efforts to consolidate Russian territory as Tatar control waned in the fif- teenth century, expansion soon went beyond ethnically Rus- sian areas; by the eighteenth century, the principality of Muscovy had become the huge Russian Empire, stretching from Poland eastward to the Pacific Ocean. Size and military 3 Russia: A Country Study might made Russia a major power, but its acquisition of large territories inhabited by non-Russian peoples began an endur- ing pattern of nationality problems. Expansion westward sharpened Russia's awareness of its backwardness and shattered the isolation in which the initial stages of expansion had taken place. Muscovy was able to develop at its own pace, but the Russian Empire was forced to adopt Western technology to compete militarily in Europe. Under this exigency, Peter the Great (r. 1682-1725) and subse- quent rulers attempted to modernize the country. Most such efforts struggled with indifferent success to raise Russia to European levels of technology and productivity. The technol- ogy that Russia adopted brought with it Western cultural and intellectual currents that changed the direction in which Rus- sian culture developed. As Western influence continued, native and foreign cultural values began a competition that survives in vigorous form in the 1990s. The nature of Russia's relation- ship with the West became an enduring obsession of Russian intellectuals. Russia's defeat in the Crimean War (1853-56) triggered another attempt at modernization, including the emancipation of the peasants who had been bound to the land in the system of serfdom. Despite major reforms enacted in the 1860s, how- ever, agriculture remained inefficient, industrialization pro- ceeded slowly, and new social problems emerged. In addition to masses of peasants seeking land to till, a new class of indus- trial workers — the proletariat — and a small but influential group of middle-class professionals were dissatisfied with their positions. The non-Russian populations resented periodic offi- cial Russification campaigns and struggled for autonomy. Suc- cessive regimes of the nineteenth century responded to such pressures with a combination of halfhearted reform and repression, but no tsar was willing to cede autocratic rule or share power. Gradually, the monarch and the state system that surrounded him became isolated from the rest of society. In the last decades of the nineteenth century, some intellectuals became more radical, and groups of professional revolutionar- ies emerged. In spite of its internal problems, Russia continued to play a major role in international politics. However, unexpected defeat in the Russo-Japanese War of 1904-05 sparked a revolu- tion in 1905. At that stage, professionals, workers, peasants, minority ethnic groups, and soldiers demanded fundamental 4 Historical Setting: Early History to 1917 reforms. Reluctantly, Nicholas II responded to the first of Rus- sia's revolutions by granting a limited constitution, but he increasingly circumvented its democratic clauses, and autoc- racy again took command in the last decade of the tsarist state. World War I found Russia unready for combat but full of patri- otic zeal. However, as the government proved incompetent and conditions worsened, war weariness and revolutionary pres- sures increased, and the defenders of the autocracy grew fewer. Early History Many ethnically diverse peoples migrated onto the East European Plain, but the East Slavs remained and gradually became dominant. Kievan Rus', the first East Slavic state, emerged in the ninth century A.D. and developed a complex and frequently unstable political system that flourished until the thirteenth century, when it declined abruptly. Among the lasting achievements of Kievan Rus 1 are the introduction of a Slavic variant of the Eastern Orthodox religion and a synthesis of Byzantine and Slavic cultures. The disintegration of Kievan Rus' played a crucial role in the evolution of the East Slavs into the Russian, Ukrainian, and Belorussian peoples. The Inhabitants of the East European Plain Long before the organization of Kievan Rus 1 , Iranian and other peoples lived in the area of present-day Ukraine. The best known of those groups was the nomadic Scythians, who occupied the region from about 600 B.C. to 200 B.C. and whose skill in warfare and horsemanship is legendary. Between A.D. 100 and A.D. 900, Goths and nomadic Huns, Avars, and Magyars passed through the region in their migrations. Although some of them subjugated the Slavs in the region, those tribes left little of lasting importance. More significant in this period was the expansion of the Slavs, who were agricultur- ists and beekeepers as well as hunters, fishers, herders, and trappers. By A.D. 600, the Slavs were the dominant ethnic group on the East European Plain. Little is known of the origin of the Slavs. Philologists and archaeologists theorize that the Slavs settled very early in the Carpathian Mountains or in the area of present-day Belarus. By A.D. 600, they had split linguistically into southern, western, and eastern branches. The East Slavs settled along the Dnepr River in what is now Ukraine; then they spread northward to 5 Russia: A Country Study the northern Volga River valley, east of modern-day Moscow, and westward to the basins of the northern Dnestr and the western Bug rivers, in present-day Moldova and southern Ukraine. In the eighth and ninth centuries, many East Slavic tribes paid tribute to the Khazars, a Turkic-speaking people who adopted Judaism about A.D. 740 and lived in the southern Volga and Caucasus regions. The East Slavs and the Varangians By the ninth century, Scandinavian warriors and merchants, called Varangians, had penetrated the East Slavic regions. According to the Primary Chronicle, the earliest chronicle of Kievan Rus', a Varangian named Rurik first established himself in Novgorod, just south of modern-day St. Petersburg, in about 860 before moving south and extending his authority to Kiev. The chronicle cites Rurik as the progenitor of a dynasty that ruled in Eastern Europe until 1598. Another Varangian, Oleg, moved south from Novgorod to expel the Khazars from Kiev and founded Kievan Rus' about A.D. 880. During the next thirty-five years, Oleg subdued the various East Slavic tribes. In A.D. 907, he led a campaign against Constantinople, and in 911 he signed a commercial treaty with the Byzantine Empire as an equal partner. The new Kievan state prospered because it controlled the trade route from the Baltic Sea to the Black Sea and because it had an abundant supply of furs, wax, honey, and slaves for export. Historians have debated the role of the Varan- gians in the establishment of Kievan Rus'. Most Russian histori- ans — especially in the Soviet era — have stressed the Slavic influence in the development of the state. Although Slavic tribes had formed their own regional jurisdictions by 860, the Varangians accelerated the crystallization of Kievan Rus'. The Golden Age of Kiev The region of Kiev dominated the state of Kievan Rus' for the next two centuries (see fig. 2). The grand prince of Kiev controlled the lands around the city, and his theoretically sub- ordinate relatives ruled in other cities and paid him tribute. The zenith of the state's power came during the reigns of Prince Vladimir (r. 978-1015) and Prince Yaroslav (the Wise; r. 1019-54). Both rulers continued the steady expansion of Kievan Rus' that had begun under Oleg. To enhance their power, Vladimir married the sister of the Byzantine emperor, and Yaroslav arranged marriages for his sister and three daugh- 6 Historical Setting: Early History to 1917 ters to the kings of Poland, France, Hungary, and Norway. Vladimir's greatest achievement was the Christianization of Kievan Rus', a process that began in 988. He built the first great edifice of Kievan Rus', the Desyatinnaya Church in Kiev. Yaro- slav promulgated the first East Slavic law code, Rus'ka pravda (Justice of Rus'); built cathedrals named for St. Sophia in Kiev and Novgorod; patronized local clergy and monasticism; and is said to have founded a school system. Yaroslav's sons developed Kiev's great Peshcherskiy monastyr' (Monastery of the Caves), which functioned in Kievan Rus' as an ecclesiastical academy. Vladimir's choice of Eastern Orthodoxy reflected his close personal ties with Constantinople, which dominated the Black Sea and hence trade on Kiev's most vital commercial route, the Dnepr River. Adherence to the Eastern Orthodox Church had long-range political, cultural, and religious consequences. The church had a liturgy written in Cyrillic (see Glossary) and a cor- pus of translations from the Greek that had been produced for the South Slavs. The existence of this literature facilitated the East Slavs' conversion to Christianity and introduced them to rudimentary Greek philosophy, science, and historiography without the necessity of learning Greek. In contrast, educated people in medieval Western and Central Europe learned Latin. Because the East Slavs learned neither Greek nor Latin, they were isolated from Byzantine culture as well as from the Euro- pean cultures of their neighbors to the west. In the centuries that followed the state's foundation, Rurik's purported descendants shared power over Kievan Rus'. Princely succession moved from elder to younger brother and from uncle to nephew, as well as from father to son. Junior members of the dynasty usually began their official careers as rulers of a minor district, progressed to more lucrative princi- palities, and then competed for the coveted throne of Kiev. In the eleventh and twelfth centuries, the princes and their retinues, which were a mixture of Varangian and Slavic elites and small Finno-Ugric and Turkic elements, dominated the society of Kievan Rus'. Leading soldiers and officials received income and land from the princes in return for their political and military services. Kievan society lacked the class institu- tions and autonomous towns that were typical of West Euro- pean feudalism. Nevertheless, urban merchants, artisans, and laborers sometimes exercised political influence through a city assembly, the veche, which included all the adult males in the population. In some cases, the veche either made agreements 7 Russia: A Country Study POLOVTSIANS HUNGARY K Q(/ The twelve principalities of Kievan Rus' in 1100 200 Kilometers r (Bfac^ Sea VOLGA BULGARS Source: Based on information from David MacKenzie and Michael W. Curran, A History of Russia and the Soviet Union, Chicago, 1987, 61. Figure 2. The Principalities of Kievan Rus', 1136 with their rulers or expelled them and invited others to take their place. At the bottom of society was a small stratum of slaves. More important was a class of tribute-paying peasants, who owed labor duty to the princes; the widespread personal serfdom characteristic of Western Europe did not exist in Kievan Rus', however. The Rise of Regional Centers Kievan Rus' was not able to maintain its position as a power- 8 Historical Setting: Early History to 1917 ful and prosperous state, in part because of the amalgamation of disparate lands under the control of a ruling clan. As the members of that clan became more numerous, they identified themselves with regional interests rather than with the larger patrimony. Thus, the princes fought among themselves, fre- quently forming alliances with outside groups such as the Polovtsians, Poles, and Hungarians. The Crusades brought a shift in European trade routes that accelerated the decline of Kievan Rus'. In 1204 the forces of the Fourth Crusade sacked Constantinople, making the Dnepr trade route marginal. As it declined, Kievan Rus' splintered into many principalities and several large regional centers. The inhabitants of those regional centers then evolved into three nationalities: Ukraini- ans in the southeast and southwest, Belorussians in the north- west, and Russians in the north and northeast. In the north, the Republic of Novgorod prospered as part of Kievan Rus' because it controlled trade routes from the Volga River to the Baltic Sea. As Kievan Rus' declined, Novgorod became more independent. A local oligarchy ruled Novgorod; major government decisions were made by a town assembly, which also elected a prince as the city's military leader. In the twelfth century, Novgorod acquired its own archbishop, a sign of increased importance and political independence. In its political structure and mercantile activities, Novgorod resem- bled the north European towns of the Hanseatic League, the prosperous alliance that dominated the commercial activity of the Baltic region between the thirteenth and seventeenth cen- turies, more than the other principalities of Kievan Rus'. In the northeast, East Slavs colonized the territory that even- tually became Muscovy by intermingling with the Finno-Ugric tribes already occupying the area. The city of Rostov was the oldest center of the northeast, but it was supplanted first by Suzdal' and then by the city of Vladimir. By the twelfth century, the combined principality of Vladimir-Suzdal' had become a major power in Kievan Rus 1 . In 1169 Prince Andrey Bogolyubskiy of Vladimir-Suzdal' dealt a severe blow to the waning power of Kievan Rus' when his armies sacked the city of Kiev. Prince Andrey then installed his younger brother to rule in Kiev and continued to rule his realm from Suzdal'. Thus, political power shifted to the north- east, away from Kiev, in the second half of the twelfth century. In 1299, in the wake of the Mongol invasion, the metropolitan 9 Russia: A Country Study of the Orthodox Church moved to the city of Vladimir, and Vladimir-Suzdal' replaced Kievan Rus 1 as the religious center. To the southwest, the principality of Galicia-Volhynia had highly developed trade relations with its Polish, Hungarian, and Lithuanian neighbors and emerged as another successor to Kievan Rus 1 . In the early thirteenth century, Prince Roman Mstislavich united the two previously separate principalities, conquered Kiev, and assumed the title of grand duke of Kievan Rus'. His son, Prince Daniil (Danylo; r. 1238-64) was the first ruler of Kievan Rus' to accept a crown from the Roman papacy, apparently doing so without breaking with Orthodoxy. Early in the fourteenth century, the patriarch of the Orthodox Church in Constantinople granted the rulers of Galicia-Volhynia a met- ropolitan to compensate for the move of the Kievan metropoli- tan to Vladimir. However, a long and unsuccessful struggle against the Mon- gols combined with internal opposition to the prince and for- eign intervention to weaken Galicia-Volhynia. With the end of the Mstislavich Dynasty in the mid-fourteenth century, Galicia- Volhynia ceased to exist; Lithuania took Volhynia, and Poland annexed Galicia. The Mongol Invasion As it was undergoing fragmentation, Kievan Rus' faced its greatest threat from invading Mongols. In 1223 an army from Kievan Rus', together with a force of Turkic Polovtsians, faced a Mongol raiding party at the Kalka River. The Kievan alliance was defeated soundly. Then, in 1237-38, a much larger Mongol force overran much of Kievan Rus'. In 1240 the Mongols sacked the city of Kiev and then moved west into Poland and Hungary Of the principalities of Kievan Rus', only the Repub- lic of Novgorod escaped occupation, but it paid tribute to the Mongols. One branch of the Mongol force withdrew to Saray on the lower Volga River, establishing the Golden Horde (see Glossary). From Saray the Golden Horde Mongols ruled Kievan Rus 1 indirectly through their princes and tax collectors. The impact of the Mongol invasion on the territories of Kievan Rus' was uneven. Centers such as Kiev never recovered from the devastation of the initial attack. The Republic of Novgorod continued to prosper, however, and a new entity, the city of Moscow, began to flourish under the Mongols. Although a Russian army defeated the Golden Horde at Kulikovo in 1380, Mongol domination of the Russian-inhabited territories, 10 Historical Setting: Early History to 1917 along with demands of tribute from Russian princes, continued until about 1480. Historians have debated the long-term influence of Mongol rule on Russian society. The Mongols have been blamed for the destruction of Kievan Rus', the breakup of the "Russian" nationality into three components, and the introduction of the concept of "oriental despotism" into Russia. But most histori- ans agree that Kievan Rus' was not a homogeneous political, cultural, or ethnic entity and that the Mongols merely acceler- ated a fragmentation that had begun before the invasion. His- torians also credit the Mongol regime with an important role in the development of Muscovy as a state. Under Mongol occu- pation, for example, Muscovy developed its postal road net- work, census, fiscal system, and military organization. Kievan Rus' also left a powerful legacy. The leader of the Rurik Dynasty united a large territory inhabited by East Slavs into an important, albeit unstable, state. After Vladimir accepted Eastern Orthodoxy, Kievan Rus' came together under a church structure and developed a Byzantine-Slavic synthesis in culture, statecraft, and the arts. On the northeastern periph- ery of Kievan Rus', those traditions were adapted to form the Russian autocratic state. Muscovy The development of the Russian state can be traced from Vladimir-Suzdal' through Muscovy to the Russian Empire. Mus- covy drew people and wealth to the northeastern periphery of Kievan Rus'; established trade links to the Baltic Sea, the White Sea, and the Caspian Sea and to Siberia; and created a highly centralized and autocratic political system. Muscovite political traditions, therefore, exerted a powerful influence on Russian society. The Rise of Muscovy When the Mongols invaded the lands of Kievan Rus 1 , Mos- cow was an insignificant trading outpost in the principality of Vladimir-Suzdal'. The outpost's remote, forested location offered some security from Mongol attack and occupation, and a number of rivers provided access to the Baltic and Black seas and to the Caucasus region. More important to Moscow's devel- opment in what became the state of Muscovy, however, was its rule by a series of princes who were ambitious, determined, 11 Russia: A Country Study and lucky. The first ruler of the principality of Muscovy, Daniil Aleksandrovich (d. 1303), secured the principality for his branch of the Rurik Dynasty. His son, Ivan I (r. 1325-40), known as Ivan Kalita ("Money Bags"), obtained the title "Grand Prince of Vladimir" from his Mongol overlords. He cooperated closely with the Mongols and collected tribute from other Rus- sian principalities on their behalf. This relationship enabled Ivan to gain regional ascendancy, particularly over Muscovy's chief rival, the northern city of Tver'. In 1327 the Orthodox metropolitan transferred his residency from Vladimir to Mos- cow, further enhancing the prestige of the new principality. In the fourteenth century, the grand princes of Muscovy began gathering Russian lands to increase the population and wealth under their rule (see table 2, Appendix). The most suc- cessful practitioner of this process was Ivan III (the Great; r. 1462-1505), who conquered Novgorod in 1478 and Tver' in 1485. Muscovy gained full sovereignty over the ethnically Rus- sian lands in 1480 when Mongol overlordship ended officially, and by the beginning of the sixteenth century virtually all those lands were united. Through inheritance, Ivan obtained part of the province of Ryazan', and the princes of Rostov and Yaro- slavl' voluntarily subordinated themselves to him. The north- western city of Pskov remained independent in this period, but Ivan's son, Vasiliy III (r. 1505-33), later conquered it. Ivan III was the first Muscovite ruler to use the titles of tsar and "Ruler of all Rus'." Ivan competed with his powerful north- western rival Lithuania for control over some of the semi-inde- pendent former principalities of Kievan Rus' in the upper Dnepr and Donets river basins. Through the defections of some princes, border skirmishes, and a long, inconclusive war with Lithuania that ended only in 1503, Ivan III was able to push westward, and Muscovy tripled in size under his rule. The Evolution of the Russian Aristocracy Internal consolidation accompanied outward expansion of the state. By the fifteenth century, the rulers of Muscovy con- sidered the entire Russian territory their collective property. Various semi-independent princes still claimed specific territo- ries, but Ivan III forced the lesser princes to acknowledge the grand prince of Muscovy and his descendants as unquestioned rulers with control over military, judicial, and foreign affairs. Gradually, the Muscovite ruler emerged as a powerful, auto- cratic ruler, a tsar. By assuming that title, the Muscovite prince 12 Historical Setting: Early History to 1917 underscored that he was a major ruler or emperor on a par with the emperor of the Byzantine Empire or the Mongol khan. Indeed, after Ivan Ill's marriage to Sophia Paleologue, the niece of the last Byzantine emperor, the Muscovite court adopted Byzantine terms, rituals, titles, and emblems such as the double-headed eagle. At first, the term autocrat connoted only the literal meaning of an independent ruler, but in the reign of Ivan IV (r. 1533-84) it came to mean unlimited rule. Ivan IV was crowned tsar and thus was recognized, at least by the Orthodox Church, as emperor. An Orthodox monk had claimed that, once Constantinople had fallen to the Ottoman Empire in 1453, the Muscovite tsar was the only legitimate Orthodox ruler and that Moscow was the Third Rome because it was the final successor to Rome and Constantinople, the cen- ters of Christianity in earlier periods. That concept was to reso- nate in the self-image of Russians in future centuries. Ivan IV The development of the tsar's autocratic powers reached a peak during the reign of Ivan IV, and he became known as the Terrible (his Russian epithet, groznyy, means threatening or dreaded). Ivan strengthened the position of the tsar to an unprecedented degree, demonstrating the risks of unbridled power in the hands of a mentally unstable individual. Although apparently intelligent and energetic, Ivan suffered from bouts of paranoia and depression, and his rule was punctuated by acts of extreme violence. Ivan IV became grand prince of Muscovy in 1533 at the age of three. Various factions of the boyars (see Glossary) com- peted for control of the regency until Ivan assumed the throne in 1547. Reflecting Muscovy's new imperial claims, Ivan's coro- nation as tsar was an elaborate ritual modeled after those of the Byzantine emperors. With the continuing assistance of a group of boyars, Ivan began his reign with a series of useful reforms. In the 1550s, he promulgated a new law code, revamped the military, and reorganized local government. These reforms undoubtedly were intended to strengthen the state in the face of continuous warfare. During the late 1550s, Ivan developed a hostility toward his advisers, the government, and the boyars. Historians have not determined whether policy differences, personal animosities, or mental imbalance cause his wrath. In 1565 he divided Mus- covy into two parts: his private domain and the public realm. 13 Russia: A Country Study For his private domain, Ivan chose some of the most prosper- ous and important districts of Muscovy. In these areas, Ivan's agents attacked boyars, merchants, and even common people, summarily executing some and confiscating land and posses- sions. Thus began a decade of terror in Muscovy. As a result of this policy, called the oprichnina, Ivan broke the economic and political power of the leading boyar families, thereby destroy- ing precisely those persons who had built up Muscovy and were the most capable of administering it. Trade diminished, and peasants, faced with mounting taxes and threats of violence, began to leave Muscovy. Efforts to curtail the mobility of the peasants by tying them to their land brought Muscovy closer to legal serfdom. In 1572 Ivan finally abandoned the practices of the oprichnina. Despite the domestic turmoil of Ivan's late period, Muscovy continued to wage wars and to expand. Ivan defeated and annexed the Kazan' Khanate on the middle Volga in 1552 and later the Astrakhan' Khanate, where the Volga meets the Cas- pian Sea. These victories gave Muscovy access to the entire Volga River and to Central Asia. Muscovy's eastward expansion encountered relatively little resistance. In 1581 the Stroganov merchant family, interested in fur trade, hired a Cossack (see Glossary) leader, Yermak, to lead an expedition into western Siberia. Yermak defeated the Siberian Khanate and claimed the territories west of the Ob' and Irtysh rivers for Muscovy (see fig. 3). Expanding to the northwest toward the Baltic Sea proved to be much more difficult. In 1558 Ivan invaded Livonia, eventu- ally embroiling him in a twenty-five-year war against Poland, Lithuania, Sweden, and Denmark. Despite occasional suc- cesses, Ivan's army was pushed back, and Muscovy failed to secure a coveted position on the Baltic Sea. The war drained Muscovy. Some historians believe that Ivan initiated the oprich- nina to mobilize resources for the war and to quell opposition to it. Regardless of the reason, Ivan's domestic and foreign pol- icies had a devastating effect on Muscovy, and they led to a period of social struggle and civil war, the so-called Time of Troubles (Smutnoye vremya, 1598-1613). The Time of Troubles Ivan IV was succeeded by his son Fedor, who was mentally deficient. Actual power went to Fedor's brother-in-law, the boyar Boris Godunov. Perhaps the most important event of 14 Historical Setting: Early History to 1917 Fedor's reign was the proclamation of the patriarchate of Mos- cow in 1589. The creation of the patriarchate climaxed the evo- lution of a separate and totally independent Russian Orthodox Church. In 1598 Fedor died without an heir, ending the Rurik Dynasty. Boris Godunov then convened a zemskiy sobor, a national assembly of boyars, church officials, and commoners, which proclaimed him tsar, although various boyar factions refused to recognize the decision. Widespread crop failures caused a famine between 1601 and 1603, and during the ensu- ing discontent, a man emerged who claimed to be Dmitriy, Ivan IV's son who had died in 1591. This pretender to the throne, who came to be known as the first False Dmitriy, gained support in Poland and marched to Moscow, gathering follow- ers among the boyars and other elements as he went. Histori- ans speculate that Godunov would have weathered this crisis, but he died in 1605. As a result, the first False Dmitriy entered Moscow and was crowned tsar that year, following the murder of Tsar Fedor II, Godunov's son. Subsequently, Muscovy entered a period of continuous chaos. The Time of Troubles included a civil war in which a struggle over the throne was complicated by the machinations of rival boyar factions, the intervention of regional powers Poland and Sweden, and intense popular discontent. The first False Dmitriy and his Polish garrison were overthrown, and a boyar, Vasiliy Shuyskiy, was proclaimed tsar in 1606. In his attempt to retain the throne, Shuyskiy allied himself with the Swedes. A second False Dmitriy, allied with the Poles, appeared. In 1610 that heir apparent was proclaimed tsar, and the Poles occupied Moscow. The Polish presence led to a patri- otic revival among the Russians, and a new army, financed by northern merchants and blessed by the Orthodox Church, drove the Poles out. In 1613 a new zemskiy sobor proclaimed the boyar Mikhail Romanov as tsar, beginning the 300-year reign of the Romanov family. Muscovy was in chaos for more than a decade, but the insti- tution of the autocracy remained intact. Despite the tsar's per- secution of the boyars, the townspeople's dissatisfaction, and the gradual enserfment of the peasantry, efforts at restricting the power of the tsar were only halfhearted. Finding no institu- tional alternative to the autocracy, discontented Russians ral- lied behind various pretenders to the throne. During that period, the goal of political activity was to gain influence over 15 Russia: A Country Study Historical Setting: Early History to 1917 the sitting autocrat or to place one's own candidate on the throne. The boyars fought among themselves, the lower classes revolted blindly, and foreign armies occupied the Kremlin (see Glossary) in Moscow, prompting many to accept tsarist absolut- ism as a necessary means to restoring order and unity in Mus- covy. The Romanovs The immediate task of the new dynasty was to restore order. Fortunately for Muscovy, its major enemies, Poland and Swe- den, were engaged in a bitter conflict with each other, which provided Muscovy the opportunity to make peace with Sweden in 1617 and to sign a truce with Poland in 1619. After an unsuc- cessful attempt to regain the city of Smolensk from Poland in 1632, Muscovy made peace with Poland in 1634. Polish king Wladyslaw IV, whose father and predecessor Sigismund III had manipulated his nominal selection as tsar of Muscovy during the Time of Troubles, renounced all claims to the title as a con- dition of the peace treaty. The early Romanovs were weak rulers. Under Mikhail, state affairs were in the hands of the tsar's father, Filaret, who in 1619 became patriarch of the Orthodox Church. Later, Mikhail's son Aleksey (r. 1645-76) relied on a boyar, Boris Morozov, to run his government. Morozov abused his position by exploiting the populace, and in 1648 Aleksey dismissed him in the wake of a popular uprising in Moscow. The autocracy survived the Time of Troubles and the rule of weak or corrupt tsars because of the strength of the govern- ment's central bureaucracy. Government functionaries contin- ued to serve, regardless of the ruler's legitimacy or the boyar faction controlling the throne. In the seventeenth century, the bureaucracy expanded dramatically. The number of govern- ment departments (prikazy; sing., prikaz) increased from twenty- two in 1613 to eighty by mid-century. Although the depart- ments often had overlapping and conflicting jurisdictions, the central government, through provincial governors, was able to control and regulate all social groups, as well as trade, manu- facturing, and even the Orthodox Church. The comprehensive legal code introduced in 1649 illustrates the extent of state control over Russian society. By that time, the boyars had largely merged with the elite bureaucracy, who were obligatory servitors of the state, to form a new nobility, the dvoryanstvo. The state required service from both the old 17 Russia: A Country Study and the new nobility, primarily in the military. In return, they received land and peasants. In the preceding century, the state had gradually curtailed peasants' rights to move from one land- lord to another; the 1649 code officially attached peasants to their domicile. The state fully sanctioned serfdom, and run- away peasants became state fugitives. Landlords had complete power over their peasants and bought, sold, traded, and mort- gaged them. Peasants living on state-owned land, however, were not considered serfs. They were organized into communes, which were responsible for taxes and other obligations. Like serfs, however, state peasants were attached to the land they farmed. Middle-class urban tradesmen and craftsmen were assessed taxes, and, like the serfs, they were forbidden to change residence. All segments of the population were subject to military levy and to special taxes. By chaining much of Mus- covite society to specific domiciles, the legal code of 1649 cur- tailed movement and subordinated the people to the interests of the state. Under this code, increased state taxes and regulations exac- erbated the social discontent that had been simmering since the Time of Troubles. In the 1650s and 1660s, the number of peasant escapes increased dramatically. A favorite refuge was the Don River region, domain of the Don Cossacks. A major uprising occurred in the Volga region in 1670 and 1671. Stenka Razin, a Cossack who was from the Don River region, led a revolt that drew together wealthy Cossacks who were well estab- lished in the region and escaped serfs seeking free land. The unexpected uprising swept up the Volga River valley and even threatened Moscow. Tsarist troops finally defeated the rebels after they had occupied major cities along the Volga in an oper- ation whose panache captured the imaginations of later gener- ations of Russians. Razin was publicly tortured and executed. Expansion and Westernization Muscovy continued its territorial growth through the seven- teenth century. In the southwest, it acquired eastern Ukraine, which had been under Polish rule. The Ukrainian Cossacks, warriors organized in military formations, lived in the frontier areas bordering Poland, the Tatar lands, and Muscovy. Although they had served in the Polish army as mercenaries, the Ukrainian Cossacks remained fiercely independent and staged a number of uprisings against the Poles. In 1648 most of Ukrainian society joined the Cossacks in a revolt because of the 18 Historical Setting: Early History to 1917 political, social, religious, and ethnic oppression suffered under Polish rule. After the Ukrainians had thrown off Polish rule, they needed military help to maintain their position. In 1654 the Ukrainian leader, Bogdan Khmel'nitskiy (Bohdan Khmer nyts'kyy), offered to place Ukraine under the protection of the Muscovite tsar, Aleksey I, rather than under the Polish king. Aleksey's acceptance of this offer, which was ratified in the Treaty of Pereyaslavl', led to a protracted war between Poland and Muscovy. The Treaty of Andrusovo, which ended the war in 1667, split Ukraine along the Dnepr River, reuniting the western sector with Poland and leaving the eastern sector self-governing under the suzerainty of the tsar. In the east, Muscovy had obtained western Siberia in the six- teenth century. From this base, merchants, traders, and explor- ers pushed eastward from the Ob' River to the Yenisey River, then to the Lena River. By the middle of the seventeenth cen- tury, Muscovites had reached the Amur River and the outskirts of the Chinese Empire. After a period of conflict with the Man- chu Dynasty, Muscovy made peace with China in 1689. By the Treaty of Nerchinsk, Muscovy ceded its claims to the Amur Val- ley, but it gained access to the region east of Lake Baikal and the trade route to Beijing. Peace with China consolidated the initial breakthrough to the Pacific that had been made in the middle of the century. Muscovy's southwestern expansion, particularly its incorpo- ration of eastern Ukraine, had unintended consequences. Most Ukrainians were Orthodox, but their close contact with the Roman Catholic Polish Counter-Reformation also brought them Western intellectual currents. Through Kiev, Muscovy gained links to Polish and Central European influences and to the wider Orthodox world. Although the Ukrainian link stimu- lated creativity in many areas, it also undermined traditional Russian religious practices and culture. The Russian Orthodox Church discovered that its isolation from Constantinople had caused variations to creep into its liturgical books and prac- tices. The Russian Orthodox patriarch, Nikon, was determined to bring the Russian texts back into conformity with the Greek originals. But Nikon encountered fierce opposition among the many Russians who viewed the corrections as improper foreign intrusions, or perhaps the work of the devil. When the Ortho- dox Church forced Nikon's reforms, a schism resulted in 1667. Those who did not accept the reforms came to be called the Old Believers (starovery); they were officially pronounced here- 19 Russia: A Country Study tics and were persecuted by the church and the state. The chief opposition figure, the archpriest Awakum, was burned at the stake. The split subsequently became permanent, and many merchants and peasants joined the Old Believers. The tsar's court also felt the impact of Ukraine and the West. Kiev was a major transmitter of new ideas and insight through the famed scholarly academy that Metropolitan Mogila (Mohyla) founded there in 1631. Among the results of this infusion of ideas into Muscovy were baroque architecture, liter- ature, and icon painting. Other more direct channels to the West opened as international trade increased and more for- eigners came to Muscovy. The tsar's court was interested in the West's more advanced technology, particularly when military applications were involved. By the end of the seventeenth cen- tury, Ukrainian, Polish, and West European penetration had undermined the Muscovite cultural synthesis — at least among the elite — and had prepared the way for an even more radical transformation. Early Imperial Russia In the eighteenth century, Muscovy was transformed from a static, somewhat isolated, traditional state into the more dynamic, partially Westernized, and secularized Russian Empire. This transformation was in no small measure a result of the vision, energy, and determination of Peter the Great. Historians disagree about the extent to which Peter himself transformed Russia, but they generally concur that he laid the foundations for empire building over the next two centuries. The era that Peter initiated signaled the advent of Russia as a major European power. But, although the Russian Empire would play a leading political role in the next century, its reten- tion of serfdom precluded economic progress of any signifi- cant degree. As West European economic growth accelerated during the Industrial Revolution, which had begun in the sec- ond half of the eighteenth century, Russia began to lag ever far- ther behind, creating new problems for the empire as a great power. Peter the Great and the Russian Empire As a child of the second marriage of Tsar Aleksey, Peter at first was relegated to the background of Russian politics as vari- ous court factions struggled to control the throne. Aleksey was 20 Historical Setting: Early History to 1917 succeeded by his son from his first marriage, Fedor III, a sickly boy who died in 1682. Peter then was made co-tsar with his half brother, Ivan V, but Peter's half sister, Sofia, held the real power. She ruled as regent while the young Peter was allowed to play war games with his friends and to roam in Moscow's for- eign quarters. These early experiences instilled in him an abid- ing interest in Western military practice and technology, particularly in military engineering, artillery, navigation, and shipbuilding. In 1689, using troops that he had drilled during childhood games, Peter foiled a plot to have Sofia crowned. When Ivan V died in 1696, Peter became the sole tsar of Mus- covy. War dominated much of Peter's reign. At first Peter attempted to secure the principality's southern borders against the Tatars and the Ottoman Turks. His campaign against a fort on the Sea of Azov failed initially, but after he created Russia's first navy, Peter was able to take the port of Azov in 1696. To continue the war with the Ottoman Empire, Peter traveled to Europe to seek allies. The first tsar to make such a trip, Peter visited Brandenburg, Holland, England, and the Holy Roman Empire during his so-called Grand Embassy. Peter learned a great deal and enlisted into his service hundreds of West Euro- pean technical specialists. The embassy was cut short by the attempt to place Sofia on the throne instead of Peter, a revolt that was crushed by Peter's followers. As a result, Peter had hundreds of the participants tortured and killed, and he pub- licly displayed their bodies as a warning to others. Peter was unsuccessful in forging a European coalition against the Ottoman Empire, but during his travels he found interest in waging war against Sweden, then an important power in northern Europe. Seeing an opportunity to break through to the Baltic Sea, Peter made peace with the Ottoman Empire in 1700 and then attacked the Swedes at their port of Narva on the Gulf of Finland. However, Sweden's young king, Charles XII, proved his military acumen by crushing Peter's army. Fortunately for Peter, Charles did not follow up his vic- tory with a counteroffensive, becoming embroiled instead in a series of wars over the Polish throne. This respite allowed Peter to build a new, Western-style army. When the armies of the two leaders met again at the town of Poltava in 1709, Peter defeated Charles. Charles escaped to Ottoman territory, and Russia sub- sequently became engaged in another war with the Ottoman Empire. Russia agreed to return the port of Azov to the Otto- 21 Russia: A Country Study mans in 1711. The Great Northern War, which in essence was settled at Poltava, continued until 1721, when Sweden agreed to the Treaty of Nystad. The treaty allowed Muscovy to retain the Baltic territories that it had conquered: Livonia, Estonia, and Ingria. Through his victories, Peter acquired a direct link with Western Europe. In celebration, Peter assumed the title of emperor as well as tsar, and Muscovy officially became the Rus- sian Empire in 1721. Peter achieved Muscovy's expansion into Europe and its transformation into the Russian Empire through several major initiatives. He established Russia's naval forces, reorganized the army according to European models, streamlined the govern- ment, and mobilized Russia's financial and human resources. Under Peter, the army drafted soldiers for lifetime terms from the taxpaying population, and it drew officers from the nobility and required them to give lifelong service in either the military or civilian administration. In 1722 Peter introduced the Table of Ranks, which determined a person's position and status according to service to the tsar rather than to birth or seniority. Even commoners who achieved a certain level on the table were ennobled automatically. Peter's reorganization of the government structure was no less thorough. He replaced the prikazy with colleges or boards and created a senate to coordinate government policy. Peter's reform of local government was less successful, but his changes enabled local governments to collect taxes and maintain order. As part of the government reform, the Orthodox Church was partially incorporated into the country's administrative struc- ture. Peter abolished the patriarchate and replaced it with a collective body, the Holy Synod, led by a lay government offi- cial. Peter tripled the revenues of the state treasury through a variety of taxes. He levied a capitation, or poll tax, on all males except clergy and nobles and imposed a myriad of indirect taxes on alcohol, salt, and even beards. To provide uniforms and weapons for the military, Peter developed metallurgical and textile industries using serf labor. Peter wanted to equip Russia with modern technology, insti- tutions, and ideas. He required Western-style education for all male nobles, introduced so-called cipher schools to teach the alphabet and basic arithmetic, established a printing house, and funded the Academy of Sciences (see Glossary), which was established just before his death in 1725 and became one of 22 Historical Setting: Early History to 1917 Russia's most important cultural institutions. He demanded that aristocrats acquire the dress, tastes, and social customs of the West. The result was a deepening of the cultural rift between the nobility and the mass of Russian people. The best illustration of Peter's drive for Westernization, his break with traditions, and his coercive methods was his construction in 1703 of a new, architecturally Western capital, St. Petersburg, situated on land newly conquered from Sweden on the Gulf of Finland. Although St. Petersburg faced westward, its Western- ization was by coercion, and it could not arouse the individual- istic spirit that was an important element in the Western ways Peter so admired. Peter's reign raised questions about Russia's backwardness, its relationship to the West, the appropriateness of reform from above, and other fundamental problems that have confronted many of Russia's subsequent rulers. In the nineteenth century, Russians debated whether Peter was correct in pointing Russia toward the West or whether his reforms had been a violation of Russia's natural traditions. The Era of Palace Revolutions Peter changed the rules of succession to the throne after he killed his own son, Aleksey, who had opposed his father's reforms and served as a rallying figure for antireform groups. A new law provided that the tsar would choose his own successor, but Peter failed to do so before his death in 1725. In the decades that followed, the absence of clear rules of succession left the monarchy open to intrigues, plots, coups, and counter- coups. Henceforth, the crucial factor for obtaining the throne was the support of the elite palace guard in St. Petersburg. After Peter's death, his wife, Catherine I, seized the throne. But when she died in 1727, Peter's grandson, Peter II, was crowned tsar. In 1730 Peter II succumbed to smallpox, and Anna, a daughter of Ivan V, who had been co-ruler with Peter, ascended the throne. The clique of nobles that put Anna on the throne attempted to impose various conditions on her. In her struggle against those restrictions, Anna had the support of other nobles who feared oligarchic rule more than autocracy. Thus the principle of autocracy continued to receive strong support despite chaotic struggles for the throne. Anna died in 1740, and her infant grandnephew was pro- claimed tsar as Ivan VI. After a series of coups, however, he was replaced by Peter the Great's daughter Elizabeth (r. 1741-62). 23 Russia: A Country Study During Elizabeth's reign, which was much more effective than those of her immediate predecessors, a Westernized Russian culture began to emerge. Among notable cultural events were the founding of Moscow University (1755) and the Academy of Fine Arts (1757) and the emergence of Russia's first eminent scientist and scholar, Mikhail Lomonosov. During the rule of Peter's successors, Russia took a more active role in European statecraft. From 1726 to 1761, Russia was allied with Austria against the Ottoman Empire, which France usually supported. In the War of Polish Succession (1733-35), Russia and Austria blocked the French candidate to the Polish throne. In a costly war with the Ottoman Empire (1734-39), Russia reacquired the port of Azov Russia's greatest reach into Europe was during the Seven Years' War (1756-63), which was fought on three continents between Britain and France with numerous allies on both sides. In that war, Russia continued its alliance with Austria, but Austria shifted to an alli- ance with France against Prussia. In 1760 Russian forces were at the gates of Berlin. Fortunately for Prussia, Elizabeth died in 1762, and her successor, Peter III, allied Russia with Prussia because of his devotion to the Prussian emperor, Frederick the Great. Peter III had a short and unpopular reign. Although he was a grandson of Peter the Great, his father was the duke of Hol- stein, so Peter III was raised in a German Lutheran environ- ment. Russians therefore considered him a foreigner. Making no secret of his contempt for all things Russian, Peter created deep resentment by forcing Prussian military drills on the Rus- sian military, attacking the Orthodox Church, and depriving Russia of a military victory by establishing his sudden alliance with Prussia. Making use of the discontent and fearing for her own position, Peter Ill's wife, Catherine, deposed her husband in a coup, and her lover, Aleksey Orlov, subsequently murdered him. Thus, in June 1762 a German princess who had no legiti- mate claim to the Russian throne became Catherine II, empress of Russia. Imperial Expansion and Maturation: Catherine II Catherine IPs reign was notable for imperial expansion, which brought the empire huge new territories in the south and west, and for internal consolidation. Following a war that broke out with the Ottoman Empire in 1768, the parties agreed to the Treaty of Kuchuk-Kainarji in 1774. By that treaty, Russia 24 Historical Setting: Early History to 1917 acquired an outlet to the Black Sea, and the Crimean Tatars were made independent of the Ottomans. In 1783 Catherine annexed Crimea, helping to spark the next war with the Otto- man Empire, which began in 1787. By the Treaty of Jassy in 1792, Russia expanded southward to the Dnestr River. The terms of the treaty fell far short of the goals of Catherine's reputed "Greek project" — the expulsion of the Ottomans from Europe and the renewal of a Byzantine Empire under Russian control. The Ottoman Empire no longer was a serious threat to Russia, however, and was forced to tolerate an increasing Rus- sian influence over the Balkans. Russia's westward expansion under Catherine was the result of the partitioning of Poland. As Poland became increasingly weak in the eighteenth century, each of its neighbors — Russia, Prussia, and Austria — tried to place its own candidate on the Polish throne. In 1772 the three agreed on an initial partition of Polish territory, by which Russia received parts of Belorussia and Livonia. After the partition, Poland initiated an extensive reform program, which included a democratic constitution that alarmed reactionary factions in Poland and in Russia. Using the danger of radicalism as an excuse, the same three powers abrogated the constitution and in 1793 again stripped Poland of territory. This time Russia obtained most of Belorus- sia and Ukraine west of the Dnepr River. The 1793 partition led to an anti-Russian and anti-Prussian uprising in Poland, which ended with the third partition in 1795. The result was that Poland was wiped off the map. Although the partitioning of Poland greatly added to Rus- sia's territory and prestige, it also created new difficulties. Hav- ing lost Poland as a buffer, Russia now had to share borders with both Prussia and Austria. In addition, the empire became more ethnically heterogeneous as it absorbed large numbers of Poles, Ukrainians, Belorussians, and Jews. The fate of the Ukrainians and Belorussians, who were primarily serfs, changed little at first under Russian rule. Roman Catholic Poles resented their loss of independence, however, and proved to be difficult to integrate. Russia had barred Jews from the empire in 1742 and viewed them as an alien population. A decree of January 3, 1792, formally initiated the Pale of Settle- ment, which permitted Jews to live only in the western part of the empire, thereby setting the stage for anti-Jewish discrimina- tion in later periods (see Other Religions, ch. 4). At the same time, Russia abolished the autonomy of Ukraine east of the 25 Russia: A Country Study Dnepr, the Baltic republics, and various Cossack areas. With her emphasis on a uniformly administered empire, Catherine presaged the policy of Russification that later tsars and their successors would practice. Historians have debated Catherine's sincerity as an enlight- ened monarch, but few have doubted that she believed in gov- ernment activism aimed at developing the empire's resources and making its administration more effective. Initially, Cathe- rine attempted to rationalize government procedures through law. In 1767 she created the Legislative Commission, drawn from nobles, townsmen, and others, to codify Russia's laws. Although the commission did not formulate a new law code, Catherine's Instruction to the Commission introduced some Russians to Western political and legal thinking. During the 1768-74 war with the Ottoman Empire, Russia experienced a major social upheaval, the Pugachev Uprising. In 1773 a Don Cossack, Emel'yan Pugachev, announced that he was Peter III. Other Cossacks, various Turkic tribes that felt the impingement of the Russian centralizing state, and industrial workers in the Ural Mountains, as well as peasants hoping to escape serfdom, all joined in the rebellion. Russia's preoccupa- tion with the war enabled Pugachev to take control of a part of the Volga area, but the regular army crushed the rebellion in 1774. The Pugachev Uprising bolstered Catherine's determination to reorganize Russia's provincial administration. In 1775 she divided Russia into provinces and districts according to popula- tion statistics. She then gave each province an expanded administrative, police, and judicial apparatus. Nobles no longer were required to serve the central government, as they had since Peter the Great's time, and many of them received significant roles in administering provincial governments. Catherine also attempted to organize society into well- defined social groups, or estates. In 1785 she issued charters to nobles and townsmen. The Charter to the Nobility confirmed the liberation of the nobles from compulsory service and gave them rights that not even the autocracy could infringe upon. The Charter to the Towns proved to be complicated and ulti- mately less successful than the one issued to the nobles. Failure to issue a similar charter to state peasants, or to ameliorate the conditions of serfdom, made Catherine's social reforms incom- plete. 26 Historical Setting: Early History to 1917 The intellectual westernization of the elite continued during Catherine's reign. An increase in the number of books and periodicals also brought forth intellectual debates and social criticism (see Literature and the Arts, ch. 4). In 1790 Aleksandr Radishchev published his Journey from St. Petersburg to Moscow, a fierce attack on serfdom and the autocracy. Catherine, already frightened by the French Revolution, had Radishchev arrested and banished to Siberia. Radishchev was later recognized as the father of Russian radicalism. Catherine brought many of the policies of Peter the Great to fruition and set the foundation for the nineteenth-century empire. Russia became a power capable of competing with its European neighbors on military, political, and diplomatic grounds. Russia's elite became culturally more like the elites of Central and West European countries. The organization of society and the government system, from Peter the Great's cen- tral institutions to Catherine's provincial administration, remained basically unchanged until the emancipation of the serfs in 1861 and, in some respects, until the fall of the monar- chy in 1917. Catherine's push to the south, including the estab- lishment of Odessa as a Russian port on the Black Sea, provided the basis for Russia's nineteenth-century grain trade. Despite such accomplishments, the empire that Peter I and Catherine II had built was beset with fundamental problems. A small Europeanized elite, alienated from the mass of ordinary Russians, raised questions about the very essence of Russia's history, culture, and identity. Russia achieved its military pre- eminence by reliance on coercion and a primitive command economy based on serfdom. Although Russia's economic devel- opment was almost sufficient for its eighteenth-century needs, it was no match for the transformation the Industrial Revolu- tion was causing in Western countries. Catherine's attempt at organizing society into corporate estates was already being challenged by the French Revolution, which emphasized indi- vidual citizenship. Russia's territorial expansion and the incor- poration of an increasing number of non-Russians into the empire set the stage for the future nationalities problem. Finally, the first questioning of serfdom and autocracy on moral grounds foreshadowed the conflict between the state and the intelligentsia that was to become dominant in the nine- teenth century. 27 Russia: A Country Study Ruling the Empire During the early nineteenth century, Russia's population, resources, international diplomacy, and military forces made it one of the most powerful states in the world. Its power enabled it to play an increasingly assertive role in Europe's affairs. This role drew the empire into a series of wars against Napoleon, which had far-reaching consequences for Russia and the rest of Europe. After a period of enlightenment, Russia became an active opponent of liberalizing trends in Central and Western Europe. Internally, Russia's population had grown more diverse with each territorial acquisition. The population included Lutheran Finns, Baltic Germans, Estonians, and some Latvians; Roman Catholic Lithuanians, Poles, and some Latvi- ans; Orthodox and Uniate (see Glossary) Belorussians and Ukrainians; Muslim peoples along the empire's southern bor- der; Orthodox Greeks and Georgians; and members of the Armenian Apostolic Church. As Western influence and opposi- tion to Russian autocracy mounted, the regime reacted by cre- ating a secret police and increasing censorship in order to curtail the activities of persons advocating change. The regime remained committed to its serf-based economy as the means of supporting the upper classes, the government, and the military forces. But Russia's backwardness and inherent weakness were revealed in the middle of the century, when several powers forced the surrender of a Russian fortress in Crimea. War and Peace, 1796-1825 Catherine II died in 1796, and her son Paul (r. 1796-1801) succeeded her. Painfully aware that Catherine had planned to bypass him and name his son, Alexander, as tsar, Paul instituted primogeniture in the male line as the basis for succession. It was one of the few lasting reforms of Paul's brief reign. He also chartered a Russian-American company, which eventually led to Russia's acquisition of Alaska. Paul was haughty and unsta- ble, and he frequently reversed his previous decisions, creating administrative chaos and accumulating enemies. As a major European power, Russia could not escape the wars involving revolutionary and Napoleonic France. Paul became an adamant opponent of France, and Russia joined Britain and Austria in a war against France. In 1798-99 Russian troops under one of the country's most famous generals, Alek- sandr Suvorov, performed brilliantly in Italy and Switzerland. 28 Historical Setting: Early History to 1917 Paul reversed himself, however, and abandoned his allies. This reversal, coupled with increasingly arbitrary domestic policies, sparked a coup, and in March 1801 Paul was assassinated. The new tsar, Alexander I (r. 1801-25), came to the throne as the result of his father's murder, in which he was implicated. Groomed for the throne by Catherine II and raised in the spirit of enlightenment, Alexander also had an inclination toward romanticism and religious mysticism, particularly in the latter period of his reign. Alexander tinkered with changes in the central government, and he replaced the colleges that Peter the Great had set up with ministries, but without a coordinat- ing prime minister. The brilliant statesman Mikhail Speranskiy, who was the tsar's chief adviser early in his reign, proposed an extensive constitutional reform of the government, but Alex- ander dismissed him in 1812 and lost interest in reform. Alexander's primary focus was not on domestic policy but on foreign affairs, and particularly on Napoleon. Fearing Napo- leon's expansionist ambitions and the growth of French power, Alexander joined Britain and Austria against Napoleon. Napo- leon defeated the Russians and Austrians at Austerlitz in 1805 and trounced the Russians at Friedland in 1807. Alexander was forced to sue for peace, and by the Treaty of Tilsit, signed in 1807, he became Napoleon's ally. Russia lost little territory under the treaty, and Alexander made use of his alliance with Napoleon for further expansion. He wrested the Grand Duchy of Finland from Sweden in 1809 and acquired Bessarabia from Turkey in 1812. The Russo-French alliance gradually became strained. Napo- leon was concerned about Russia's intentions in the strategi- cally vital Bosporus and Dardenelles straits. At the same time, Alexander viewed the Grand Duchy of Warsaw, the French-con- trolled reconstituted Polish state, with suspicion. The require- ment of joining France's Continental Blockade against Britain was a serious disruption of Russian commerce, and in 1810 Alexander repudiated the obligation. In June 1812, Napoleon invaded Russia with 600,000 troops — a force twice as large as the Russian regular army. Napoleon hoped to inflict a major defeat on the Russians and force Alexander to sue for peace. As Napoleon pushed the Russian forces back, however, he became seriously overextended. Obstinate Russian resistance combined with the Russian winter to deal Napoleon a disastrous defeat, from which fewer than 30,000 of his troops returned to their homeland. 29 Russia: A Country Study As the French retreated, the Russians pursued them into Central and Western Europe and to the gates of Paris. After the allies defeated Napoleon, Alexander became known as the sav- ior of Europe, and he played a prominent role in the redraw- ing of the map of Europe at the Congress of Vienna in 1815. In the same year, under the influence of religious mysticism, Alex- ander initiated the creation of the Holy Alliance, a loose agree- ment pledging the rulers of the nations involved — including most of Europe — to act according to Christian principles. More pragmatically, in 1814 Russia, Britain, Austria, and Prussia had formed the Quadruple Alliance. The allies created an interna- tional system to maintain the territorial status quo and prevent the resurgence of an expansionist France. The Quadruple Alli- ance, confirmed by a number of international conferences, ensured Russia's influence in Europe. At the same time, Russia continued its expansion. The Con- gress of Vienna created the Kingdom of Poland (Russian Poland), to which Alexander granted a constitution. Thus, Alexander I became the constitutional monarch of Poland while remaining the autocratic tsar of Russia. He was also the limited monarch of Finland, which had been annexed in 1809 and awarded autonomous status. In 1813 Russia gained terri- tory in the Baku area of the Caucasus at the expense of Persia. By the early nineteenth century, the empire also was firmly ensconced in Alaska. Historians have generally agreed that a revolutionary move- ment was born during the reign of Alexander I. Young officers who had pursued Napoleon into Western Europe came back to Russia with revolutionary ideas, including human rights, repre- sentative government, and mass democracy. The intellectual Westernization that had been fostered in the eighteenth cen- tury by a paternalistic, autocratic Russian state now included opposition to autocracy, demands for representative govern- ment, calls for the abolition of serfdom, and, in some instances, advocacy of a revolutionary overthrow of the govern- ment. Officers were particularly incensed that Alexander had granted Poland a constitution while Russia remained without one. Several clandestine organizations were preparing for an uprising when Alexander died unexpectedly in 1825. Following his death, there was confusion about who would succeed him because the next in line, his brother Constantine, had relin- quished his right to the throne. A group of officers command- ing about 3,000 men refused to swear allegiance to the new 30 Historical Setting: Early History to 1917 tsar, Alexander's brother Nicholas, proclaiming instead their loyalty to the idea of a Russian constitution. Because these events occurred in December 1825, the rebels were called Decembrists. Nicholas easily overcame the revolt, and the Decembrists who remained alive were arrested. Many were exiled to Siberia. To some extent, the Decembrists were in the tradition of a long line of palace revolutionaries who wanted to place their candidate on the throne. But because the Decembrists also wanted to implement a liberal political program, their revolt has been considered the beginning of a revolutionary move- ment. The Decembrist Revolt was the first open breach between the government and liberal elements, and it would subsequently widen. Reaction under Nicholas I Nicholas completely lacked his brother's spiritual and intel- lectual breadth; he saw his role simply as one paternal autocrat ruling his people by whatever means were necessary. Having experienced the trauma of the Decembrist Revolt, Nicholas I was determined to restrain Russian society. A secret police, the so-called Third Section, ran a huge network of spies and informers. The government exercised censorship and other controls over education, publishing, and all manifestations of public life. In 1833 the minister of education, Sergey Uvarov, devised a program of "autocracy, Orthodoxy, and nationality" as the guiding principle of the regime. The people were to show loyalty to the unlimited authority of the tsar, to the tradi- tions of the Orthodox Church, and, in a vague way, to the Rus- sian nation. These principles did not gain the support of the population but instead led to repression in general and to sup- pression of non-Russian nationalities and religions in particu- lar. For example, the government suppressed the Uniate Church in Ukraine and Belorussia in 1839. The official emphasis on Russian nationalism contributed to a debate on Russia's place in the world, the meaning of Russian history, and the future of Russia. One group, the Westernizers, believed that Russia remained backward and primitive and could progress only through more thorough Europeanization. Another group, the Slavophiles, idealized the Russia that had existed before Peter the Great. The Slavophiles viewed old Rus- sia as a source of wholeness and looked askance at Western rationalism and materialism. Some of them believed that the 31 Russia: A Country Study Russian peasant commune, or mir, offered an attractive alterna- tive to Western capitalism and could make Russia a potential social and moral savior. The Slavophiles, therefore, repre- sented a form of Russian messianism. Despite the repressions of this period, Russia experienced a flowering of literature and the arts. Through the works of Alek- sandr Pushkin, Nikolay Gogol', Ivan Turgenev, and numerous others, Russian literature gained international stature and rec- ognition. Ballet took root in Russia after its importation from France, and classical music became firmly established with the compositions of Mikhail Glinka (1804-57) (see Literature and the Arts, ch. 4). In foreign policy, Nicholas I acted as the protector of ruling legitimism and guardian against revolution. His offers to sup- press revolution on the European continent, accepted in some instances, earned him the label of gendarme of Europe. In 1830, after a popular uprising had occurred in France, the Poles in Russian Poland revolted. Nicholas crushed the rebel- lion, abrogated the Polish constitution, and reduced Poland to the status of a Russian province. In 1848, when a series of revo- lutions convulsed Europe, Nicholas was in the forefront of reaction. In 1849 he intervened on behalf of the Habsburgs and helped suppress an uprising in Hungary, and he also urged Prussia not to accept a liberal constitution. Having helped conservative forces repel the specter of revolution, Nicholas I seemed to dominate Europe. Russian dominance proved illusory, however. While Nicholas was attempting to maintain the status quo in Europe, he adopted an aggressive policy toward the Ottoman Empire. Nicholas I was following the traditional Russian policy of resolv- ing the so-called Eastern Question by seeking to partition the Ottoman Empire and establish a protectorate over the Ortho- dox population of the Balkans, still largely under Ottoman control in the 1820s. Russia fought a successful war with the Ottomans in 1828 and 1829. In 1833 Russia negotiated the Treaty of Unkiar-Skelessi with the Ottoman Empire. The major European parties mistakenly believed that the treaty contained a secret clause granting Russia the right to send warships through the Bosporus and Dardanelles straits. By the London Straits Convention of 1841, they affirmed Ottoman control over the straits and forbade any power, including Russia, to send warships through the straits. Based on his role in sup- pressing the revolutions of 1848 and his mistaken belief that he 32 Historical Setting: Early History to 1917 had British diplomatic support, Nicholas moved against the Ottomans, who declared war on Russia in 1853. Fearing the results of an Ottoman defeat by Russia, in 1854 Britain and France joined what became known as the Crimean War on the Ottoman side. Austria offered the Ottomans diplomatic sup- port, and Prussia remained neutral, leaving Russia without allies on the continent. The European allies landed in Crimea and laid siege to the well-fortified Russian base at Sevastopol'. After a year's siege the base fell, exposing Russia's inability to defend a major fortification on its own soil. Nicholas I died before the fall of Sevastopol', but he already had recognized the failure of his regime. Russia now faced the choice of initiat- ing major reforms or losing its status as a major European power. Transformation of Russia in the Nineteenth Century The late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries were times of crisis for Russia. Not only did technology and industry continue to develop more rapidly in the West, but also new, dynamic, competitive great powers appeared on the world scene: Otto von Bismarck united Germany in the 1860s, the post-Civil War United States grew in size and strength, and a modernized Japan emerged from the Meiji Restoration of 1868. Although Russia was an expanding regional giant in Cen- tral Asia, bordering the Ottoman, Persian, British Indian, and Chinese empires, it could not generate enough capital to sup- port rapid industrial development or to compete with advanced countries on a commercial basis. Russia's fundamen- tal dilemma was that accelerated domestic development risked upheaval at home, but slower progress risked full economic dependency on the faster-advancing countries to the east and west. In fact, political ferment, particularly among the intelli- gentsia, accompanied the transformation of Russia's economic and social structure, but so did impressive developments in lit- erature, music, the fine arts, and the natural sciences. Economic Developments Throughout the last half of the nineteenth century, Russia's economy developed more slowly than did that of the major European nations to its west. Russia's population was substan- tially larger than those of the more developed Western coun- tries, but the vast majority of the people lived in rural 33 Russia: A Country Study communities and engaged in relatively primitive agriculture. Industry, in general, had greater state involvement than in Western Europe, but in selected sectors it was developing with private initiative, some of it foreign. Between 1850 and 1900, Russia's population doubled, but it remained chiefly rural well into the twentieth century. Russia's population growth rate from 1850 to 1910 was the fastest of all the major powers except for the United States. Agriculture, which was technologically underdeveloped, remained in the hands of former serfs and former state peasants, who together constituted about four- fifths of the rural population. Large estates of more than fifty square kilometers accounted for about 20 percent of all farm- land, but few such estates were worked in efficient, large-scale units. Small-scale peasant farming and the growth of the rural population increased the amount of land used for agricultural development, but land was used more for gardens and fields of grain and less for grazing meadows than it had been in the past. Industrial growth was significant, although unsteady, and in absolute terms it was not extensive. Russia's industrial regions included Moscow, the central regions of European Russia, St. Petersburg, the Baltic cities, Russian Poland, some areas along the lower Don and Dnepr rivers, and the southern Ural Moun- tains. By 1890 Russia had about 32,000 kilometers of railroads and 1.4 million factory workers, most of whom worked in the textile industry. Between 1860 and 1890, annual coal produc- tion had grown about 1,200 percent to over 6.6 million tons, and iron and steel production had more than doubled to 2 mil- lion tons per year. The state budget had more than doubled, however, and debt expenditures had quadrupled, constituting 28 percent of official expenditures in 1891. Foreign trade was inadequate to meet the empire's needs. Until the state intro- duced high industrial tariffs in the 1880s, it could not finance trade with the West because its surpluses were insufficient to cover the debts. Reforms and Their Limits, 1855-92 Tsar Alexander II, who succeeded Nicholas I in 1855, was a conservative who saw no alternative but to implement change. Alexander initiated substantial reforms in education, the gov- ernment, the judiciary, and the military. In 1861 he proclaimed the emancipation of about 20 million privately held serfs. Local commissions, which were dominated by landlords, effected 34 Historical Setting: Early History to 1917 emancipation by giving land and limited freedom to the serfs. The former serfs usually remained in the village commune, but they were required to make redemption payments to the gov- ernment over a period of almost fifty years. The government compensated former owners of serfs by issuing them bonds. The regime had envisioned that the 50,000 landlords who possessed estates of more than 110 hectares would thrive with- out serfs and would continue to provide loyal political and administrative leadership in the countryside. The government also had expected that peasants would produce sufficient crops for their own consumption and for export sales, thereby help- ing to finance most of the government's expenses, imports, and foreign debt. Neither of the government's expectations was realistic, however, and emancipation left both former serfs and their former owners dissatisfied. The new peasants soon fell behind in their payments to the government because the land they had received was poor and because Russian agricul- tural methods were inadequate. The former owners often had to sell their lands to remain solvent because most of them could neither farm nor manage estates without their former serfs. In addition, the value of their government bonds fell as the peasants failed to make their redemption payments. Reforms of local government closely followed emancipation. In 1864 most local government in the European part of Russia was organized into provincial and district zemstva (sing., zem- stvo), which were made up of representatives of all classes and were responsible for local schools, public health, roads, pris- ons, food supply, and other concerns. In 1870 elected city councils, or dumy (sing., duma), were formed. Dominated by property owners and constrained by provincial governors and the police, the zemstva and dumy raised taxes and levied labor to support their activities. In 1864 the regime implemented judicial reforms. In major towns, it established Western-style courts with juries. In general, the judicial system functioned effectively, but the government lacked the finances and cultural influence to extend the court system to the villages, where traditional peasant justice contin- ued to operate with minimal interference from provincial offi- cials. In addition, the regime instructed judges to decide each case on its merits and not to use precedents, which would have enabled them to construct a body of law independent of state authority. 35 Russia: A Country Study Other major reforms took place in the educational and cul- tural spheres. The accession of Alexander II brought a social restructuring that required a public discussion of issues and the lifting of some types of censorship. When an attempt was made to assassinate the tsar in 1866, the government reinstated censorship, but not with the severity of pre-1855 control. The government also put restrictions on universities in 1866, five years after they had gained autonomy. The central government attempted to act through the zemstva to establish uniform cur- ricula for elementary schools and to impose conservative poli- cies, but it lacked resources. Because many liberal teachers and school officials were only nominally subject to the reactionary Ministry of Education, however, the regime's educational achievements were mixed after 1866. In the financial sphere, Russia established the State Bank in 1866, which put the national currency on a firmer footing. The Ministry of Finance supported railroad development, which facilitated vital export activity, but it was cautious and moderate in its foreign ventures. The ministry also founded the Peasant Land Bank in 1882 to enable enterprising farmers to acquire more land. The Ministry of Internal Affairs countered this pol- icy, however, by establishing the Nobles' Land Bank in 1885 to forestall foreclosures of mortgages. The regime also sought to reform the military. One of the chief reasons for the emancipation of the serfs was to facilitate the transition from a large standing army to a reserve army by instituting territorial levies and mobilization in times of need. Before emancipation, serfs could not receive military training and then return to their owners. Bureaucratic inertia, however, obstructed military reform until the Franco-Prussian War (1870-71) demonstrated the necessity of building a modern army. The levy system introduced in 1874 gave the army a role in teaching many peasants to read and in pioneering medical education for women. But the army remained backward despite these military reforms. Officers often preferred bayo- nets to bullets, expressing worry that long-range sights on rifles would induce cowardice. In spite of some notable achieve- ments, Russia did not keep pace with Western technological developments in the construction of rifles, machine guns, artil- lery, ships, and naval ordnance. Russia also failed to use naval modernization as a means of developing its industrial base in the 1860s. 36 Historical Setting: Early History to 1917 In 1881 revolutionaries assassinated Alexander II. His son Alexander III (r. 1881-94) initiated a period of political reac- tion, which intensified a counterreform movement that had begun in 1866. He strengthened the security police, reorganiz- ing it into an agency known as the Okhrana, gave it extraordi- nary powers, and placed it under the Ministry of Internal Affairs. Dmitriy Tolstoy, Alexander's minister of internal affairs, instituted the use of land captains, who were noble overseers of districts, and he restricted the power of the zemstva and the dumy. Alexander III assigned his former tutor, the reactionary Konstantin Pobedonostsev, to be the procurator of the Holy Synod of the Orthodox Church and Ivan Delyanov to be the minister of education. In their attempts to "save" Russia from "modernism," they revived religious censorship, persecuted non-Orthodox and non-Russian populations, fostered anti- Semitism, and suppressed the autonomy of the universities. Their attacks on liberal and non-Russian elements alienated large segments of the population. The nationalities, particu- larly Poles, Finns, Latvians, Lithuanians, and Ukrainians, reacted to the regime's efforts to Russify them by intensifying their own nationalism. Many Jews emigrated or joined radical movements. Secret organizations and political movements con- tinued to develop despite the regime's efforts to quell them. Foreign Affairs after the Crimean War After the Crimean War, Russia pursued cautious and well-cal- culated foreign policies until nationalist passions and another Balkan crisis almost caused a catastrophic war in the late 1870s. The 1856 Treaty of Paris, signed at the end of the Crimean War, had demilitarized the Black Sea and deprived Russia of south- ern Bessarabia and a narrow strip of land at the mouth of the Danube River. The treaty gave the West European powers the nominal duty of protecting Christians living in the Ottoman Empire, removing that role from Russia, which had been desig- nated as such a protector in the 1774 Treaty of Kuchuk-Kai- narji. Russia's primary goal during the first phase of Alexander IPs foreign policy was to alter the Treaty of Paris to regain naval access to the Black Sea. Russian statesmen viewed Britain and Austria (redesignated as Austria-Hungary in 1867) as opposed to that goal, so foreign policy concentrated on good relations with France, Prussia, and the United States. Prussia (Germany as of 1871) replaced Britain as Russia's chief banker in this period. 37 Russia: A Country Study Following the Crimean War, the regime revived its expan- sionist policies. Russian troops first moved to gain control of the Caucasus region, where the revolts of Muslim tribesmen — Chechens, Cherkess, and Dagestanis — had continued despite numerous Russian campaigns in the nineteenth century. Once the forces of Aleksandr Baryatinskiy had captured the legend- ary Chechen rebel leader Shamil in 1859, the army resumed the expansion into Central Asia that had begun under Nicho- las I. The capture of Tashkent was a significant victory over the Quqon (Kokand) Khanate, part of which was annexed in 1866. By 1867 Russian forces had captured enough territory to form the Guberniya (Governorate General) of Turkestan, the capital of which was Tashkent. The Bukhoro (Bukhara) Khanate then lost the crucial Samarqand area to Russian forces in 1868. To avoid alarming Britain, which had strong interests in protect- ing nearby India, Russia left the Bukhoran territories directly bordering Afghanistan and Persia nominally independent. The Central Asian khanates retained a degree of autonomy until 1917. Russia followed the United States, Britain, and France in establishing relations with Japan, and, together with Britain and France, Russia obtained concessions from China conse- quent to the Second Opium War (1856-60). Under the Treaty of Aigun in 1858 and the Treaty of Beijing in 1860, China ceded to Russia extensive trading rights and regions adjacent to the Amur and Ussuri rivers and allowed Russia to begin building a port and naval base at Vladivostok. Meanwhile, in 1867 the logic of the balance of power and the cost of develop- ing and defending the Amur-Ussuri region dictated that Russia sell Alaska to the United States in order to acquire much- needed funds. As part of the regime's foreign policy goals in Europe, Russia initially gave guarded support to France's anti-Austrian diplo- macy. A weak Franco-Russian entente soured, however, when France backed a Polish uprising against Russian rule in 1863. Russia then aligned itself more closely with Prussia by approv- ing the unification of Germany in exchange for a revision of the Treaty of Paris and the remilitarization of the Black Sea. These diplomatic achievements came at a London conference in 1871, following France's defeat in the Franco-Prussian War. After 1871 Germany, united under Prussian leadership, was the strongest continental power in Europe. In 1873 Germany formed the loosely knit League of the Three Emperors with 38 Historical Setting: Early History to 1917 Russia and Austria-Hungary to prevent them from forming an alliance with France. Nevertheless, Austro-Hungarian and Rus- sian ambitions clashed in the Balkans, where rivalries among Slavic nationalities and anti-Ottoman sentiments seethed. In the 1870s, Russian nationalist opinion became a serious domes- tic factor in its support for liberating Balkan Christians from Ottoman rule and making Bulgaria and Serbia quasi-protector- ates of Russia. From 1875 to 1877, the Balkan crisis escalated with rebellions in Bosnia, Herzegovina, and Bulgaria, which the Ottoman Turks suppressed with such great cruelty that Ser- bia, but none of the West European powers, declared war. In early 1877, Russia came to the rescue of beleaguered Ser- bian and Russian volunteer forces when it went to war with the Ottoman Empire. Within one year, Russian troops were near- ing Constantinople, and the Ottomans surrendered. Russia's nationalist diplomats and generals persuaded Alexander II to force the Ottomans to sign the Treaty of San Stefano in March 1878, creating an enlarged, independent Bulgaria that stretched into the southwestern Balkans. When Britain threat- ened to declare war over the terms of the Treaty of San Ste- fano, an exhausted Russia backed down. At the Congress of Berlin in July 1878, Russia agreed to the creation of a smaller Bulgaria. Russian nationalists were furious with Austria-Hun- gary and Germany for failing to back Russia, but the tsar accepted a revived and strengthened League of the Three Emperors as well as Austro-Hungarian hegemony in the west- ern Balkans. Russian diplomatic and military interests subsequently returned to Central Asia, where Russia had quelled a series of uprisings in the 1870s, and Russia incorporated hitherto inde- pendent amirates into the empire. Britain renewed its con- cerns in 1881 when Russian troops occupied Turkmen lands on the Persian and Afghan borders, but Germany lent diplo- matic support to Russian advances, and an Anglo-Russian war was averted. Meanwhile, Russia's sponsorship of Bulgarian independence brought negative results as the Bulgarians, angry at Russia's continuing interference in domestic affairs, sought the support of Austria-Hungary. In the dispute that arose between Austria-Hungary and Russia, Germany took a firm position toward Russia while mollifying the tsar with a bilateral defensive alliance, the Reinsurance Treaty of 1887 between Germany and Russia. Within a year, Russo-German acrimony led to Bismarck's forbidding further loans to Russia, 39 Russia: A Country Study and France replaced Germany as Russia's financier. When Kai- ser Wilhelm II dismissed Bismarck in 1890, the loose Russo- Prussian entente collapsed after having lasted for more than twenty-five years. Three years later, Russia allied itself with France by entering into a joint military convention, which matched the dual alliance formed in 1879 by Germany and Au stri a-Hu ngar y. The Rise of Revolutionary Movements Alexander II's reforms, particularly the lifting of state cen- sorship, fostered the expression of political and social thought. The regime relied on journals and newspapers to gain support for its domestic and foreign policies. But liberal, nationalist, and radical writers also helped to mold public opinion that was opposed to tsarism, private property, and the imperial state. Because many intellectuals, professionals, peasants, and work- ers shared these opposition sentiments, the regime regarded the publications and the radical organizations as dangerous. From the 1860s through the 1880s, Russian radicals, collec- tively known as Populists (Narodniki), focused chiefly on the peasantry, whom they identified as "the people" (narod). The leaders of the Populist movement included radical writ- ers, idealists, and advocates of terrorism. In the 1860s, Nikolay Chernyshevskiy, the most important radical writer of the period, posited that Russia could bypass capitalism and move directly to socialism (see Glossary). His most influential work, What Is to Be Done? (1861), describes the role of an individual of a "superior nature" who guides a new, revolutionary genera- tion. Other radicals such as the incendiary anarchist Mikhail Bakunin and his terrorist collaborator, Sergey Nechayev, urged direct action. The calmer Petr Tkachev argued against the advocates of Marxism (see Glossary), maintaining that a cen- tralized revolutionary band had to seize power before capital- ism could fully develop. Disputing his views, the moralist and individualist Petr Lavrov made a call "to the people," which hundreds of idealists heeded in 1873 and 1874 by leaving their schools for the countryside to try to generate a mass movement among the narod. The Populist campaign failed, however, when the peasants showed hostility to the urban idealists and the gov- ernment began to consider nationalist opinion more seriously. The radicals reconsidered their approach, and in 1876 they formed a propagandist organization called Land and Liberty (Zemlya i volya), which leaned toward terrorism. This orienta- 40 Historical Setting: Early History to 1917 tion became stronger three years later, when the group renamed itself the People's Will (Narodnaya volya), the name under which the radicals were responsible for the assassination of Alexander II in 1881. In 1879 Georgiy Plekhanov formed a propagandist faction of Land and Liberty called Black Reparti- tion (Chernyy peredel), which advocated redistributing all land to the peasantry. This group studied Marxism, which, par- adoxically, was principally concerned with urban industrial workers. The People's Will remained underground, but in 1887 a young member of the group, Aleksandr Ul'yanov, attempted to assassinate Alexander III, and authorities arrested and executed him. The execution greatly affected Vladimir Ul'yanov, Aleksandr's brother. Influenced by Chernyshevskiy's writings, Vladimir joined the People's Will, and later, inspired by Plekhanov, he converted to Marxism. The younger Ul'yanov later changed his name to Lenin. Witte and Accelerated Industrialization In the late 1800s, Russia's domestic backwardness and vul- nerability in foreign affairs reached crisis proportions. At home a famine claimed a half-million lives in 1891, and activities by Japan and China near Russia's borders were perceived as threats from abroad. In reaction, the regime was forced to adopt the ambitious but costly economic programs of Sergey Witte, the country's strong-willed minister of finance. Witte championed foreign loans, conversion to the gold standard, heavy taxation of the peasantry, accelerated development of heavy industry, and a trans-Siberian railroad. These policies were designed to modernize the country, secure the Russian Far East, and give Russia a commanding position with which to exploit the resources of China's northern territories, Korea, and Siberia. This expansionist foreign policy was Russia's ver- sion of the imperialist logic displayed in the nineteenth cen- tury by other large countries with vast undeveloped territories such as the United States. In 1894 the accession of the pliable Nicholas II upon the death of Alexander III gave Witte and other powerful ministers the opportunity to dominate the gov- ernment. Witte's policies had mixed results. In spite of a severe eco- nomic depression at the end of the century, Russia's coal, iron, steel, and oil production tripled between 1890 and 1900. Rail- road mileage almost doubled, giving Russia the most track of any nation other than the United States. Yet Russian grain pro- 41 Russia: A Country Study duction and exports failed to rise significantly, and imports grew faster than exports. The state budget also more than dou- bled, absorbing some of the country's economic growth. West- ern historians differ as to the merits of Witte's reforms; some believe that domestic industry, which did not benefit from sub- sidies or contracts, suffered a setback. Most analysts agree that the Trans-Siberian Railroad (which was completed from Mos- cow to Vladivostok in 1904) and the ventures into Manchuria and Korea were economic losses for Russia and a drain on the treasury. Certainly the financial costs of his reforms contrib- uted to Witte's dismissal as minister of finance in 1903. Radical Political Parties Develop During the 1890s, Russia's industrial development led to a significant increase in the size of the urban bourgeoisie and the working class, setting the stage for a more dynamic political atmosphere and the development of radical parties. Because the state and foreigners owned much of Russia's industry, the working class was comparatively stronger and the bourgeoisie comparatively weaker than in the West. The working class and peasants were the first to establish political parties because the nobility and the wealthy bourgeoisie were politically timid. During the 1890s and early 1900s, abysmal living and working conditions, high taxes, and land hunger gave rise to more fre- quent strikes and agrarian disorders. These activities prompted the bourgeoisie of various nationalities in the empire to develop a host of different parties, both liberal and conserva- tive. Socialists of different nationalities formed their own parties. Russian Poles, who had suffered significant administrative and educational Russification, founded the nationalistic Polish Socialist Party in Paris in 1892. That party's founders hoped that it would help reunite a divided Poland with the territories held by Austria-Hungary, Germany, and Russia. In 1897 Jewish workers in Russia created the Bund (league or union), an organization that subsequently became popular in western Ukraine, Belorussia, Lithuania, and Russian Poland. The Rus- sian Social Democratic Labor Party was established in 1898. The Finnish Social Democrats remained separate, but the Latvians and Georgians associated themselves with the Russian Social Democrats. Armenians, inspired by both Russian and Balkan revolutionary traditions, were politically active in this period in Russia and in the Ottoman Empire. Politically 42 Historical Setting: Early History to 1917 minded Muslims living in Russia tended to be attracted to the pan-Islamic and pan-Turkic movements that were developing in Egypt and the Ottoman Empire. Russians who fused the ideas of the old Populists and urban socialists formed Russia's largest radical movement, the United Socialist Revolutionary Party, which combined the standard Populist mix of propa- ganda and terrorist activities. Vladimir I. Ul'yanov was the most politically talented of the revolutionary socialists. In the 1890s, he labored to wean young radicals away from populism to Marxism. Exiled from 1895 to 1899 in Siberia, where he took the name Lenin from the mighty Siberian Lena River, he was the master tactician among the organizers of the Russian Social Democratic Labor Party. In December 1900, he founded the newspaper Iskra (Spark). In his book What Is to Be Done? (1902), Lenin developed the the- ory that a newspaper published abroad could aid in organizing a centralized revolutionary party to direct the overthrow of an autocratic government. He then worked to establish a tightly organized, highly disciplined party to do so in Russia. At the Second Party Congress of the Russian Social Democratic Labor Party in 1903, he forced the Bund to walk out and induced a split between his majority Bolshevik (see Glossary) faction and the minority Menshevik (see Glossary) faction, which believed more in worker spontaneity than in strict organizational tactics. Lenin's concept of a revolutionary party and a worker-peasant alliance owed more to Tkachev and to the People's Will than to Karl Marx and Friedrich Engels, the developers of Marxism. Young Bolsheviks, such as Joseph V. Stalin and Nikolay Bukharin, looked to Lenin as their leader. Imperialism in Asia and the Russo-Japanese War At the turn of the century, Russia gained room to maneuver in Asia because of its alliance with France and the growing rivalry between Britain and Germany. Tsar Nicholas failed to orchestrate a coherent Far Eastern policy because of ministe- rial conflicts, however. Russia's uncoordinated and aggressive moves in the region ultimately led to the Russo-Japanese War (1904-05). By 1895 Germany was competing with France for Russia's favor, and British statesmen hoped to negotiate with the Rus- sians to demarcate spheres of influence in Asia. This situation enabled Russia to intervene in northeastern Asia after Japan's victory over China in 1895. In the negotiations that followed, 43 Russia: A Country Study Japan was forced to make concessions in the Liaotung Penin- sula and Port Arthur in southern Manchuria. The next year, Witte used French capital to establish the Russo-Chinese Bank. The goal of the bank was to finance the construction of a rail- road across northern Manchuria and thus shorten the Trans- Siberian Railroad. Within two years, Russia had acquired leases on the Liaotung Peninsula and Port Arthur and had begun building a trunk line from Harbin in central Manchuria to Port Arthur on the coast. In 1900 China reacted to foreign encroachments on its terri- tory with an armed popular uprising, the Boxer Rebellion. Rus- sian military contingents joined forces from Europe, Japan, and the United States to restore order in northern China. A force of 180,000 Russian troops fought to pacify part of Man- churia and to secure its railroads. The Japanese were backed by Britain and the United States, however, and insisted that Russia evacuate Manchuria. Witte and some Russian diplomats wanted to compromise with Japan and trade Manchuria for Korea, but a group of Witte's reactionary enemies, courtiers, and military and naval leaders refused to compromise. The tsar favored their viewpoint, and, disdaining Japan's threats — despite the latter's formal alliance with Britain — the Russian government equivocated until Japan declared war in early 1904. In the war that followed, Japan's location, technological superiority, and superior morale gave it command of the seas, and Russia's sluggishness and incompetent commanders caused continuous setbacks on land. In January 1905, after an eight-month siege, Russia surrendered Port Arthur, and in March the Japanese forced the Russians to withdraw north of Mukden. In May, at the Tsushima Straits, the Japanese destroyed Russia's last hope in the war, a fleet assembled from the navy's Baltic and Mediterranean squadrons. Theoretically, Russian army reinforcements could have driven the Japanese from the Asian mainland, but revolution at home and diplo- matic pressure forced the tsar to seek peace. Russia accepted mediation by United States president Theodore Roosevelt, ceded southern Sakhalin Island to Japan, and acknowledged Japan's ascendancy in Korea and southern Manchuria. The Last Years of the Autocracy The Russojapanese War was a turning point in Russian his- tory. It led to a popular uprising against the government that 44 Historical Setting: Early History to 1917 forced the regime to respond with domestic economic and political reforms. In the same period, however, counterreform and special-interest groups exerted increasing influence on the regime's policies. In foreign affairs, Russia again became an intrusive participant in Balkan affairs and in the international political intrigues of the major European powers. As a conse- quence of its foreign policies, Russia was drawn into a world war for which its domestic policies rendered it unprepared. Severely weakened by internal turmoil and lacking leadership, the regime ultimately was unable to overcome the traumatic events that would lead to the fall of tsarism and initiate a new era in Russian and world history. Revolution and Counterrevolution, 1905-07 The Russo-Japanese War accelerated the rise of political movements among all classes and the major nationalities, including propertied Russians. By early 1904, Russian liberal activists from the zemstva and from the professions had formed an organization called the Union of Liberation. In the same year, they joined with Finns, Poles, Georgians, Armenians, and Russian members of the Socialist Revolutionary Party to form an antiautocratic alliance. In January 1905, Father Georgiy Gapon, a Russian Orthodox priest who headed a police-sponsored workers' association, led a huge, peaceful march in St. Petersburg to present a petition to the tsar. Nervous troops responded to the throng with gun- fire, killing several hundred people and initiating the Revolu- tion of 1905. This event, which came to be called Bloody Sunday, combined with the embarrassing failures in the war with Japan to prompt more strikes, agrarian disorders, army mutinies, and terrorist acts organized by opposition groups. Workers formed a council, or soviet, in St. Petersburg. Armed uprisings occurred in Moscow, the Urals, Latvia, and parts of Poland. Activists from the zemstva and the broad professional Union of Unions formed the Constitutional Democratic Party, whose initials lent the party its informal name, the Kadets. Some upper-class and propertied activists called for compro- mise with opposition groups to avoid further disorders. In late 1905, Witte pressured Nicholas to issue the so-called October Manifesto, which gave Russia a constitution and proclaimed basic civil liberties for all citizens. In an effort to stop the activ- ity of liberal factions, the constitution included most of their demands, including a ministerial government responsible to 45 Russia: A Country Study the tsar, and a national Duma (see Glossary) — a parliament to be elected on a broad, but not wholly equitable, franchise. Those who accepted this arrangement formed a center-right political party, the Octobrists, and named Witte the first prime minister. Meanwhile, the Kadets held out for a ministerial gov- ernment and equal, universal suffrage. Because of their politi- cal principles and continued armed uprisings, Russia's leftist parties were undecided whether to participate in the Duma elections, which had been called for early 1906. At the same time, rightist factions actively opposed the reforms. Several new monarchist and protofascist groups also arose to subvert the new order. Nevertheless, the regime continued to function through the chaotic year of 1905, eventually restoring order in the cities, the countryside, and the army. In the process, terror- ists murdered several thousand officials, and the government executed an equal number of terrorists. Because the govern- ment had been able to restore order and to secure a loan from France before the first Duma met, Nicholas was in a strong position that enabled him to replace Witte with the much less independent functionary Petr Stolypin. The First Duma was elected in March 1906. The Kadets and their allies dominated it, with the mainly nonparty radical left- ists slightly weaker than the Octobrists and the nonparty cen- ter-rightists combined. The socialists had boycotted the election, but several socialist delegates were elected. Relations between the Duma and the Stolypin government were hostile from the beginning. A deadlock of the Kadets and the govern- ment over the adoption of a constitution and peasant reform led to the dissolution of the Duma and the scheduling of new elections. In spite of an upsurge of leftist terror, radical leftist parties participated in the election, and, together with the non- party left, they gained a plurality of seats, followed by a loose coalition of Kadets with Poles and other nationalities in the political center. The impasse continued, however, when the Second Duma met in 1907. The Stolypin and Kokovtsov Governments In 1907 Stolypin instituted a series of major reforms. In June 1907, he dissolved the Second Duma and promulgated a new electoral law, which vastly reduced the electoral weight of lower-class and non-Russian voters and increased the weight of the nobility. This political coup had the desired short-term result of restoring order. New elections in the fall returned a 46 Historical Setting: Early History to 1917 more conservative Third Duma, which Octobrists dominated. Even this Duma quarreled with the government over a variety of issues, however, including the composition of the naval staff, the autonomous status of Finland, the introduction of zemstva in the western provinces, the reform of the peasant court sys- tem, and the establishment of workers' insurance organizations under police supervision. In these disputes, the Duma, with its appointed aristocratic-bureaucratic upper house, was some- times more conservative than the government, and at other times it was more constitutionally minded. The Fourth Duma, elected in 1912, was similar in composition to the third, but a progressive faction of Octobrists split from the right and joined the political center. Stolypin's boldest measure was his peasant reform program. It allowed, and sometimes forced, the breakup of communes as well as the establishment of full private property. Stolypin hoped that the reform program would create a class of conser- vative landowning farmers loyal to the tsar. Most peasants did not want to lose the safety of the commune or to permit outsid- ers to buy village land, however. By 1914 only about 10 percent of all peasant communes had been dissolved. Nevertheless, the economy recovered and grew impressively from 1907 to 1914, both quantitatively and through the formation of rural cooper- atives and banks and the generation of domestic capital. By 1914 Russian steel production equaled that of France and Aus- tria-Hungary, and Russia's economic growth rate was one of the highest in the world. Although external debt was very high, it was declining as a percentage of the gross national product (GNP — see Glossary), and the empire's overall trade balance was favorable. In 1911 a double agent working for the Okhrana assassi- nated Stolypin, and Finance Minister Vladimir Kokovtsov replaced him. The cautious Kokovtsov was very able and a sup- porter of the tsar, but he could not compete with the powerful court factions that dominated the government. Historians have debated whether Russia had the potential to develop a constitutional government between 1905 and 1914. The failure to do so was partly because the tsar was not willing to give up autocratic rule or share power. By manipulating the franchise, the government obtained progressively more conser- vative, but less representative, Dumas. Moreover, the regime sometimes bypassed the conservative Dumas and ruled by decree. 47 Russia: A Country Study During this period, the government's policies waivered from reformist to repressive. Historians have speculated about whether Witte's and Stolypin's bold reform plans could have "saved" the Russian Empire. But court politics, together with the continuing isolation of the tsar and the bureaucracy from the rest of society, hampered all reforms. Suspensions of civil liberties and the rule of law continued in many places, and nei- ther workers nor the Orthodox Church had the right to orga- nize themselves as they chose. Discrimination against Poles, Jews, Ukrainians, and Old Believers was common. Domestic unrest was on the rise while the empire's foreign policy was becoming more adventurous. Active Balkan Policy, 1906-13 Russia's earlier Far Eastern policy required holding Balkan issues in abeyance, a strategy Austria-Hungary also followed between 1897 and 1906. Japan's victory in 1905 had forced Rus- sia to make deals with the British and the Japanese. In 1907 Russia's new foreign minister, Aleksandr Izvol'skiy, concluded agreements with both nations. To maintain its sphere of influ- ence in northern Manchuria and northern Persia, Russia agreed to Japanese ascendancy in southern Manchuria and Korea, and to British ascendancy in southern Persia, Afghani- stan, and Tibet. The logic of this policy demanded that Russia and Japan unite to prevent the United States from establishing a base in China by organizing a consortium to develop Chinese railroads. After China's republican revolution of 1911, Russia and Japan recognized each other's spheres of influence in Outer Mongolia. In an extension of this reasoning, Russia traded recognition of German economic interests in the Otto- man Empire and Persia for German recognition of various Rus- sian security interests in the region. Russia also protected its strategic and financial position by entering the informal Triple Entente with Britain and France, without antagonizing Ger- many. In spite of these careful measures, after the Russo-Japanese War Russia and Austria-Hungary resumed their Balkan rivalry, focusing on the Kingdom of Serbia and the provinces of Bosnia and Herzegovina, which Austria-Hungary had occupied since 1878. In 1881 Russia secretly had agreed in principle to Aus- tria's future annexation of Bosnia and Herzegovina. But in 1908, Izvol'skiy foolishly consented to support formal annex- ation in return for Austria's support for revision of the agree- 48 Historical Setting: Early History to 1917 ment on the neutrality of the Bosporus and Dardanelles — a change that would give Russia special navigational rights of pas- sage. Britain stymied the Russian gambit by blocking the revi- sion, but Austria proceeded with the annexation. Then, backed by German threats of war, Austria-Hungary exposed Russia's weakness by forcing Russia to disavow support for Serbia. After Austria-Hungary's annexation of Bosnia and Herzegov- ina, Russia became a major part of the increased tension and conflict in the Balkans. In 1912 Bulgaria, Serbia, Greece, and Montenegro defeated the Ottoman Empire in the First Balkan War, but the putative allies continued to quarrel among them- selves. Then in 1913, the alliance split, and the Serbs, Greeks, and Romanians defeated Bulgaria in the Second Balkan War. Austria-Hungary became the patron of Bulgaria, which now was Serbia's territorial rival in the region, and Germany remained the Ottoman Empire's protector. Russia tied itself more closely to Serbia than it had previously. The complex sys- tem of alliances and Great Power support was extremely unsta- ble; among the Balkan parties harboring resentments over past defeats, the Serbs maintained particular animosity toward the Austro-Hungarian annexation of Bosnia and Herzegovina. In June 1914, a Serbian terrorist assassinated Archduke Franz Ferdinand, heir to the throne of Austria-Hungary, which then held the Serbian government responsible. Austria-Hun- gary delivered an ultimatum to Serbia, believing that the terms were too humiliating to accept. Although Serbia submitted to the ultimatum, Austria-Hungary declared the response unsatis- factory and recalled its ambassador. Russia, fearing another humiliation in the Balkans, supported Serbia. Once the Ser- bian response was rejected, the system of alliances began to operate automatically, with Germany supporting Austria-Hun- gary and France backing Russia. When Germany invaded France through Belgium, the conflict escalated into a world war. Russia at War, 1914-16 Russia's large population enabled it to field a greater num- ber of troops than Austria-Hungary and Germany combined, but its underdeveloped industrial base meant that its soldiers were as poorly armed as those of the Austro-Hungarian army. Russian forces were inferior to Germany's in every respect except numbers. In most engagements, the larger Russian 49 Russia: A Country Study armies defeated the Austro-Hungarians but suffered reverses against German forces. In the initial phase of the war, Russia's offensives into East Prussia drew enough German troops from the western front to allow the French, Belgians, and British to stop the German advance. One of Russia's two invading armies was almost totally destroyed, however, at the disastrous Battle of Tannenberg — the same site at which Lithuanian, Polish, and Russian troops had defeated the German Teutonic Knights in 1410. Mean- while, the Russians turned back an Austrian offensive and pushed into eastern Galicia, the northeastern region of the Austro-Hungarian Empire. The Russians halted a combined German-Austrian winter counteroffensive into Russian Poland, and in early 1915 they pushed more deeply into Galicia. Then in the spring and summer of that year, a German-Austrian offensive drove the Russians out of Galicia and Poland and destroyed several Russian army corps. In 1916 the Germans planned to drive France out of the war with a large-scale attack in the Verdun area, but a new Russian offensive against Austria- Hungary once again drew German troops from the west. These actions left both major fronts stable and both Russia and Ger- many despairing of victory — Russia because of exhaustion, Ger- many because of its opponents' superior resources. Toward the end of 1916, Russia came to the rescue of Romania, which had just entered the war, and extended the eastern front south to the Black Sea. Wartime agreements among the Allies reflected the Triple Entente's imperialist aims and the Russian Empire's relative weakness outside Eastern Europe. Russia nonetheless expected impressive gains from a victory: territorial acquisitions in east- ern Galicia from Austria, in East Prussia from Germany, and in Armenia from the Ottoman Empire, which joined the war on the German side; control of Constantinople and the Bosporus and Dardanelles straits; and territorial and political alteration of Austria-Hungary in the interests of Romania and the Slavic peoples of the region. Britain was to acquire the middle zone of Persia and share much of the Arab Middle East with France; Italy — not Russia's ally Serbia — was to acquire Dalmatia along the Adriatic coast; Japan, another ally of the entente, was to control more territory in China; and France was to regain Alsace-Lorraine, which it had lost to Germany in the Franco- Prussian War, and to have increased influence in western Ger- many. 50 Historical Setting: Early History to 1917 The Fatal Weakening of Tsarism The onset of World War I exposed the weakness of Nicholas II's government. A show of national unity had accompanied Russia's entrance into the war, with defense of the Slavic Serbs the main battle cry. In the summer of 1914, the Duma and the zemstva expressed full support for the government's war effort. The initial conscription was well organized and peaceful, and the early phase of Russia's military buildup showed that the empire had learned lessons from the Russojapanese War. But military reversals and the government's incompetence soon soured much of the population. German control of the Baltic Sea and German-Ottoman control of the Black Sea severed Russia from most of its foreign supplies and potential markets. In addition, inept Russian preparations for war and ineffective economic policies hurt the country financially, logistically, and militarily. Inflation became a serious problem. Because of inad- equate materiel support for military operations, the War Indus- tries Committee was formed to ensure that necessary supplies reached the front. But army officers quarreled with civilian leaders, seized administrative control of front areas, and refused to cooperate with the committee. The central govern- ment distrusted the independent war support activities that were organized by zemstva and cities. The Duma quarreled with the war bureaucracy of the government, and center and center- left deputies eventually formed the Progressive Bloc to create a genuinely constitutional government. After Russian military reversals in 1915, Nicholas II went to the front to assume nominal leadership of the army, leaving behind his German-born wife, Alexandra, and Rasputin, a member of her entourage, who exercised influence on policy and ministerial appointments. Rasputin was a debauched faith healer who initially impressed Alexandra because he was able to stop the bleeding of the royal couple's hemophiliac son and heir presumptive. Although their true influence has been debated, Alexandra and Rasputin undoubtedly decreased the regime's prestige and credibility. While the central government was hampered by court intrigue, the strain of the war began to cause popular unrest. In 1916 high food prices and fuel shortages caused strikes in some cities. Workers, who had won the right to representation in sec- tions of the War Industries Committee, used those sections as organs of political opposition. The countryside also was becom- ing restive. Soldiers were increasingly insubordinate, particu- 51 Russia: A Country Study larly the newly recruited peasants who faced the prospect of being used as cannon fodder in the inept conduct of the war. The situation continued to deteriorate. In an attempt to alle- viate the morass at the tsar's court, a group of nobles murdered Rasputin in December 1916. But the death of the mysterious "healer" brought little change. Increasing conflict between the tsar and the Duma weakened both parts of the government and increased the impression of incompetence. In early 1917, deteriorating rail transport caused acute food and fuel short- ages, which resulted in riots and strikes. Authorities summoned troops to quell the disorders in Petrograd (as St. Petersburg had been called since 1914, to Russianize the Germanic name). In 1905 troops had fired on demonstrators and saved the mon- archy, but in 1917 the troops turned their guns over to the angry crowds. Public support for the tsarist regime simply evap- orated in 1917, ending three centuries of Romanov rule. * * * Three excellent one-volume surveys of Russian history are Nicholas Riasanovsky's A History of Russia, David MacKenzie and Michael W. Curran's A History of Russia and the Soviet Union, and Robert Auty and Dmitry Obolensky's An Introduction to Rus- sian History. The most useful thorough study of Russia before the nineteenth century is Vasily Kliuchevsky's five-volume col- lection, The Course of Russian History. Good translations exist, however, only for the third volume, The Seventeenth Century, and part of the fourth volume, Peter the Great. For the 1800-1917 period, two excellent comprehensive works are the second vol- ume of Michael T. Florinsky's Russia: A History and Interpretation and Hugh Seton-Watson's The Russian Empire, 1801-1917. The roots and nature of Russian autocracy are probed in Richard Pipes's controversial Russia under the Old Regime and Geroid Tanquary Robinson's Rural Russia under the Old Regime, and Franco Venturi describes the development of populist and socialist movements in Russia in Roots of Revolution. Barbara Jelavich's A Century of Russian Foreign Policy 1814-1914 studies the foreign relations of the last century of the autocracy. Jer- ome Blum treats social history in Lord and Peasant in Russia from the Ninth to the Nineteenth Century. Cultural history is discussed in James H. Billington's The Icon and the Axe and in Marc Raeffs Russian Intellectual History. (For further information and com- plete citations, see Bibliography.) 52 Chapter 2. Historical Setting: 191 7 to 1991 Tsarevich Ivan pondering how he can obey his father and marry a frog. For- tunately for Ivan, the frog turns into Vasilisa the Wise and Clever, a maiden more beautiful than anyone had ever seen (design from lacquer box made in village ofFedoskino). THE HISTORY OF RUSSIA between 1922 and 1991 is essen- tially the history of the Soviet Union (the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics — USSR). This ideologically based empire was roughly coterminous with the Russian Empire, whose last monarch, Tsar Nicholas II, ruled until 1917. The Soviet Union was established in December 1922 by the leaders of the Russian Communist Party (Bolshevik). At that time, the new nation included the Russian, Ukrainian, Belorussian, and Transcauca- sian republics. A spontaneous popular uprising in Petrograd, in response to the wartime decay of Russia's physical well-being and morale, culminated in the toppling of the imperial government in March 1917. Replacing the autocracy was the Provisional Gov- ernment, whose leaders intended to establish democracy in Russia and to continue participating on the side of the Allies in World War I. At the same time, to ensure the rights of the work- ing class, workers' councils, known as Soviets, sprang up across the country. The radical Bolsheviks, led by Vladimir I. Lenin, agitated for socialist revolution in the Soviets and on the streets. They seized power from the Provisional Government in November 1917. Only after the long and bloody Civil War of 1918-21, which included combat between government forces and foreign troops in several parts of Russia, was the new com- munist regime secure. From its first years, government in the Soviet Union was based on the one-party rule of the communists, as the Bolshe- viks called themselves beginning in March 1918. After unsuc- cessfully attempting to centralize the economy in accordance with Marxist dogma during the Civil War, the Soviet govern- ment permitted some private enterprise to coexist with nation- alized industry in the 1920s. Debate over the future of the economy provided the background for Soviet leaders to con- tend for power in the years after Lenin's death in 1924. By gradually consolidating his influence and isolating his rivals within the party, Joseph V. Stalin became the sole leader of the Soviet Union by the end of the 1920s. In 1928 Stalin introduced the First Five- Year Plan for build- ing a socialist economy. In industry the state assumed control over all existing enterprises and undertook an intensive pro- gram of industrialization; in agriculture the state appropriated 55 Russia: A Country Study the peasants' property to establish collective farms. The plan's implementation produced widespread misery, including the deaths of millions of peasants by starvation or directly at the hands of the government during forced collectivization. Social upheaval continued in the mid-1980s, when Stalin began a purge of the party; out of this process grew a campaign of ter- ror that led to the execution or imprisonment of untold mil- lions from all walks of life. Yet despite this turmoil, the Soviet Union developed a powerful industrial economy in the years before World War II. Although Stalin tried to avert war with Germany by conclud- ing the Nazi-Soviet Nonaggression Pact in 1939, in 1941 Ger- many invaded the Soviet Union. The Red Army stopped the Nazi offensive at the Battle of Stalingrad in 1943 and drove through Eastern Europe to Berlin before Germany surren- dered in 1945. Although ravaged by the war, the Soviet Union emerged from the conflict as an acknowledged great power. During the immediate postwar period, the Soviet Union first rebuilt and then expanded its economy, with control always exerted exclusively from Moscow. The Soviet Union consoli- dated its hold on Eastern Europe, supplied aid to the eventu- ally victorious communists in China, and sought to expand its influence elsewhere in the world. This active foreign policy helped bring about the Cold War, which turned the Soviet Union's wartime allies, Britain and the United States, into foes. Within the Soviet Union, repressive measures continued in force; Stalin apparently was about to launch a new purge when he died in 1953. In the absence of an acceptable successor, Stalin's closest associates opted to rule the Soviet Union jointly, although a struggle for power took place behind the facade of collective leadership. Nikita S. Khrushchev, who won the power struggle by the mid-1950s, denounced Stalin's use of terror and eased repressive controls over party and society. Khrushchev's reforms in agriculture and administration, however, were gen- erally unproductive, and foreign policy toward China and the United States suffered reverses. Khrushchev's colleagues in the leadership removed him from power in 1964. Following the ouster of Khrushchev, another period of rule by collective leadership ensued, lasting until Leonid I. Brezh- nev established himself in the early 1970s as the preeminent figure in Soviet political life. Brezhnev presided over a period of detente with the West while at the same time building up 56 Historical Setting: 1917 to 1991 Soviet military strength; the arms buildup contributed to the demise of detente in the late 1970s. Another contributing fac- tor was the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan in December 1979. After some experimentation with economic reforms in the mid-1960s, the Soviet leadership reverted to established means of economic management. Industry showed slow but steady gains during the 1970s, while agricultural development contin- ued to lag. In contrast to the revolutionary spirit that accompa- nied the birth of the Soviet Union, the prevailing mood of the Soviet leadership at the time of Brezhnev's death in 1982 was one of aversion to change. Two developments dominated the decade that followed: the increasingly apparent crumbling of the Soviet Union's eco- nomic and political structures, and the patchwork attempts at reforms to reverse that process. After the rapid succession of Yuriy V. Andropov and Konstantin U. Chernenko, transitional figures with deep roots in Brezhnevite tradition, the energetic Mikhail S. Gorbachev made significant changes in the econ- omy and the party leadership. His policy of glasnost (see Glos- sary) freed public access to information after decades of government repression. But Gorbachev failed to address the fundamental flaws of the Soviet system; by 1991, when a plot by government insiders revealed the weakness of Gorbachev's political position, the end of the Soviet Union was in sight. Revolutions and Civil War The chaos and hardship that resulted from Russia's entry into World War I in 1914 were exacerbated in the years that fol- lowed. Russians saw the fall of the Romanov Dynasty, which had ruled for more than 300 years, followed by a long struggle for power between the Bolsheviks and a series of disparate armies, known collectively as the Whites, supported by Russia's erst- while wartime allies. The combination of military occupation and economic disorder bled the country for three years until the Bolsheviks triumphed and began to establish a new order. The February Revolution By early 1917, the existing order in Russia was verging on collapse. The country's involvement in World War I had already cost millions of lives and severely disrupted Russia's already struggling economy. In an effort to reverse the worsen- ing military situation, Nicholas II took personal command of 57 Russia: A Country Study Russian forces at the front, leaving the conduct of government in Petrograd (St. Petersburg before 1914; Leningrad after 1924; St. Petersburg after 1991) to his unpopular wife and a series of incompetent ministers. As a consequence of these conditions, the morale of the people rapidly deteriorated. The spark to the events that ended tsarist rule was ignited on the streets of Petrograd in February 1917 (according to the Julian calendar then still in use in Russia; according to the modern Gregorian calendar, which was adopted in February 1918, these events occurred in March). Driven by shortages of food and fuel, crowds of hungry citizens and striking workers began spontaneous rioting and demonstrations. Local reserve troops, called in to suppress the riots, refused to fire on the crowds, and some soldiers joined the workers and other rioters. A few days later, with tsarist authority in Petrograd disintegrat- ing, two distinct groups emerged, each claiming to represent the Russian people. One was the Executive Committee, which the Duma (see Glossary), the lower house of the Russian parlia- ment, had established in defiance of the tsar's orders. The other body was the Petrograd Soviet of Workers' and Soldiers' Deputies. With the consent of the Petrograd Soviet, the Executive Committee of the Duma organized the Provisional Govern- ment on March 15. The government was a cabinet of ministers chaired by aristocrat and social reformer Georgiy L'vov. A legis- lature, the Constituent Assembly, also was to be created, but election of the first such body was postponed until the fall of 1917. Delegates of the new government met Nicholas that evening at Pskov, where rebellious railroad workers had stopped the imperial train as the tsar attempted to return to the capital. Advised by his generals that he lacked the support of the country, Nicholas informed the delegates that he was abdicating in favor of his brother, Grand Duke Michael. When Michael in turn refused the throne, imperial rule in Russia came to an end. The Period of Dual Power The collapse of the monarchy left two rival political institu- tions — the Provisional Government and the Petrograd Soviet — to share administrative authority over the country. The Petro- grad Soviet, drawing its membership from socialist deputies elected in factories and regiments, coordinated the activities of other Soviets that sprang up across Russia at this time. The 58 Historical Setting: 1917 to 1991 Petrograd Soviet was dominated by moderate socialists of the Socialist Revolutionary Party and by the Menshevik (see Glos- sary) faction of the Russian Social Democratic Labor Party. The Bolshevik (see Glossary) faction of the latter party provided the opposition. Although it represented the interests of Russia's working class, the Petrograd Soviet at first did not seek to undermine the Provisional Government's authority directly. Nevertheless, the Petrograd Soviet's first official order, which came to be known as Order Number One, instructed soldiers and sailors to obey their officers and the government only if their orders did not contradict the decrees of the Petrograd Soviet — a measure formulated to prevent continuation of Rus- sia's war effort by crippling the Provisional Government's con- trol of the military. The Provisional Government, in contrast to the socialist Petrograd Soviet, chiefly represented the propertied classes. Headed by ministers of a moderate or liberal bent, the new government pledged to convene a constituent assembly that would usher in a new era of bourgeois democracy modeled on European constitutionalism. In the meantime, the government granted unprecedented rights — full freedom of speech, press, and religion, as well as legal equality — to all citizens. The gov- ernment did not take up the matter of land redistribution, however, leaving that issue for the Constituent Assembly. Even more damaging, the ministers favored keeping Russia's military commitments to its allies, a position that became increasingly unpopular as the war dragged on. The government suffered its first crisis in the "April Days," when demonstrations against the government's war aims forced two ministers to resign, an event that led to the appointment of Aleksandr Kerenskiy — the only socialist among the government's ministers — as war minister. Quickly assuming de facto leadership of the government, Kerenskiy ordered the army to launch a major offensive in June. After early successes, that offensive turned into a full-scale retreat in July. While the Provisional Government grappled with foreign foes, the Bolsheviks, who were opposed to bourgeois democ- racy, gained new strength. Lenin, the Bolshevik leader, returned to Petrograd in April 1917 from his wartime resi- dence in Switzerland. Although he had been born into a noble family, from his youth Lenin espoused the cause of the com- mon workers. A committed revolutionary and pragmatic Marx- ist thinker, he astounded the Bolsheviks in Petrograd with his 59 Russia: A Country Study April Theses, in which he boldly called for the overthrow of the Provisional Government, the transfer of "all power to the Sovi- ets," and the expropriation of factories by workers and of land belonging to the church, the nobility, and the gentry by peas- ants. Lenin's dynamic presence quickly won the other Bolshe- vik leaders to his position, and the radicalized orientation of the Bolshevik faction attracted new members. Inspired by Lenin's slogans, crowds of workers, soldiers, and sailors took to the streets of Petrograd in July to wrest power from the Provisional Government. But the spontaneity of the 'July Days" caught the Bolshevik leaders by surprise, and the Petrograd Soviet, controlled by moderate Mensheviks, refused to take power or to enforce Bolshevik demands. After the upris- ing had died down, the Provisional Government outlawed the Bolsheviks and jailed Leon Trotsky, leader of a leftist Menshe- vik faction. Lenin fled to Finland. In the aftermath of the 'July Days," conservatives sought to reassert order in society. The army's commander in chief, General Lavr Kornilov, who protested the influence of the Sovi- ets on both the army and the government, appeared as a coun- terrevolutionary threat to Kerenskiy, now prime minister. Kerenskiy dismissed Kornilov from his command, but Kornilov, disobeying the order, launched an extemporaneous revolt on September 10 (August 28). To defend the capital, Kerenskiy sought help from all quarters and relaxed his ban on Bolshevik activities. Railroad workers sympathetic to the Bolsheviks halted Kornilov's troop trains, and Kornilov soon surrendered, ending the only serious challenge to the Provisional Govern- ment from the right. The Bolshevik Revolution Although the Provisional Government survived the Kornilov revolt, popular support for the government faded rapidly as the national mood swung to the left in the fall of 1917. Workers took control of their factories through elected committees; peasants expropriated lands belonging to the state, church, nobility, and gentry; and armies melted away as peasant sol- diers deserted to take part in the land seizures. The Bolsheviks, skillfully exploiting these popular trends in their propaganda, achieved domination of the Petrograd and Moscow Soviets by September. Trotsky, freed from prison after the Kornilov revolt, was recruited as a Bolshevik and named chairman of the Petro- grad Soviet. 60 Historical Setting: 1917 to 1991 Realizing that the time was ripe to seize power by force, Lenin returned to Petrograd in October and convinced a majority of the Bolshevik Central Committee, which had hoped to take power legally, to accept armed uprising in principle. Trotsky won the Petrograd garrison over to the soviet, depriv- ing the Provisional Government of its main military support in Petrograd. The actual insurrection — the Bolshevik Revolution — began on November 6, when Kerenskiy ordered the Bolshevik press closed. Interpreting this action as a counterrevolutionary move, the Bolsheviks called on their supporters to defend the Petrograd Soviet. By evening, the Bolsheviks had taken control of utilities and most government buildings in Petrograd, thus enabling Lenin to proclaim the downfall of the Provisional Government on the morning of the next day, November 7. The Bolsheviks captured the Provisional Government's cabinet at its Winter Palace headquarters that night with hardly a shot fired in the government's defense. Kerenskiy left Petrograd to orga- nize resistance, but his countercoup failed and he fled Russia. Bolshevik uprisings soon took place elsewhere; Moscow was under Bolshevik control within three weeks. The Second Con- gress of Soviets met in Petrograd to ratify the Bolshevik take- over after moderate deputies (mainly Mensheviks and right- wing members of the Socialist Revolutionary Party) quit the session. The remaining Bolsheviks and left-wing Socialist Revo- lutionaries declared the Soviets the governing bodies of Russia and named the Council of People's Commissars (Sovet narod- nykh kommissarov — Sovnarkom) to serve as the cabinet. Lenin became chairman of this council. Trotsky took the post of com- missar of foreign affairs; Stalin, a Georgian, became commissar of nationalities. Thus, by acting decisively while their oppo- nents vacillated, the Bolsheviks succeeded in effecting their coup d'etat. On coming to power, the Bolsheviks issued a series of revolu- tionary decrees ratifying peasants' seizures of land and workers' control of industries, abolished laws sanctioning class privi- leges, nationalized the banks, and set up revolutionary tribu- nals in place of the courts. At the same time, the revolutionaries now constituting the regime worked to secure power inside and outside the government. Deeming Western forms of parliamentary democracy irrelevant, Lenin argued for a "dictatorship of the proletariat" based on single-party Bolshe- vik rule, although for a time left-wing Socialist Revolutionaries 61 Russia: A Country Study also participated in the Sovnarkom. The new government cre- ated a secret police agency, the VChK (commonly known as the Cheka), to persecute enemies of the state (including bourgeois liberals and moderate socialists) . Having convened the Constit- uent Assembly, which finally had been elected in November with the Bolsheviks winning only a quarter of the seats, the Soviet government dissolved the assembly in January after a one-day session, ending a short-lived experiment in parliamen- tary democracy In foreign affairs, the Soviet government, seeking to disen- gage Russia from World War I, called on the belligerent powers for an armistice and peace without annexations. The Allied Powers rejected this appeal, but Germany and its allies agreed to a cease-fire. Negotiations began in December 1917. After dictating harsh terms that the Soviet government would not accept, however, Germany resumed its offensive in February 1918, meeting scant resistance from disintegrating Russian armies. Lenin, after bitter debate with leading Bolsheviks who favored prolonging the war in hopes of precipitating class war- fare in Germany, persuaded a slim majority of the Bolshevik Central Committee that peace must be made at any cost. On March 3, Soviet government officials signed the Treaty of Brest-Li to vsk, relinquishing Poland, the Baltic lands, Finland, and Ukraine to German control and giving up a portion of the Caucasus region to Turkey. With the new border dangerously close to Petrograd, the government was soon transferred to Moscow. An enormous part of the population and resources of the Russian Empire was lost by this treaty, but Lenin under- stood that no other alternative could ensure the survival of the fledgling Soviet state. Civil War and War Communism Soon after buying peace with Germany, the Soviet state found itself under attack from other quarters. By the spring of 1918, elements dissatisfied with the radical policies of the com- munists (as the Bolsheviks started calling themselves) estab- lished centers of resistance in southern and Siberian Russia. Beginning in April 1918, anticommunist forces, called the Whites and often led by former officers of the tsarist army, began to clash with the Red Army, which Trotsky, named com- missar of war in the Soviet government, organized to defend the new state. A civil war to determine the future of Russia had begun. 62 Historical Setting: 1917 to 1991 The White armies enjoyed varying degrees of support from the Allied Powers. Desiring to defeat Germany in any way possi- ble, Britain, France, and the United States landed troops in Russia and provided logistical support to the Whites, whom the Allies trusted would resume Russia's struggle against Germany after overthrowing the communist regime. (In March 1918, the Russian Social Democratic Labor Party officially was renamed the Russian Communist Party [Bolshevik].) After the Allies defeated Germany in November 1918, they opted to continue their intervention in the Russian Civil War against the commu- nists, in the interests of averting what they feared might become a world socialist revolution. During the Civil War, the Soviet regime also had to deal with struggles for independence in regions that it had given up under the Treaty of Brest-Litovsk (which the regime immedi- ately repudiated after Germany's defeat by the Allies in Novem- ber 1918). By force of arms, the communists established Soviet republics in Belorussia (January 1919), Ukraine (March 1919), Azerbaijan (April 1920), Armenia (November 1920), and Georgia (March 1921), but they were unable to take back the Baltic region, where the independent states of Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania had been founded shortly after the Bolshevik Revolution. In December 1917, the Soviet government recog- nized the independence of Finland as a gesture of support to the Finnish Reds. However, that strategy failed when Finland became a parliamentary republic in 1918. Poland, reborn after World War I, fought a successful war with Soviet Russia from April 1920 to March 1921 over the location of the frontier between the two states. During its struggle for survival, the Soviet state relied heavily on the prospect that revolution would spread to other Euro- pean industrialized countries. To coordinate the socialist move- ment under Soviet auspices, Lenin founded the Communist International (Comintern) in March 1919. Although no suc- cessful socialist revolutions occurred elsewhere immediately after the Bolshevik Revolution, the Comintern provided the communist leadership with the means for later control of for- eign communist parties. By the end of 1920, the communists had clearly triumphed in the Civil War. Although in 1919 Soviet Russia had shrunk to the size of sixteenth-century Muscovy, the Red Army had the advantage of defending the heartland with Moscow at its center (see fig. 4). The White armies, divided geographically and with- 63 Russia: A Country Study International boundary National capital Area under communist control Red Army line, March 1920 denikin White army general *etrograd /yUDENICH 'Baltic Sea r-- ^mrvm